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Real Madrid vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 02 Mar 2018
Tip-off: 20:00
Final 83-86
20-20 25-20 20-28 18-18
Position#3
Record14-9
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game78.9
Real Madrid
vs
Fenerbahce 🏆
Position#2
Record16-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.5
EuropeEuroleagueRound 24
European cup2017
Meetings · Real Madrid v Fenerbahce
29 Oct 2026
MAD95
FEN76
30 Oct 2025
MAD84
FEN58
05 Dec 2024
MAD70
FEN82
07 Mar 2024
MAD79
FEN89
29 Mar 2023
MAD90
FEN75
21 Oct 2021
MAD70
FEN69
20 Nov 2020
MAD94
FEN74
07 Mar 2019
MAD101
FEN86
20 May 2018
MAD85
FEN80
02 Mar 2018
MAD83
FEN86
31 Mar 2017
MAD61
FEN56
19 Apr 2016
MAD63
FEN75
03 Dec 2015
MAD80
FEN73
15 May 2015
MAD96
FEN87
30 Nov 2012
MAD77
FEN61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Real Madrid winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Real MadridLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMadrid
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
87-68
87
68
+19
125avg 117
H25/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
95-65
95
65
+30
119avg 117
H28/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
87-93
87
93
-6
115avg 117
A01/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
L
87-89
87
89
-2
116avg 117
A03/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
79-80
79
80
-1
no box
H09/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
89-76
89
76
+13
123avg 117
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
W
77-59
77
59
+18
no box
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
no box
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
101-74
101
74
+27
138avg 117
A23/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-14
19-16
21-17
27-21
19-21
29-13
25-13
22-18
11-33
20-21
29-24
27-15
28-19
27-32
17-16
15-22
20-21
19-24
23-20
17-15
18-21
25-13
25-19
21-23
26-23
20-22
18-21
25-18
11-19
26-19
19-11
21-10
21-15
13-25
18-27
38-25
30-13
22-22
31-22
18-17
166.1Avg total
88.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)85.278.9164.1+6.361%
Season at home (11)86.076.2162.2+9.873%
Season away (12)84.581.4165.9+3.150%
Last 10 (10)88.178.0166.1+10.160%
Last 5 (5)89.277.0166.2+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)85.779.0164.7+6.771%
vs Weaker (22)88.977.2166.1+11.773%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
W
67-62
67
62
+5
94avg 105
H17/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
89-84
89
84
+5
no box
A19/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
W
86-82
86
82
+4
115avg 105
H26/01
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
L
61-63
61
63
-2
no box
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
L
70-95
70
95
-25
94avg 105
A01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
100-74
100
74
+26
no box
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
77-69
77
69
+8
105avg 105
H09/02
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#13
W
95-90
95
90
+5
no box
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
no box
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
89-70
89
70
+19
120avg 105
H22/02
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-20
17-10
12-20
20-12
24-24
22-11
22-22
21-27
22-18
20-26
23-13
21-25
15-14
19-17
11-18
16-14
18-34
18-11
18-26
16-24
27-10
30-24
14-22
29-18
16-13
26-19
19-16
16-21
21-14
24-25
21-23
29-28
14-26
22-19
25-22
19-16
23-20
25-13
17-15
24-22
158.6Avg total
81.4Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)80.074.5154.5+5.570%
Season at home (12)80.072.9152.9+7.175%
Season away (11)80.076.3156.3+3.764%
Last 10 (10)81.477.2158.6+4.270%
Last 5 (5)88.277.2165.4+11.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)82.477.1159.5+5.275%
vs Weaker (21)84.174.0158.0+10.181%
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.5+0.5Q1: +0.5+0.5Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +4.8+4.8Q3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q3: -1.5-1.5Q4Q4: +4.7+4.7Q4: +0.4+0.4
Real MadridFenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Real MadridLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H25/01
Euroleague
Bilbao
#17
W
48-34
48
34
+14
H28/01
ACB
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A01/02
Euroleague
MoraBanc Andorra
#6
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A03/02
ACB
Olympiacos
#6
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H09/02
Euroleague
Tenerife
#8
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H11/02
ACB
Unicaja
#6
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H15/02
Spanish Cup
Tenerife
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A17/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#1
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H18/02
Spanish Cup
Barcelona
#12
W
52-35
52
35
+17
A23/02
Euroleague
83.0Avg total
42.4Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.738.581.2+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.339.381.5+3.060%-
Last 30 away (15)43.237.780.9+5.567%-
Last 10 (10)42.440.683.0+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)42.438.480.8+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)37.339.076.3-1.743%-
vs Weaker (22)44.338.082.4+6.368%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#5
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/01
