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Kent State vs Toledo Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 75-63
32-35 43-28
Position#17
Record12-3
FormWWWWW
Points / game74.7
Allowed / game61.9
Kent State 🏆
USA
vs
Toledo
USA
Position#18
Record10-5
FormLWWLW
Points / game86.0
Allowed / game79.8
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Kent State v Toledo
16 Jan 2026
KENT87
TOLE84
25 Feb 2025
KENT105
TOLE65
09 Jan 2024
KENT75
TOLE89
10 Jan 2023
KENT75
TOLE63
01 Jan 2022
KENT66
TOLE63
05 Jan 2021
KENT82
TOLE84
07 Jan 2020
KENT84
TOLE77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kent State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Toledo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Kent StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#8
L
72-74
72
74
-2
A23/11
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
66-73
66
73
-7
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
W
67-58
67
58
+9
A10/12
NCAA
Concord
#543
W
106-56
106
56
+50
H18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
73-63
73
63
+10
A22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A23/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
69-66
69
66
+3
A07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
40-36
32-38
22-24
22-25
43-27
40-41
34-40
32-33
32-27
35-31
50-30
56-26
37-29
36-34
25-22
22-24
38-26
42-46
32-31
37-35
133.2Avg total
70.7Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)74.761.9136.7+12.880%
Season at home (7)86.363.3149.6+23.0100%
Season away (8)64.660.8125.4+3.962%
Last 10 (10)70.762.5133.2+8.270%
Last 5 (5)75.060.6135.6+14.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)58.054.0112.0+4.050%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.366.3133.6+1.057%
vs Weaker (20)79.365.6144.9+13.8100%
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
73-80
73
80
-7
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
83-75
83
75
+8
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
69-68
69
68
+1
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
85-100
85
100
-15
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
103-88
103
88
+15
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H04/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
102-74
102
74
+28
H06/01
NCAA
1H
2H
45-33
37-36
40-33
50-34
32-35
41-45
40-31
43-44
32-29
37-39
44-45
41-55
42-28
42-44
48-35
55-53
37-40
46-50
42-23
60-51
163.7Avg total
85.4Scored
78.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)86.079.8165.8+6.267%
Season at home (9)90.279.8170.0+10.478%
Season away (6)79.779.8159.5-0.250%
Last 10 (10)85.478.3163.7+7.170%
Last 5 (5)91.484.8176.2+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)87.385.7173.0+1.767%
vs Weaker (25)82.873.2156.0+9.672%
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.1+0.1
-9-4+0+4+91st half1st half: +6.1+6.11st half: +7.0+7.02nd half2nd half: +2.1+2.12nd half: +0.1+0.1
Kent StateToledo
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Kent StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Charleston
#8
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A23/11
NCAA
Houston
#7
L
22-24
22
24
-2
A26/11
NCAA
South Dakota St.
#154
W
43-27
43
27
+16
H03/12
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A06/12
NCAA
Cleveland State
#107
W
32-27
32
27
+5
A10/12
NCAA
Concord
#543
W
50-30
50
30
+20
H18/12
NCAA
New Mexico State
#333
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/12
NCAA
UTEP
#250
W
25-22
25
22
+3
A23/12
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
38-26
38
26
+12
H04/01
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
W
32-31
32
31
+1
A07/01
NCAA
64.5Avg total
35.3Scored
29.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.628.665.2+8.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.328.667.9+10.781%-
Last 30 away (14)33.428.662.0+4.971%-
Last 10 (10)35.329.264.5+6.180%-
Last 5 (5)36.427.664.0+8.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.022.051.0+7.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.128.462.6+5.771%-
vs Weaker (20)38.029.367.2+8.780%-
This opponent (Toledo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ToledoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Northern Kentucky
#98
W
45-33
45
33
+12
A23/11
NCAA
Richmond Spiders
#239
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H01/12
NCAA
George Mason
#120
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#248
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A07/12
NCAA
Canisius
#310
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H10/12
NCAA
Marshall
#38
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A17/12
NCAA
Vermont
#68
W
42-28
42
28
+14
A20/12
NCAA
Lourdes
#397
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H29/12
NCAA
Ball State
#103
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H04/01
NCAA
Western Michigan
#345
W
42-23
42
23
+19
H06/01
NCAA
73.4Avg total
40.2Scored
33.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.834.674.4+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.033.971.9+4.158%-
Last 30 away (11)42.835.878.6+7.073%-
Last 10 (10)40.233.273.4+7.070%-
Last 5 (5)42.634.276.8+8.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)41.739.781.3+2.033%-
vs Weaker (25)39.934.073.9+5.968%-
This opponent (Kent State) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kent State wins
2
Toledo wins
DateGameScore
15/02/22Toledo v Kent State59-72
01/01/22Kent State v Toledo66-63
23/01/21Toledo v Kent State76-74
05/01/21Kent State v Toledo82-84
29/01/20Toledo v Kent State70-83
08/01/20Kent State v Toledo84-77
Kent Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23AMiami (FL)69-66
04/01/23HWestern Michigan80-72
23/12/22AUTEP47-46
22/12/22ANew Mexico State73-63
18/12/22HConcord106-56
10/12/22ACleveland State67-58
06/12/22AGonzaga66-73
03/12/22HSouth Dakota St.83-68
26/11/22AHouston44-49
23/11/22ACharleston72-74
Toledolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/23HWestern Michigan102-74
04/01/23HBall State83-90
29/12/22HLourdes103-88
20/12/22AVermont84-72
17/12/22AMarshall85-100
10/12/22HCanisius69-68
07/12/22ANorthern Iowa83-75
03/12/22AGeorge Mason73-80
01/12/22HRichmond Spiders90-67
23/11/22ANorthern Kentucky82-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kent State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %80%100%62%
Points / game74.786.364.6
Allowed / game61.963.360.8
Point differential+12.8+23.0+3.9
Avg total136.7149.6125.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%86%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)-50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Toledo
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW67%
HomeWWWLW78%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %67%78%50%
Points / game86.090.279.7
Allowed / game79.879.879.8
Point differential+6.2+10.4-0.2
Avg total165.8170.0159.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%56%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Mid-American conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kent State1512380%74.761.9+12.8
2 Ball State1511473%76.966.8+10.1
3 Akron1510567%70.761.1+9.6
4 Toledo1510567%86.079.8+6.2
5 UMass1510567%71.168.9+2.3
6 Ohio158753%77.271.7+5.5
7 Bowling Green158753%77.774.1+3.6
8 Buffalo158753%78.775.9+2.7
9 Central Michigan156940%68.168.5-0.5
10 Western Michigan1541127%69.071.3-2.3
11 Eastern Michigan1541127%72.779.8-7.1
12 Northern Illinois1541127%67.576.5-8.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kent State324375
Toledo352863
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