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Kentucky vs LSU Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 14 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#138
Record3-1
FormLWWLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game75.8
Kentucky
USA
vs
LSU
USA
Position#13
Record4-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game59.5
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kentucky v LSU
13 Jan 2027
KENT v LSU
upcoming
11 Mar 2026
KENT87
LSU82
04 Mar 2025
KENT95
LSU64
03 Jan 2023
KENT74
LSU71
23 Feb 2022
KENT71
LSU66
23 Jan 2021
KENT82
LSU69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kentucky win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
LSU win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KentuckyUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
77-84
77
84
-7
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
87-82
87
82
+5
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
78-72
78
72
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
W
89-84 OT
89
84
+5
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
63-82
63
82
-19
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
85-57
85
57
+28
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
69-89
69
89
-20
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
78-77
78
77
+1
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
32-49
45-35
46-43
41-39
38-29
40-43
28-37
35-34
29-31
44-42
30-31
33-51
48-22
37-35
39-39
50-41
36-46
33-43
45-37
33-40
155.6Avg total
77.8Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season at home (4)80.275.8156.0+4.575%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)77.877.8155.6+0.060%
Last 5 (5)76.877.0153.8-0.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)71.682.1153.7-10.614%
vs Similar (16)79.877.6157.3+2.269%
vs Weaker (7)83.970.4154.3+13.4100%
This opponent (LSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSUUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
W
106-99 OT
106
99
+7
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
67-83
67
83
-16
H28/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
L
91-94 OT
91
94
-3
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
82-87
82
87
-5
A11/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#171
W
100-57
100
57
+43
H04/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
92-51
92
51
+41
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#208
W
90-50
90
50
+40
H10/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-43
43-47
41-42
41-40
33-41
34-42
34-41
40-47
38-33
32-37
43-46
39-41
53-17
47-40
47-28
45-23
47-20
43-30
39-37
42-43
164.5Avg total
86.6Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)90.859.5150.2+31.2100%
Season at home (3)94.052.7146.7+41.3100%
Season away (1)81.080.0161.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)86.677.9164.5+8.750%
Last 5 (5)89.065.0154.0+24.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.583.6155.1-12.10%
vs Similar (11)85.980.2166.1+5.755%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.868.6151.3+14.278%
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +0.7+0.71st half: +6.7+6.72nd half2nd half: -1.2-1.22nd half: +1.6+1.6
KentuckyLSU
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
KentuckyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Florida
#28
L
32-49
32
49
-17
H07/03
NCAA
LSU
#230
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/03
NCAA
Missouri
#111
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Florida
#28
L
28-37
28
37
-9
A13/03
NCAA
Santa Clara
#39
L
29-31
29
31
-2
H20/03
NCAA
Iowa State
#34
L
30-31
30
31
-1
A22/03
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
48-22
48
22
+26
H04/11
NCAA
James Madison
#282
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H07/11
NCAA
Kansas
#12
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H11/11
NCAA
Northern Arizona
#377
W
45-37
45
37
+8
H14/11
NCAA
73.5Avg total
37.1Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.437.072.3-1.640%-
Last 30 at home (18)37.736.774.4+1.144%-
Last 30 away (12)31.837.469.2-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)37.136.473.5+0.740%-
Last 5 (5)39.635.074.6+4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)32.740.072.7-7.314%-
vs Similar (16)34.638.172.7-3.631%-
vs Weaker (7)39.931.371.1+8.686%-
This opponent (LSU) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LSULast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alabama
#48
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/02
NCAA
Ole Miss
#259
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A26/02
NCAA
Oklahoma
#154
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H28/02
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A04/03
NCAA
Texas A&M
#82
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H07/03
NCAA
Kentucky
#107
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A11/03
NCAA
New Orleans
#171
W
53-17
53
17
+36
H04/11
NCAA
Texas Southern
#328
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Louisiana Tech
#208
W
47-20
47
20
+27
H10/11
NCAA
Gonzaga
#272
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A14/11
NCAA
76.3Avg total
41.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.837.175.0+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.535.975.4+3.656%-
Last 30 away (14)35.938.574.4-2.636%-
Last 10 (10)41.534.876.3+6.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.829.675.4+16.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.240.273.4-7.020%-
vs Similar (11)40.738.178.8+2.645%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.432.672.0+6.978%-
This opponent (Kentucky) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Kentucky wins
2
LSU wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Kentucky v LSU87-82
15/01/26LSU v Kentucky74-75
05/03/25Kentucky v LSU95-64
22/02/24LSU v Kentucky75-74
04/01/23Kentucky v LSU74-71
24/02/22Kentucky v LSU71-66
05/01/22LSU v Kentucky65-60
23/01/21Kentucky v LSU82-69
19/02/20LSU v Kentucky76-79
Kentuckylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HNorthern Arizona78-77
11/11/26HKansas69-89
07/11/26HJames Madison89-80
04/11/26HManhattan85-57
22/03/26AIowa State63-82
20/03/26HSanta Clara89-84 OT
13/03/26AFlorida63-71
12/03/26AMissouri78-72
11/03/26HLSU87-82
07/03/26HFlorida77-84
LSUlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AGonzaga81-80
10/11/26HLouisiana Tech90-50
07/11/26HTexas Southern92-51
04/11/26HNew Orleans100-57
11/03/26AKentucky82-87
07/03/26HTexas A&M91-94 OT
04/03/26AAuburn74-88
28/02/26HOklahoma67-83
26/02/26AOle Miss106-99 OT
21/02/26HAlabama83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kentucky
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLW75%
HomeWWLW75%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %75%75%-
Points / game80.280.2-
Allowed / game75.875.8-
Point differential+4.5+4.5-
Avg total156.0156.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%25%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
LSU
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.894.081.0
Allowed / game59.552.780.0
Point differential+31.2+41.3+1.0
Avg total150.2146.7161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southeastern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Texas330100%100.057.0+43.0
2 Ole Miss330100%94.056.3+37.7
3 Texas A&M440100%99.267.2+32.0
4 LSU440100%90.859.5+31.2
5 Vanderbilt440100%90.260.2+30.0
6 South Carolina440100%78.856.5+22.2
7 Alabama440100%97.076.0+21.0
8 Florida440100%82.262.5+19.8
9 Tennessee330100%81.061.3+19.7
10 Georgia440100%81.870.2+11.5
11 Mississippi St.43175%87.267.5+19.8
12 Arkansas43175%83.267.8+15.5
13 Oklahoma43175%75.863.8+12.0
14 Kentucky43175%80.275.8+4.5
15 Missouri32167%97.066.0+31.0
16 Auburn32167%78.764.0+14.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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