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Keravnos vs AEK Larnaca Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 14 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 87-83
27-15 16-24 17-28 27-16
Position#1
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.8
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#2
Record14-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game71.9
CyprusDivision ARound 19· Costas Papaellinas Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Keravnos v AEK Larnaca
27 Nov 2026
KER v ALA
upcoming
21 May 2026
KER94
ALA80
13 May 2026
KER81
ALA86
08 Mar 2026
KER75
ALA71
17 May 2025
KER83
ALA87
13 Nov 2024
KER91
ALA92
10 Nov 2024
KER81
ALA96
27 May 2024
KER68
ALA63
19 May 2024
KER92
ALA74
17 Apr 2024
KER83
ALA79
14 Feb 2024
KER87
ALA83
22 May 2023
KER70
ALA72
14 May 2023
KER96
ALA87
07 May 2023
KER83
ALA84
15 Jan 2023
KER93
ALA78
24 May 2022
KER73
ALA57
17 May 2022
KER83
ALA55
05 Oct 2021
KER84
ALA87
21 Apr 2021
KER65
ALA72
14 Apr 2021
KER87
ALA67
07 Apr 2021
KER86
ALA88
25 Feb 2021
KER80
ALA70
16 Jan 2021
KER83
ALA74
08 Feb 2020
KER68
ALA72
03 Nov 2019
KER77
ALA64
04 May 2019
KER93
ALA86
23 Apr 2019
KER89
ALA81
14 Feb 2019
KER70
ALA69
08 Dec 2018
KER95
ALA100
01 May 2018
KER70
ALA76
21 Jan 2018
KER74
ALA82
02 May 2017
KER82
ALA72
25 Apr 2017
KER80
ALA79
20 Jan 2017
KER91
ALA71
29 Oct 2016
KER78
ALA70
16 Mar 2016
KER81
ALA72
21 Feb 2016
KER57
ALA62
31 Mar 2015
KER59
ALA72
24 Mar 2015
KER74
ALA73
04 Jan 2015
KER71
ALA73
01 Feb 2014
KER75
ALA76
29 Nov 2013
KER65
ALA72
05 Feb 2013
KER69
ALA54
16 Jan 2013
KER67
ALA75
24 Mar 2012
KER78
ALA64
17 Mar 2012
KER60
ALA72
10 Mar 2012
KER86
ALA78
17 Dec 2011
KER73
ALA60
13 Mar 2011
KER102
ALA56
05 Dec 2010
KER78
ALA75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Keravnos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Larnaca winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KeravnosCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKeravnos
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
88-86
88
86
+2
79avg 80
H27/11
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 80
A03/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
75-72
75
72
+3
70avg 80
H10/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
80-56
80
56
+24
86avg 80
A14/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
101-70
101
70
+31
98avg 80
H21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
83-76
83
76
+7
85avg 80
A13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
114-68
114
68
+46
127avg 80
H19/01
Division A
AEL
#5
W
71-62
71
62
+9
67avg 80
A29/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
85-58
85
58
+27
82avg 80
H03/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
75-61
75
61
+14
66avg 80
A09/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-18
23-25
20-25
18-18
19-16
17-19
19-11
16-34
18-14
16-17
19-23
22-18
23-13
23-8
23-11
11-24
32-14
19-16
26-23
24-17
23-26
18-18
22-16
20-16
30-16
22-17
33-19
29-16
16-14
17-19
22-12
16-17
23-10
26-12
19-12
17-24
17-15
17-18
19-12
22-16
153.2Avg total
84.3Scored
68.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)85.868.4154.1+17.488%
Season at home (8)92.172.4164.5+19.888%
Season away (8)79.464.4143.8+15.088%
Last 10 (10)84.368.9153.2+15.490%
Last 5 (5)85.665.0150.6+20.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)76.591.5168.0-15.017%
vs Similar ◀ (8)73.576.8150.2-3.238%
vs Weaker (16)89.367.1156.4+22.294%
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaCyprusLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLarnaca
Date
Competition
PAEEK
#6
W
83-74
83
74
+9
77avg 80
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
W
80-71
80
71
+9
79avg 80
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
90-68
90
68
+22
94avg 80
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
112-71
112
71
+41
120avg 80
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
83-52
83
52
+31
82avg 80
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
78-66
78
66
+12
72avg 80
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
72-82
72
82
-10
65avg 80
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
114-87
114
87
+27
115avg 80
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
98-77
98
77
+21
99avg 80
A03/02
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
120-80
120
80
+40
121avg 80
H09/02
Division A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
22-16
17-17
19-16
16-19
19-17
11-19
34-16
27-13
16-18
26-13
21-24
30-23
22-16
31-13
29-19
24-10
17-11
30-15
12-16
20-11
20-16
18-23
20-16
24-24
19-25
17-17
12-16
33-14
28-21
29-25
24-27
25-19
28-19
28-21
17-18
35-25
28-22
34-14
23-19
165.8Avg total
93.0Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)88.971.9160.8+16.988%
Season at home (8)93.871.4165.1+22.4100%
Season away (8)84.072.5156.5+11.575%
Last 10 (10)93.072.8165.8+20.290%
Last 5 (5)96.478.4174.8+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)70.083.0153.0-13.033%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.573.0150.5+4.562%
vs Weaker (18)89.274.6163.8+14.783%
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: +7.6+7.6Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: +5.8+5.8Q3: +6.4+6.4Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +2.4+2.4
KeravnosAEK Larnaca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KeravnosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Apoel BC
#4
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H27/11
Division A
AEK Larnaca
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A03/12
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
W
34-31
34
31
+3
H10/12
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
46-21
46
21
+25
A14/12
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H21/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A13/01
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H19/01
Division A
AEL
#5
D
33-33
33
33
+0
A29/01
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
49-22
49
22
+27
H03/02
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A09/02
Division A
75.1Avg total
42.6Scored
32.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.935.877.7+6.167%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.136.481.5+8.675%-
Last 30 away (14)38.235.173.3+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)42.632.575.1+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)41.833.074.8+8.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.544.378.8-9.817%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)37.535.573.0+2.062%-
vs Weaker (16)46.832.879.6+14.188%-
This opponent (AEK Larnaca) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK LarnacaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
PAEEK
#6
W
47-41
47
41
+6
A27/11
Division A
Keravnos
#1
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/12
Division A
Apop Paphou
#9
W
43-31
43
31
+12
A09/12
Division A
Paralimni
#11
W
52-39
52
39
+13
H14/12
Division A
Achilleas K.
