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Kentucky vs LSU Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 74-71
42-38 32-33
Position#86
Record9-4
FormWLWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game66.2
Kentucky 🏆
USA
vs
LSU
USA
Position#264
Record12-1
FormWWWWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game63.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Kentucky v LSU
13 Jan 2027
KENT v LSU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
KENT87
LSU82
04 Mar 2025
KENT95
LSU64
03 Jan 2023
KENT74
LSU71
23 Feb 2022
KENT71
LSU66
23 Jan 2021
KENT82
LSU69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
LSU winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
W
106-63
106
63
+43
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
72-88
72
88
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
96-56
96
56
+40
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
W
60-41
60
41
+19
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
73-69
73
69
+4
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
69-59
69
59
+10
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
53-63
53
63
-10
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
88-68
88
68
+20
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A29/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
86-63
86
63
+23
H31/12
NCAA
1H
2H
49-30
57-33
25-41
47-47
54-23
42-33
21-21
39-20
37-36
36-33
33-27
36-32
27-35
26-28
42-32
46-36
30-42
45-47
45-30
41-33
143.7Avg total
77.8Scored
65.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)79.066.2145.2+12.869%
Season at home (10)80.359.7140.0+20.690%
Season away (3)74.787.7162.3-13.00%
Last 10 (10)77.865.9143.7+11.970%
Last 5 (5)74.268.4142.6+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)64.770.0134.7-5.333%
vs Similar (9)72.172.1144.2+0.044%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)80.966.2147.1+14.889%
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
77-61
77
61
+16
H21/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
W
73-58
73
58
+15
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
L
59-61
59
61
-2
A24/11
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
78-75
78
75
+3
H27/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H03/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
67-57
67
57
+10
H14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
W
89-81
89
81
+8
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
72-68
72
68
+4
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
60-57
60
57
+3
H29/12
NCAA
1H
2H
45-18
32-43
33-35
40-23
41-33
18-28
37-33
41-42
29-22
34-37
33-41
39-29
40-26
27-31
38-39
51-42
37-24
35-44
24-19
36-38
135.7Avg total
71.0Scored
64.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)72.063.4135.4+8.692%
Season at home (10)73.263.5136.7+9.7100%
Season away (3)68.063.0131.0+5.067%
Last 10 (10)71.064.7135.7+6.390%
Last 5 (5)72.066.6138.6+5.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)68.263.0131.2+5.283%
vs Similar (13)71.766.8138.5+4.869%
vs Weaker (11)71.569.5140.9+2.045%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
-9-5+0+5+91st half1st half: +4.6+4.61st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: +7.3+7.32nd half: -0.4-0.4
KentuckyLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Carolina St
#362
W
49-30
49
30
+19
H18/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#13
L
25-41
25
41
-16
A21/11
NCAA
North Florida
#243
W
54-23
54
23
+31
H23/11
NCAA
Bellarmine
#240
D
21-21
21
21
+0
H30/11
NCAA
Michigan
#174
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H04/12
NCAA
Yale
#50
W
33-27
33
27
+6
H10/12
NCAA
UCLA
#12
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H17/12
NCAA
Florida A&M
#352
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H22/12
NCAA
Missouri
#56
L
30-42
30
42
-12
A29/12
NCAA
Louisville
#367
W
45-30
45
30
+15
H31/12
NCAA
68.0Avg total
36.3Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.332.068.3+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (18)38.630.468.9+8.278%-
Last 30 away (12)32.934.567.4-1.642%-
Last 10 (10)36.331.768.0+4.660%-
Last 5 (5)35.433.268.6+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)28.334.362.7-6.033%-
vs Similar (9)33.334.067.3-0.744%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)39.130.769.8+8.478%-
This opponent (LSU) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Illinois State
#303
W
45-18
45
18
+27
H21/11
NCAA
Akron
#59
L
33-35
33
35
-2
A22/11
NCAA
Kansas State
#51
W
41-33
41
33
+8
A24/11
NCAA
Wofford
#195
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H27/11
NCAA
UT Arlington
#300
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H03/12
NCAA
Wake Forest
#142
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A10/12
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#128
W
40-26
40
26
+14
H14/12
NCAA
Winthrop
#232
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H18/12
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#286
W
37-24
37
24
+13
H22/12
NCAA
Arkansas
#112
W
24-19
24
19
+5
H29/12
NCAA
64.7Avg total
35.7Scored
29.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.029.563.6+4.560%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.227.562.7+7.778%-
Last 30 away (12)32.232.664.8-0.333%-
Last 10 (10)35.729.064.7+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)34.429.864.2+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)34.731.265.8+3.567%-
vs Similar (13)34.927.061.9+7.969%-
vs Weaker (11)32.631.664.3+1.045%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kentucky wins
1
LSU wins
DateGameScore
24/02/22Kentucky v LSU71-66
05/01/22LSU v Kentucky65-60
23/01/21Kentucky v LSU82-69
19/02/20LSU v Kentucky76-79
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/22HLouisville86-63
29/12/22AMissouri75-89
22/12/22HFlorida A&M88-68
17/12/22HUCLA53-63
10/12/22HYale69-59
04/12/22HMichigan73-69
30/11/22HBellarmine60-41
23/11/22HNorth Florida96-56
21/11/22AGonzaga72-88
18/11/22HSouth Carolina St106-63
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/12/22HArkansas60-57
22/12/22HEast Tennessee St72-68
18/12/22HWinthrop89-81
14/12/22HN. Carolina Central67-57
10/12/22AWake Forest72-70
03/12/22HUT Arlington63-59
27/11/22HWofford78-75
24/11/22AKansas State59-61
22/11/22AAkron73-58
21/11/22HIllinois State77-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW69%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %69%90%0%
Points / game79.080.374.7
Allowed / game66.259.787.7
Point differential+12.8+20.6-13.0
Avg total145.2140.0162.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+62%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%0%33%
LSU
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games13103
Win %92%100%67%
Points / game72.073.268.0
Allowed / game63.463.563.0
Point differential+8.6+9.7+5.0
Avg total135.4136.7131.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)100% (4)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas1312192%82.762.7+20.0
2 Missouri1312192%88.874.7+14.1
3 LSU1312192%72.063.4+8.6
4 Tennessee1412286%74.753.2+21.5
5 Arkansas1311285%77.761.8+15.9
6 Alabama1311285%83.271.7+11.5
7 Auburn1311285%72.761.8+10.9
8 Georgia1310377%71.364.0+7.3
9 Mississippi St.1410471%65.758.2+7.5
10 Kentucky139469%79.066.2+12.8
11 Oklahoma139469%69.061.4+7.6
12 Texas A&M138562%75.768.6+7.1
13 Ole Miss138562%69.263.5+5.7
14 Vanderbilt148657%70.966.9+4.0
15 Florida137654%75.166.7+8.4
16 South Carolina147750%65.970.1-4.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Kentucky423274
LSU383371
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