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Kentucky vs Louisville Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 31 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-63
45-30 41-33
Position#86
Record8-4
FormWWLWL
Points / game78.4
Allowed / game66.4
vs
Position#367
Record2-11
FormLWWLL
Points / game61.4
Allowed / game73.5
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Kentucky v Louisville
12 Dec 2026
KENT v LOUI
upcoming
14 Dec 2024
KENT93
LOUI85
31 Dec 2022
KENT86
LOUI63
28 Dec 2019
KENT78
LOUI70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Louisville winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
77-86 OT
77
86
-9
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
106-63
106
63
+43
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
34-36
28-26
49-30
57-33
25-41
47-47
54-23
42-33
21-21
39-20
37-36
36-33
33-27
36-32
27-35
26-28
42-32
46-36
30-42
45-47
145.1Avg total
76.9Scored
68.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)78.466.4144.8+12.067%
Season at home (9)79.759.3139.0+20.389%
Season away (3)74.787.7162.3-13.00%
Last 10 (10)76.968.2145.1+8.760%
Last 5 (5)71.669.6141.2+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.770.0134.7-5.333%
vs Similar (10)75.672.8148.4+2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)80.666.4147.0+14.388%
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
L
54-80
54
80
-26
A21/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
38-70
38
70
-32
H22/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
62-81
62
81
-19
A24/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
54-79
54
79
-25
H30/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
53-80
53
80
-27
H04/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
53-75
53
75
-22
A10/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
94-83
94
83
+11
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
61-55
61
55
+6
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
67-75
67
75
-8
H20/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
64-76
64
76
-12
A23/12
NCAA
1H
2H
28-36
26-44
13-32
25-38
30-31
32-50
26-37
28-42
23-42
30-38
24-36
29-39
46-35
48-48
22-20
39-35
32-33
35-42
28-31
36-45
135.4Avg total
60.0Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)61.473.5134.8-12.115%
Season at home (9)62.871.4134.2-8.722%
Season away (4)58.278.0136.2-19.80%
Last 10 (10)60.075.4135.4-15.420%
Last 5 (5)67.872.8140.6-5.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)62.474.5136.9-12.18%
vs Similar (5)65.665.4131.0+0.260%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -9.3-9.3
-12-6+0+6+121st half1st half: +2.9+2.91st half: -6.1-6.12nd half2nd half: +6.7+6.72nd half: -9.3-9.3
KentuckyLouisville
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Michigan State
#108
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A16/11
NCAA
South Carolina St
#362
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A29/12
NCAA
67.5Avg total
35.2Scored
32.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.532.368.8+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.930.869.8+8.178%-
Last 30 away (12)32.934.567.4-1.642%-
Last 10 (10)35.232.367.5+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.834.468.2-0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.334.362.7-6.033%-
vs Similar (10)35.234.469.6+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)38.830.769.5+8.176%-
This opponent (Louisville) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LouisvilleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Arkansas
#112
L
28-36
28
36
-8
A21/11
NCAA
Texas Tech
#204
L
13-32
13
32
-19
H22/11
NCAA
Cincinnati
#91
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A24/11
NCAA
Maryland
#97
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H30/11
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#122
L
23-42
23
42
-19
H04/12
NCAA
Florida State
#342
L
24-36
24
36
-12
A10/12
NCAA
Western Kentucky
#199
W
46-35
46
35
+11
H15/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
22-20
22
20
+2
H17/12
NCAA
Lipscomb
#116
L
32-33
32
33
-1
H20/12
NCAA
NC State
#66
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A23/12
NCAA
60.5Avg total
27.2Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)28.834.162.9-5.327%-
Last 30 at home (18)30.134.264.2-4.139%-
Last 30 away (12)26.934.060.9-7.18%-
Last 10 (10)27.233.360.5-6.120%-
Last 5 (5)30.431.061.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)28.635.464.0-6.720%-
vs Similar (5)29.627.857.4+1.860%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kentucky wins
1
Louisville wins
DateGameScore
26/12/20Louisville v Kentucky62-59
28/12/19Kentucky v Louisville78-70 OT
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22AMissouri75-89
22/12/22HFlorida A&M88-68
17/12/22HUCLA53-63
10/12/22HYale69-59
04/12/22HMichigan73-69
30/11/22HBellarmine60-41
23/11/22HNorth Florida96-56
21/11/22AGonzaga72-88
18/11/22HSouth Carolina St106-63
16/11/22AMichigan State77-86 OT
Louisvillelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/22ANC State64-76
20/12/22HLipscomb67-75
17/12/22HFlorida A&M61-55
15/12/22HWestern Kentucky94-83
10/12/22AFlorida State53-75
04/12/22HMiami (FL)53-80
30/11/22HMaryland54-79
24/11/22ACincinnati62-81
22/11/22HTexas Tech38-70
21/11/22AArkansas54-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL67%
HomeWWWLW89%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1293
Win %67%89%0%
Points / game78.479.774.7
Allowed / game66.459.387.7
Point differential+12.0+20.3-13.0
Avg total144.8139.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%78%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%33%
Louisville
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL15%
HomeLLWWL22%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1394
Win %15%22%0%
Points / game61.462.858.2
Allowed / game73.571.478.0
Point differential-12.1-8.7-19.8
Avg total134.8134.2136.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Missouri1312192%88.874.7+14.1
2 LSU1312192%72.063.4+8.6
3 Texas1211192%83.862.2+21.6
4 Tennessee1311285%73.853.2+20.5
5 Arkansas1311285%77.761.8+15.9
6 Alabama1311285%83.271.7+11.5
7 Auburn1311285%72.761.8+10.9
8 Mississippi St.1310377%66.756.0+10.7
9 Georgia1310377%71.364.0+7.3
10 Oklahoma129375%69.060.7+8.3
11 Kentucky128467%78.466.4+12.0
12 Texas A&M138562%75.768.6+7.1
13 Ole Miss138562%69.263.5+5.7
14 Florida137654%75.166.7+8.4
15 Vanderbilt137654%69.865.9+3.9
16 South Carolina137654%64.869.1-4.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Virginia Tech1311285%75.462.9+12.5
2 Virginia119282%69.858.5+11.3
3 Clemson1411379%75.966.3+9.6
4 Duke1310377%72.960.4+12.5
5 NC State1511473%79.568.3+11.3
6 Pittsburgh1410471%75.867.9+7.9
7 Miami (FL)2719870%77.271.1+6.1
8 Wake Forest139469%75.570.8+4.8
9 North Carolina149564%80.974.6+6.3
10 Syracuse138562%75.369.4+5.9
11 Georgia Tech127558%72.568.2+4.3
12 Notre Dame148657%70.168.4+1.7
13 Boston College137654%64.366.9-2.6
14 Stanford135838%68.364.5+3.8
15 SMU Mustangs135838%68.270.3-2.1
16 Florida State1441029%68.773.2-4.5
17 Louisville1321115%61.473.5-12.1
18 California141137%58.065.7-7.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky454186
Louisville303363
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