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Khimki M. vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 29 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 15:45
Final 64-73
18-20 20-17 15-22 11-14
Position#8
Record16-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game78.3
Khimki M.
vs
Fenerbahce 🏆
Position#2
Record20-8
FormLWWWW
Points / game80.6
Allowed / game74.7
EuropeEuroleagueRound 29
European cup2017
Meetings · Khimki M. v Fenerbahce
28 Jan 2021
KHM76
FEN107
08 Jan 2019
KHM84
FEN78
29 Mar 2018
KHM64
FEN73
17 Dec 2015
KHM68
FEN70
22 Mar 2013
KHM99
FEN76
15 Nov 2012
KHM71
FEN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
98-80
98
80
+18
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#5
W
78-61
78
61
+17
H23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
77-87
77
87
-10
A01/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
W
82-79
82
79
+3
A04/03
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
77-86
77
86
-9
H08/03
Euroleague
Astana
#10
L
79-84
79
84
-5
A11/03
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
94-91
94
91
+3
A15/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A21/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H23/03
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
L
80-83
80
83
-3
H26/03
VTB United League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
22-21
22-27
32-20
24-18
22-13
17-15
15-15
26-18
13-26
13-25
25-18
23-19
14-21
24-22
21-17
20-30
19-19
23-12
15-25
16-29
22-17
16-26
25-12
21-19
23-20
21-27
29-25
18-29
24-20
19-12
24-12
17-29
20-24
21-15
15-22
16-18
15-20
19-28
30-17
163.7Avg total
82.3Scored
81.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)78.378.3156.6-0.057%
Season at home (14)78.176.0154.1+2.164%
Season away (14)78.480.6159.1-2.250%
Last 10 (10)82.381.4163.7+0.950%
Last 5 (5)82.284.2166.4-2.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.387.1162.4-11.90%
vs Similar (12)80.677.2157.8+3.358%
vs Weaker (11)82.976.1159.0+6.873%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
89-70
89
70
+19
H22/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
W
86-83
86
83
+3
A02/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#9
W
80-60
80
60
+20
H04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
A09/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
74-69
74
69
+5
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H16/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#6
W
76-69
76
69
+7
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
87-73
87
73
+14
H20/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
80-63
80
63
+17
A22/03
Euroleague
Eskisehir
#7
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
25-13
17-15
24-22
20-20
20-25
28-20
18-18
18-13
19-18
19-20
24-9
17-24
14-16
21-18
33-20
15-12
19-17
21-20
19-20
23-25
17-19
18-10
21-27
18-18
27-18
17-18
14-15
16-21
29-15
29-20
13-17
22-17
18-14
25-10
15-22
23-19
27-15
12-18
17-17
153.0Avg total
81.5Scored
71.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)80.674.7155.3+5.971%
Season at home (14)80.473.5153.9+6.971%
Season away (14)80.875.9156.7+4.971%
Last 10 (10)81.571.5153.0+10.090%
Last 5 (5)80.271.0151.2+9.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)81.078.6159.6+2.462%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)81.872.0153.8+9.886%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +4.5+4.5Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +4.8+4.8Q4: +1.1+1.1
Khimki M.Fenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zenit Petersburg
#3
W
44-33
44
33
+11
A15/02
VTB United League
Panathinaikos
#5
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H23/02
Euroleague
Baskonia
#7
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A01/03
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
A04/03
VTB United League
Olimpia Milano
#15
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H08/03
Euroleague
Astana
#10
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A11/03
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A15/03
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A21/03
Euroleague
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H23/03
Euroleague
Unics Kazan
#2
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H26/03
VTB United League
81.9Avg total
39.7Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.840.979.7-2.030%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.638.376.9+0.338%-
Last 30 away (17)39.042.881.8-3.824%-
Last 10 (10)39.742.281.9-2.530%-
Last 5 (5)38.445.083.4-6.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.744.078.7-9.314%-
vs Similar (12)40.839.280.1+1.642%-
vs Weaker (11)39.340.679.9-1.427%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H22/02
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#3
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A02/03
