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Keravnos vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 May 2026
Tip-off: 16:30
Final 94-80
16-15 27-24 25-19 26-22
Position#2
Record25-6
FormLWWLL
Points / game88.1
Allowed / game73.7
vs
Position#1
Record27-4
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.5
Allowed / game73.9
CyprusDivision ADivision A - Final· Costas Papaellinas Arena
Other2025-26
Meetings · Keravnos v AEK Larnaca
27 Nov 2026
KER v ALA
upcoming
21 May 2026
KER94
ALA80
13 May 2026
KER81
ALA86
08 Mar 2026
KER75
ALA71
17 May 2025
KER83
ALA87
13 Nov 2024
KER91
ALA92
10 Nov 2024
KER81
ALA96
27 May 2024
KER68
ALA63
19 May 2024
KER92
ALA74
17 Apr 2024
KER83
ALA79
14 Feb 2024
KER87
ALA83
22 May 2023
KER70
ALA72
14 May 2023
KER96
ALA87
07 May 2023
KER83
ALA84
15 Jan 2023
KER93
ALA78
24 May 2022
KER73
ALA57
17 May 2022
KER83
ALA55
05 Oct 2021
KER84
ALA87
21 Apr 2021
KER65
ALA72
14 Apr 2021
KER87
ALA67
07 Apr 2021
KER86
ALA88
25 Feb 2021
KER80
ALA70
16 Jan 2021
KER83
ALA74
08 Feb 2020
KER68
ALA72
03 Nov 2019
KER77
ALA64
04 May 2019
KER93
ALA86
23 Apr 2019
KER89
ALA81
14 Feb 2019
KER70
ALA69
08 Dec 2018
KER95
ALA100
01 May 2018
KER70
ALA76
21 Jan 2018
KER74
ALA82
02 May 2017
KER82
ALA72
25 Apr 2017
KER80
ALA79
20 Jan 2017
KER91
ALA71
29 Oct 2016
KER78
ALA70
16 Mar 2016
KER81
ALA72
21 Feb 2016
KER57
ALA62
31 Mar 2015
KER59
ALA72
24 Mar 2015
KER74
ALA73
04 Jan 2015
KER71
ALA73
01 Feb 2014
KER75
ALA76
29 Nov 2013
KER65
ALA72
05 Feb 2013
KER69
ALA54
16 Jan 2013
KER67
ALA75
24 Mar 2012
KER78
ALA64
17 Mar 2012
KER60
ALA72
10 Mar 2012
KER86
ALA78
17 Dec 2011
KER73
ALA60
13 Mar 2011
KER102
ALA56
05 Dec 2010
KER78
ALA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
W
101-58
101
58
+43
106avg 85
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
92-71
92
71
+21
93avg 85
H07/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
80-87
80
87
-7
69avg 85
H18/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
85-81
85
81
+4
86avg 85
A22/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
86-66
86
66
+20
85avg 85
H25/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
82-87
82
87
-5
76avg 85
A29/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
92-60
92
60
+32
96avg 85
H02/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
75-68
75
68
+7
71avg 85
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
81-86
81
86
-5
68avg 85
H13/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
73avg 85
A17/05
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-13
19-19
27-14
28-12
25-22
28-13
21-21
18-15
24-18
14-17
17-29
25-23
18-23
18-23
21-20
28-15
30-19
18-8
22-24
16-15
21-23
19-19
24-17
18-28
22-20
30-16
20-11
20-13
16-13
24-19
14-18
21-18
25-14
19-27
15-25
22-20
27-22
17-18
17-13
14-23
158.9Avg total
84.9Scored
74.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)88.173.7161.8+14.381%
Season at home (16)90.770.8161.5+19.988%
Season away (15)85.376.9162.1+8.473%
Last 10 (10)84.974.0158.9+10.960%
Last 5 (5)81.075.4156.4+5.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.597.0160.5-33.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)78.378.7157.0-0.350%
vs Weaker (22)92.673.0165.5+19.691%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
80-75
80
75
+5
78avg 81
A05/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
78-71
78
71
+7
70avg 81
H08/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
99-77
99
77
+22
98avg 81
H17/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 81
A21/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
89-72
89
72
+17
88avg 81
H24/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
87-95
87
95
-8
85avg 81
A28/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
85-71
85
71
+14
83avg 81
H01/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
68-75
68
75
-7
54avg 81
H09/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 81
A13/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
W
76-75
76
75
+1
74avg 81
H17/05
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-30
23-16
23-18
16-11
22-13
12-26
23-13
21-19
27-25
23-25
27-14
22-13
12-22
17-23
18-14
32-23
29-21
19-17
21-17
20-17
21-14
23-30
21-23
22-28
22-14
25-25
23-20
15-12
13-16
19-24
18-14
18-21
14-25
27-19
25-15
20-22
22-27
18-17
13-17
23-14
160.1Avg total
82.7Scored
77.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)86.573.9160.4+12.787%
Season at home (17)85.971.3157.2+14.694%
Season away (14)87.477.0164.4+10.479%
Last 10 (10)82.777.4160.1+5.370%
Last 5 (5)80.479.4159.8+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.095.0167.0-23.00%
vs Similar ◀ (6)81.376.8158.2+4.567%
vs Weaker (22)87.574.5162.0+12.991%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.8+4.8Q1: -0.7-0.7Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -1.6-1.6Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +4.7+4.7Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.9+2.9
KeravnosAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AEL
#3
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H04/04
Division A
Apollon
#6
W
53-35
53
35
+18
