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Kent State vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 10 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-89
29-43 46-46
Position#199
Record8-6
FormWLLWL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Toledo 🏆
USA
Position#107
Record8-6
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game78.5
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kent State v Toledo
16 Jan 2026
KENT87
TOLE84
25 Feb 2025
KENT105
TOLE65
09 Jan 2024
KENT75
TOLE89
10 Jan 2023
KENT75
TOLE63
01 Jan 2022
KENT66
TOLE63
05 Jan 2021
KENT82
TOLE84
07 Jan 2020
KENT84
TOLE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kent State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
L
52-56
52
56
-4
A20/11
NCAA
Fordham
#288
W
79-72
79
72
+7
A20/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H26/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
103-61
103
61
+42
H01/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
82-73
82
73
+9
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H09/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A22/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
46-66
46
66
-20
A30/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
L
69-71 OT
69
71
-2
A06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-33
25-23
40-43
39-29
41-35
37-49
58-28
45-33
41-27
41-46
46-28
37-49
29-45
41-39
19-39
27-27
41-30
41-39
38-26
28-40
145.7Avg total
74.4Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)79.372.5151.8+6.857%
Season at home (8)89.074.1163.1+14.975%
Season away (6)66.370.3136.7-4.033%
Last 10 (10)74.471.3145.7+3.150%
Last 5 (5)70.073.4143.4-3.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)77.089.5166.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.374.5150.8+1.860%
vs Weaker (17)79.467.8147.2+11.676%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#37
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
L
74-76
74
76
-2
H24/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H03/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
W
69-68
69
68
+1
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
W
84-80
84
80
+4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
88-87
88
87
+1
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
60-86
60
86
-26
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
81-91
81
91
-10
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
86-77
86
77
+9
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
W
68-64
68
64
+4
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-39
39-38
40-40
34-36
35-40
42-46
32-36
37-32
36-40
48-40
48-39
40-48
24-42
36-44
33-45
48-46
38-32
48-45
29-40
39-24
155.0Avg total
75.8Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)78.678.5157.1+0.157%
Season at home (9)79.678.8158.3+0.856%
Season away (5)77.078.0155.0-1.060%
Last 10 (10)75.879.2155.0-3.450%
Last 5 (5)76.681.0157.6-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)72.282.8155.0-10.50%
vs Similar ◀ (11)79.775.9155.6+3.882%
vs Weaker (14)87.974.5162.4+13.493%
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: -4.6-4.62nd half2nd half: -1.3-1.32nd half: +1.2+1.2
Kent StateToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Missouri State
#198
L
27-33
27
33
-6
A20/11
NCAA
Fordham
#288
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A20/11
NCAA
Charleston
#23
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H26/11
NCAA
Shawnee State
#631
W
58-28
58
28
+30
H01/12
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#95
W
41-27
41
27
+14
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#137
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H09/12
NCAA
Oregon
#75
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A22/12
NCAA
St. Marys (CA)
#24
L
19-39
19
39
-20
A30/12
NCAA
Ball State
#226
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H03/01
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#278
W
38-26
38
26
+12
A06/01
NCAA
71.4Avg total
38.0Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.332.970.2+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.231.471.7+8.881%-
Last 30 away (14)33.934.668.5-0.843%-
Last 10 (10)38.033.471.4+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)34.633.668.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.541.069.5-12.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)36.333.269.5+3.170%-
vs Weaker (17)38.931.870.8+7.165%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UC Irvine
#37
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A23/11
NCAA
Indiana State
#13
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H24/11
NCAA
George Mason
#106
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H03/12
NCAA
Oakland
#76
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A07/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#150
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H09/12
NCAA
Marshall
#289
W
48-39
48
39
+9
H14/12
NCAA
Vermont
#16
L
24-42
24
42
-18
H21/12
NCAA
West Virginia
#338
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A23/12
NCAA
Ohio
#120
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A03/01
NCAA
Miami (Ohio)
#228
L
29-40
29
40
-11
H06/01
NCAA
74.0Avg total
34.7Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.735.674.3+3.060%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.735.675.2+4.156%-
Last 30 away (12)37.235.872.9+1.467%-
Last 10 (10)34.739.374.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.674.0-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.040.872.8-8.80%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)35.535.571.0-0.145%-
vs Weaker (14)42.933.976.8+8.986%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kent State wins
2
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
12/03/23Toledo v Kent State78-93
11/01/23Kent State v Toledo75-63
15/02/22Toledo v Kent State59-72
01/01/22Kent State v Toledo66-63
23/01/21Toledo v Kent State76-74
05/01/21Kent State v Toledo82-84
29/01/20Toledo v Kent State70-83
08/01/20Kent State v Toledo84-77
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24AEastern Michigan69-71 OT
03/01/24HBall State82-69
30/12/23ASt. Marys (CA)46-66
22/12/23AOregon70-84
09/12/23HCleveland State83-77
06/12/23ASouth Dakota St.82-73
01/12/23HShawnee State103-61
26/11/23HCharleston78-84
20/11/23AFordham79-72
20/11/23AMissouri State52-56
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/24HMiami (Ohio)68-64
03/01/24AOhio86-77
23/12/23AWest Virginia81-91
21/12/23HVermont60-86
14/12/23HMarshall88-87
09/12/23HNorthern Iowa84-80
07/12/23AOakland69-68
03/12/23HGeorge Mason77-86
24/11/23HIndiana State74-76
23/11/23AUC Irvine71-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kent State
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL57%
HomeWLWWW75%
AwayWWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game79.389.066.3
Allowed / game72.574.170.3
Point differential+6.8+14.9-4.0
Avg total151.8163.1136.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%62%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %14%12%17%
Toledo
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW57%
HomeLWWLW56%
AwayWLWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1495
Win %57%56%60%
Points / game78.679.677.0
Allowed / game78.578.878.0
Point differential+0.1+0.8-1.0
Avg total157.1158.3155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)75% (4)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Akron1410471%77.065.4+11.6
2 UMass1410471%82.170.7+11.4
3 Bowling Green1410471%74.868.1+6.6
4 Kent State148657%79.372.5+6.8
5 Ball State148657%73.968.9+4.9
6 Toledo148657%78.678.5+0.1
7 Eastern Michigan148657%69.174.1-5.0
8 Ohio147750%79.171.1+7.9
9 Miami (Ohio)136746%74.872.2+2.6
10 Northern Illinois146843%76.978.0-1.1
11 Central Michigan146843%65.775.3-9.6
12 Western Michigan145936%73.075.0-2.0
13 Buffalo1421214%68.679.0-10.4
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kent State294675
Toledo434689
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