#10
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A22/12
Division A
Apoel BC
#4
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H05/01
Division A
Anorthosis
#3
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A19/01
Division A
ETHA Engomi
#7
W
61-35
61
35
+26
H28/01
Division A
Apollon
#8
W
53-38
53
38
+15
A03/02
Division A
PAEEK
#6
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H09/02
Division A
84.2Avg total
47.8Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.378.2+5.767%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.735.879.5+7.979%-
Last 30 away (16)40.436.777.1+3.856%-
Last 10 (10)47.836.484.2+11.480%-
Last 5 (5)52.039.291.2+12.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)38.346.384.7-8.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)38.437.075.4+1.438%-
vs Weaker (18)44.035.179.1+8.983%-
This opponent (Keravnos) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Keravnostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Keravnos: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.722.9
54.9%
51.0%45.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.48.8
39.3%
32.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws16.611.1
66.9%
71.2%11.1
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Larnacatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Larnaca: 92.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers52.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.4 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.4 points a game
51%
33%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.826.1
59.6%
51.0%52.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.8
34.2%
32.6%23.4
🏀 Free throws20.516.6
81.0%
71.2%16.6
They take 66.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Keravnos
WWWWWWWWLW
AEK Larnaca
WWWLWWWWWW
#1
League position
#2
+21.0
Net rating
+26.9
115.3
Offensive rating
123.0
94.2
Defensive rating
96.0
56.3%
Effective FG%
56.8%
45.9%
Opp. effective FG%
48.2%
17.7%
Turnover %
15.6%
35.0%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.31
39.3%
3-point %
34.2%
61.2%
Assist %
60.8%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence115.3 · 123.0Defence94.2 · 96.0Shooting56.3% · 56.8%3-point %39.3% · 34.2%Ball care17.7% · 15.6%Off. rebounds35.0% · 36.2%Free throws0.26 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Keravnos   ■ AEK Larnaca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Keravnos wins
5
AEK Larnaca wins
Keravnoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24AApoel BC75-61
03/02/24HAchilleas K.85-58
29/01/24AAEL71-62
19/01/24HParalimni114-68
13/01/24AApop Paphou83-76
21/12/23HPAEEK101-70
14/12/23AETHA Engomi80-56
10/12/23HAnorthosis75-72
03/12/23AAEK Larnaca71-80
27/11/23HApoel BC88-86
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/02/24HPAEEK120-80
03/02/24AApollon98-77
28/01/24HETHA Engomi114-87
19/01/24AAnorthosis72-82
05/01/24HApoel BC78-66
22/12/23AAchilleas K.83-52
14/12/23HParalimni112-71
09/12/23AApop Paphou90-68
03/12/23HKeravnos80-71
27/11/23APAEEK83-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Keravnos
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW88%
AwayLWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%88%88%
Points / game85.892.179.4
Allowed / game68.472.464.4
Point differential+17.4+19.8+15.0
Avg total154.1164.5143.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%62%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Larnaca
Division A 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game88.993.884.0
Allowed / game71.971.472.5
Point differential+16.9+22.4+11.5
Avg total160.8165.1156.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+69%88%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Keravnos1614288%85.868.4+17.4
2 AEK Larnaca1614288%88.971.9+16.9
3 Anorthosis1613381%85.167.9+17.2
4 Apoel BC1611569%74.972.1+2.8
5 AEL1610662%82.472.8+9.6
6 PAEEK1761135%81.689.1-7.5
7 Apollon1761135%76.086.0-10.0
8 ETHA Engomi1651131%76.884.0-7.2
9 Apop Paphou1541127%75.984.0-8.1
10 Achilleas K.1741324%67.678.1-10.5
11 Paralimni1621412%67.987.2-19.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Keravnos2716172787
AEK Larnaca1524281683
← all games of the day
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