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#16
W
46-35
46
35
+11
A19/01
Euroleague
Barcelona
#12
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H26/01
Euroleague
Banvit
#5
W
34-31
34
31
+3
A28/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olympiacos
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A01/02
Euroleague
Anadolu Efes
#3
W
57-34
57
34
+23
H04/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bamberg
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H09/02
Euroleague
Gaziantep
#13
W
45-39
45
39
+6
A11/02
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H14/02
Turkish Cup
Olimpia Milano
#15
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H22/02
Euroleague
78.9Avg total
42.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.436.078.4+6.480%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.735.277.9+7.575%-
Last 30 away (14)42.136.979.0+5.186%-
Last 10 (10)42.136.878.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)45.636.682.2+9.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (8)39.638.277.9+1.462%-
vs Weaker (21)43.834.778.5+9.090%-
This opponent (Real Madrid) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Real Madridtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Real Madrid: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.8
57.5%
51.7%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.49.8
37.1%
37.6%29.4
🏀 Free throws21.015.4
73.3%
76.3%15.4
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 77.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.1 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.5 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.1
51.5%
51.7%40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.17.7
38.3%
37.6%23.1
🏀 Free throws18.614.6
78.5%
76.3%14.6
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2018 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Real Madrid
WLWWWLLLWW
Fenerbahce
WLWWWLLWWW
#3
League position
#2
+12.6
Net rating
+3.7
118.0
Offensive rating
114.1
105.5
Defensive rating
110.5
56.7%
Effective FG%
53.6%
51.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
16.2%
Turnover %
16.6%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
34.0%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.1%
3-point %
38.3%
60.1%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence118.0 · 114.1Defence105.5 · 110.5Shooting56.7% · 53.6%3-point %37.1% · 38.3%Ball care16.2% · 16.6%Off. rebounds33.4% · 34.0%Free throws0.34 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Real Madrid   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Real Madrid wins
6
Fenerbahce wins
DateGameScore
28/12/17Fenerbahce v Real Madrid77-79
19/05/17Fenerbahce v Real Madrid84-75
31/03/17Real Madrid v Fenerbahce61-56
01/12/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid78-77
19/04/16Real Madrid v Fenerbahce63-75
14/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid100-78
12/04/16Fenerbahce v Real Madrid75-69
03/12/15Real Madrid v Fenerbahce80-73
30/10/15Fenerbahce v Real Madrid77-66
15/05/15Real Madrid v Fenerbahce96-87
Real Madridlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/18ABarcelona101-74
18/02/18HBarcelona90-92
17/02/18ATenerife77-59
15/02/18HUnicaja89-84
11/02/18HTenerife89-76
09/02/18HOlympiacos79-80
03/02/18AMoraBanc Andorra87-89
01/02/18ACSKA Moscow87-93
28/01/18HBilbao95-65
25/01/18HAnadolu Efes87-68
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/18HOlimpia Milano89-70
14/02/18HAnadolu Efes80-83
11/02/18AGaziantep95-90
09/02/18HBamberg77-69
04/02/18HAnadolu Efes100-74
01/02/18AOlympiacos70-95
28/01/18ABanvit61-63
26/01/18HBarcelona86-82
19/01/18AAnadolu Efes89-84
17/01/18HPanathinaikos67-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Real Madrid
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW61%
HomeWWWWL73%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231112
Win %61%73%50%
Points / game85.286.084.5
Allowed / game78.976.281.4
Point differential+6.3+9.8+3.1
Avg total164.1162.2165.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+52%64%42%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2017
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW70%
HomeWWWWW75%
AwayWLWWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %70%75%64%
Points / game80.080.080.0
Allowed / game74.572.976.3
Point differential+5.5+7.1+3.7
Avg total154.5152.9156.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%33%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (10)67% (6)50% (4)
Overtime %13%8%18%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 CSKA Moscow2419579%90.079.8+10.2
2 Olympiacos2417771%76.974.5+2.3
3 Fenerbahce2316770%80.074.5+5.5
4 Zalgiris Kaunas2415962%82.380.7+1.6
5 Real Madrid2314961%85.278.9+6.3
6 Khimki M.24141058%77.677.2+0.4
7 Panathinaikos24141058%77.777.4+0.3
8 Maccabi Tel Aviv24121250%81.384.2-3.0
9 Baskonia24111346%82.180.5+1.6
10 Unicaja24101442%77.679.8-2.2
11 Crvena zvezda24101442%78.383.0-4.7
12 Valencia2491538%77.880.2-2.5
13 Bamberg2491538%75.279.2-3.9
14 Olimpia Milano2481633%81.586.1-4.6
15 Barcelona2471729%80.080.9-0.8
16 Anadolu Efes2461825%76.882.8-6.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Real Madrid2025201883
Fenerbahce2020281886
← all games of the day
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