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Keilor Thunder W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 May 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 88-66
26-15 14-12 25-20 23-19
Position#4
Record9-2
FormWWLWW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game71.3
vs
Position#11
Record4-7
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game77.6
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Keilor Thunder W v Casey Cavaliers W
31 May 2025
KEIL88
CASE66
20 Apr 2024
KEIL103
CASE53
13 Aug 2022
KEIL91
CASE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keilor Thunder W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Keilor Thunder WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
100-70
100
70
+30
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
W
84-77
84
77
+7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
53-96
53
96
-43
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
76-50
76
50
+26
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
89-66
89
66
+23
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
95-67
95
67
+28
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
58-85
58
85
-27
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
92-86 OT
92
86
+6
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-23
29-17
24-13
19-17
25-23
12-21
22-19
25-14
23-38
14-24
8-6
8-28
15-13
12-13
17-14
11-14
20-16
21-7
15-19
20-8
30-24
11-16
24-15
24-11
29-16
24-16
26-14
16-21
16-19
16-22
8-21
18-23
17-14
27-19
13-12
12-14
23-24
24-21
16-15
19-22
148.1Avg total
77.1Scored
71.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.371.3149.5+7.082%
Season at home (5)82.267.2149.4+15.0100%
Season away (6)75.074.7149.7+0.367%
Last 10 (10)77.171.0148.1+6.180%
Last 5 (5)80.672.6153.2+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)55.590.5146.0-35.00%
vs Similar (8)68.866.4135.1+2.475%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)79.866.7146.4+13.190%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
71-82
71
82
-11
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
76-93
76
93
-17
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
54-79
54
79
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
60-83
60
83
-23
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
64-70
64
70
-6
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-20
17-4
28-23
18-13
16-22
23-19
20-20
21-12
20-12
9-17
15-12
18-15
21-19
13-13
14-26
23-24
21-28
21-23
22-18
12-24
25-16
25-18
14-19
29-22
18-23
12-12
11-23
13-21
19-25
13-19
11-21
17-18
13-12
11-21
16-18
24-19
18-32
27-17
16-22
16-14
146.9Avg total
71.3Scored
75.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)69.977.6147.5-7.736%
Season at home (5)68.685.6154.2-17.020%
Season away (6)71.071.0142.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)71.375.6146.9-4.340%
Last 5 (5)69.678.4148.0-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.487.5160.9-14.214%
vs Similar (4)72.268.0140.2+4.275%
vs Weaker (4)75.871.8147.5+4.075%
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q1: -2.5-2.5Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: -3.5-3.5Q4Q4: +0.0+0.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
Keilor Thunder WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Keilor Thunder WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
57-40
57
40
+17
H30/03
NBL1 South Women
Bendigo Braves W
#18
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
37-62
37
62
-25
A11/04
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
W
27-26
27
26
+1
H13/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
41-23
41
23
+18
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Launceston W
#17
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A26/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
53-32
53
32
+21
H03/05
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
L
32-41
32
41
-9
A10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H17/05
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
80.2Avg total
41.6Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)40.236.376.6+3.966%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.735.978.5+6.887%-
Last 30 away (14)37.636.974.4+0.743%-
Last 10 (10)41.638.680.2+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)43.438.281.6+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)34.551.586.0-17.00%-
vs Similar (8)34.833.568.2+1.262%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.135.979.1+7.274%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Knox W
#2
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A25/04
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
L
42-51
42
51
-9
H26/04
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A03/05
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H10/05
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
32-44
32
44
-12
A11/05
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#7
L
24-33
24
33
-9
A17/05
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#8
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H24/05
NBL1 South Women
72.7Avg total
35.5Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.441.879.3-4.427%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.845.784.5-6.913%-
Last 30 away (15)36.138.074.1-1.940%-
Last 10 (10)35.537.272.7-1.730%-
Last 5 (5)36.239.075.2-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.544.582.0-7.118%-
vs Similar (4)37.535.272.8+2.250%-
vs Weaker (4)37.233.570.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Keilor Thunder W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Keilor Thunder W wins
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HKilsyth W92-86 OT
17/05/25HWaverley W69-59
10/05/25AKnox W58-85
03/05/25HNunawading W95-67
26/04/25ALaunceston W89-66
25/04/25AHobart Chargers W76-50
13/04/25HFrankston W55-54
11/04/25ADandenong Rangers W53-96
05/04/25ABendigo Braves W84-77
30/03/25HMt. Gambier W100-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/25HMelbourne Tigers W77-85
17/05/25AFrankston W64-70
11/05/25AWaverley W60-83
10/05/25HMt. Gambier W54-79
03/05/25AKilsyth W93-75
26/04/25HDiamond Valley W76-93
25/04/25AKnox W71-82
12/04/25ANunawading W62-56
06/04/25HHobart Chargers W80-73
04/04/25AMt. Gambier W76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keilor Thunder W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game78.382.275.0
Allowed / game71.367.274.7
Point differential+7.0+15.0+0.3
Avg total149.5149.4149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%60%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %9%20%0%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL36%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWLWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %36%20%50%
Points / game69.968.671.0
Allowed / game77.685.671.0
Point differential-7.7-17.0+0.0
Avg total147.5154.2142.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W12120100%90.866.6+24.2
2 Keilor Thunder W119282%78.371.3+7.0
3 Knox W1310377%80.869.8+10.9
4 Dandenong Rangers W128467%83.072.2+10.8
5 Waverley W128467%76.268.8+7.5
6 Diamond Valley W117464%85.981.1+4.8
7 Melbourne Tigers W117464%78.776.4+2.4
8 Frankston W138562%74.368.3+6.0
9 Ringwood W127558%77.771.5+6.2
10 Sandringham W116555%79.476.2+3.2
11 Nunawading W126650%68.373.0-4.7
12 Mt. Gambier W135838%70.976.0-5.1
13 Casey Cavaliers W114736%69.977.6-7.7
14 Ballarat W124833%70.282.8-12.7
15 Hobart Chargers W134931%70.878.2-7.4
16 Kilsyth W1331023%68.581.2-12.7
17 Bendigo Braves W1431121%70.781.7-11.0
18 Eltham W112918%77.685.4-7.7
19 Launceston W1321115%70.480.8-10.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keilor Thunder W2614252388
Casey Cavaliers W1512201966
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