H07/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H18/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A22/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
48-27
48
27
+21
H25/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A29/04
Division A
AEL
#3
W
52-36
52
36
+16
H02/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A09/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H13/05
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#1
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A17/05
Division A
80.7Avg total
44.1Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.037.881.8+6.270%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.336.783.0+9.580%-
Last 30 away (15)41.838.980.7+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)44.136.680.7+7.580%-
Last 5 (5)44.038.282.2+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)27.542.570.0-15.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)42.241.884.0+0.367%-
vs Weaker (22)46.036.382.3+9.877%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A05/04
Division A
AEL
#3
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
D
50-50
50
50
+0
H17/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A21/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
48-38
48
38
+10
H24/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A28/04
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H09/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/05
Division A
Keravnos
#2
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H17/05
Division A
83.5Avg total
40.6Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.839.583.2+4.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.638.182.7+6.567%-
Last 30 away (15)42.940.883.7+2.160%-
Last 10 (10)40.642.983.5-2.320%-
Last 5 (5)40.842.283.0-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)29.544.073.5-14.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.741.284.8+2.550%-
vs Weaker (22)45.138.683.7+6.568%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 84.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.0 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.825.0
55.8%
51.5%50.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.67.1
34.5%
32.9%21.3
🏀 Free throws16.313.1
80.4%
71.5%13.1
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.9 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.6
53.6%
51.5%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.79.2
30.0%
32.9%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.413.9
71.6%
71.5%13.9
They take 69.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
LLWWLWWLWW
AEK Larnaca
WWLWLWLWWW
#2
League position
#1
+12.2
Net rating
+6.7
99.1
Offensive rating
96.9
86.9
Defensive rating
90.2
54.5%
Effective FG%
49.8%
46.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
15.4%
Turnover %
11.8%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.5%
3-point %
30.0%
59.2%
Assist %
68.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence99.1 · 96.9Defence86.9 · 90.2Shooting54.5% · 49.8%3-point %34.5% · 30.0%Ball care15.4% · 11.8%Free throws0.25 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Keravnos   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Keravnos wins
8
AEK Larnaca wins
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26AAEK Larnaca75-76
13/05/26HAEK Larnaca81-86
09/05/26AAEK Larnaca75-68
02/05/26HAEL92-60
29/04/26AAEL82-87
25/04/26HAEL86-66
22/04/26AAEL85-81
18/04/26HAEL80-87
07/04/26HApollon92-71
04/04/26HAEL101-58
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/05/26HKeravnos76-75
13/05/26AKeravnos86-81
09/05/26HKeravnos68-75
01/05/26HApoel BC85-71
28/04/26AApoel BC87-95
24/04/26HApoel BC89-72
21/04/26AApoel BC79-82
17/04/26HApoel BC99-77
08/04/26HAEL78-71
05/04/26AApoel BC80-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL81%
HomeWLWWL88%
AwayLWLWL73%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %81%88%73%
Points / game88.190.785.3
Allowed / game73.770.876.9
Point differential+14.3+19.9+8.4
Avg total161.8161.5162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%69%53%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)67% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW87%
HomeWWWLW94%
AwayWWLLW79%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311714
Win %87%94%79%
Points / game86.585.987.4
Allowed / game73.971.377.0
Point differential+12.7+14.6+10.4
Avg total160.4157.2164.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+61%71%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (1)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 AEK Larnaca3127487%86.573.9+12.7
2 Keravnos3125681%88.173.7+14.3
3 AEL28171161%80.281.0-0.8
4 Apoel BC28131546%80.083.9-3.9
5 Paralimni2391439%82.183.0-0.9
6 Apollon2391439%83.186.1-3.0
7 Anorthosis1871139%75.179.2-4.2
8 Morphou1861233%78.185.4-7.3
9 ETHA Engomi1831517%82.394.0-11.7
10 Achilleas K.1821611%71.882.8-11.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos1627252694
AEK Larnaca1524192280
← all games of the day
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