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#9
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H04/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Zalgiris Kaunas
#4
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A09/03
Euroleague
Karsiyaka
#10
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A11/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H16/03
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#6
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H18/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H20/03
Euroleague
Crvena zvezda
#14
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A22/03
Euroleague
Eskisehir
#7
W
50-34
50
34
+16
H25/03
Basketbol Süper Ligi
76.9Avg total
41.0Scored
35.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.277.2+4.970%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.736.879.5+5.971%-
Last 30 away (13)38.835.474.2+3.569%-
Last 10 (10)41.035.976.9+5.170%-
Last 5 (5)44.036.280.2+7.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (8)37.839.977.6-2.125%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)42.534.376.9+8.290%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.6
55.0%
51.7%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.7
33.9%
37.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.8
79.5%
76.3%12.8
They take 62.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.019.2
54.9%
51.7%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.89.1
46.0%
37.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws20.316.4
80.8%
76.3%16.4
They take 54.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
LLWWLLWLWW
Fenerbahce
WWWWLWWWWW
#8
League position
#2
+4.6
Net rating
+7.8
114.5
Offensive rating
121.2
109.9
Defensive rating
113.3
53.1%
Effective FG%
59.9%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
16.2%
Turnover %
17.5%
33.3%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.37
33.9%
3-point %
46.0%
66.1%
Assist %
72.1%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence114.5 · 121.2Defence109.9 · 113.3Shooting53.1% · 59.9%3-point %33.9% · 46.0%Ball care16.2% · 17.5%Off. rebounds33.3% · 29.9%Free throws0.26 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)50% · 90%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Khimki M. wins
5
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
24/11/17Fenerbahce v Khimki M.71-67
17/12/15Khimki M. v Fenerbahce68-70
13/11/15Fenerbahce v Khimki M.88-83
22/03/13Khimki M. v Fenerbahce99-76
24/01/13Fenerbahce v Khimki M.85-82
15/11/12Khimki M. v Fenerbahce71-70
11/10/12Fenerbahce v Khimki M.92-80
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/18HUnics Kazan80-83
23/03/18HCSKA Moscow73-90
21/03/18AAnadolu Efes85-73
15/03/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv94-91
11/03/18AAstana79-84
08/03/18HOlimpia Milano77-86
04/03/18ANizhny Novgorod82-79
01/03/18ABaskonia77-87
23/02/18HPanathinaikos78-61
15/02/18AZenit Petersburg98-80
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/18HEskisehir79-69
22/03/18ACrvena zvezda80-63
20/03/18HMaccabi Tel Aviv87-73
18/03/18HDarussafaka76-69
16/03/18HCSKA Moscow79-81
11/03/18AKarsiyaka74-69
09/03/18AZalgiris Kaunas85-78
04/03/18HGalatasaray80-60
02/03/18AReal Madrid86-83
22/02/18HOlimpia Milano89-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL57%
HomeWWWLL64%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %57%64%50%
Points / game78.378.178.4
Allowed / game78.376.080.6
Point differential-0.0+2.1-2.2
Avg total156.6154.1159.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%21%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (3)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW71%
HomeWWWLW71%
AwayWLWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %71%71%71%
Points / game80.680.480.8
Allowed / game74.773.575.9
Point differential+5.9+6.9+4.9
Avg total155.3153.9156.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%36%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won58% (12)57% (7)60% (5)
Overtime %11%7%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2823582%90.079.4+10.6
2 Fenerbahce2820871%80.674.7+5.9
3 Olympiacos2819968%77.376.0+1.3
4 Real Madrid28171161%85.779.6+6.0
5 Panathinaikos28171161%78.577.6+0.8
6 Zalgiris Kaunas28161257%81.280.6+0.6
7 Khimki M.28161257%78.378.3-0.0
8 Baskonia28151354%83.079.3+3.8
9 Maccabi Tel Aviv28131546%81.684.3-2.7
10 Valencia28111739%79.281.8-2.6
11 Unicaja28111739%78.681.8-3.2
12 Bamberg28111739%76.680.6-4.0
13 Crvena zvezda28111739%77.683.6-6.0
14 Barcelona2891932%80.880.0+0.9
15 Olimpia Milano2891932%81.185.8-4.6
16 Anadolu Efes2862221%77.083.7-6.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Khimki M.1820151164
Fenerbahce2017221473
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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