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Khimki M. vs Fenerbahce Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 08 Jan 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 84-78 (OT)
13-23 25-18 19-13 15-18 12-6
Position#13
Record6-10
FormLWWLW
Points / game79.0
Allowed / game80.1
vs
Position#2
Record15-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game75.4
EuropeEuroleagueRound 17
European cup2018
Meetings · Khimki M. v Fenerbahce
28 Jan 2021
KHM76
FEN107
08 Jan 2019
KHM84
FEN78
29 Mar 2018
KHM64
FEN73
17 Dec 2015
KHM68
FEN70
22 Mar 2013
KHM99
FEN76
15 Nov 2012
KHM71
FEN70
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Khimki M. winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Khimki M.Last 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H30/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
65-72
65
72
-7
A06/12
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#13
W
97-74
97
74
+23
A09/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
74-88
74
88
-14
A13/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
80-93
80
93
-13
H16/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
63-79
63
79
-16
A19/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H21/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
90-67
90
67
+23
H24/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
77-85
77
85
-8
H27/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
99-70
99
70
+29
A03/01
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-25
19-19
11-7
17-17
16-16
12-15
22-23
15-18
24-14
30-19
18-23
25-18
17-24
23-25
13-26
21-13
24-25
16-19
25-24
15-25
18-16
13-19
11-26
21-18
30-18
15-25
24-14
16-27
30-15
17-21
23-8
20-23
19-27
17-16
22-14
19-28
23-30
27-6
23-14
26-20
158.6Avg total
80.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)79.080.1159.1-1.138%
Season at home (8)80.079.6159.6+0.450%
Season away (8)78.080.6158.6-2.625%
Last 10 (10)80.678.0158.6+2.650%
Last 5 (5)82.877.0159.8+5.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)77.283.8161.0-6.618%
vs Similar (5)76.673.8150.4+2.860%
vs Weaker (14)86.771.5158.2+15.293%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Istanbul BB
#14
W
103-86
103
86
+17
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
W
92-85
92
85
+7
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
92-68
92
68
+24
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H18/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
W
89-65
89
65
+24
A20/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
74-84
74
84
-10
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
W
65-63
65
63
+2
H28/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
96-87
96
87
+9
H04/01
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
L
78-83 OT
78
83
-5
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-15
24-28
26-11
26-32
15-21
25-19
27-18
25-27
28-16
15-15
23-22
26-15
18-26
18-22
24-14
19-13
26-20
14-20
27-15
22-10
16-25
22-18
14-16
22-25
22-12
10-20
16-12
17-19
22-15
25-15
23-15
21-16
27-25
21-16
27-24
21-22
11-15
9-12
24-11
22-28
161.6Avg total
85.9Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.475.4159.8+8.994%
Season at home (8)88.878.8167.5+10.0100%
Season away (8)80.072.1152.1+7.988%
Last 10 (10)85.975.7161.6+10.280%
Last 5 (5)80.875.6156.4+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)78.276.5154.8+1.875%
vs Weaker ◀ (25)84.974.0158.8+10.992%
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +2.0+2.0Q1: +2.2+2.2Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.3+1.3Q3: +7.3+7.3Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.4+1.4
Khimki M.Fenerbahce
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Khimki M.Last 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#7
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H30/11
Euroleague
Bayern
#12
L
28-31
28
31
-3
A06/12
Euroleague
Zielona Gora
#13
W
54-33
54
33
+21
A09/12
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
40-49
40
49
-9
A13/12
Euroleague
Nizhny Novgorod
#8
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H16/12
VTB United League
Maccabi Tel Aviv
#10
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A19/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#16
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H21/12
Euroleague
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H24/12
VTB United League
Baskonia
#8
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H27/12
Euroleague
Gran Canaria
#14
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A03/01
Euroleague
81.3Avg total
41.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.337.979.2+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.337.678.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)41.338.379.5+3.053%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.481.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.838.680.4+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)37.543.581.0-6.19%-
vs Similar (5)38.036.474.4+1.660%-
vs Weaker (14)45.434.179.5+11.493%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Istanbul BB
#14
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A09/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Olimpia Milano
#11
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H13/12
Euroleague
Afyon Belediye
#13
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H15/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
36-48
36
48
-12
H18/12
Euroleague
Buducnost
#15
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A20/12
Euroleague
Galatasaray
#3
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A23/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Real Madrid
#3
D
32-32
32
32
+0
H28/12
Euroleague
Darussafaka
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H30/12
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Baskonia
#8
W
48-41
48
41
+7
H04/01
Euroleague
Banvit
#8
L
20-27
20
27
-7
A06/01
Basketbol Süper Ligi
77.0Avg total
39.5Scored
37.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.637.277.7+3.457%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.537.980.4+4.671%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.675.4+2.344%-
Last 10 (10)39.537.577.0+2.040%-
Last 5 (5)37.034.671.6+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)41.039.580.5+1.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (25)40.937.278.1+3.856%-
This opponent (Khimki M.) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Khimki M.their own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Khimki M.: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.517.6
54.2%
52.7%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.6
35.6%
37.0%28.8
🏀 Free throws17.013.6
80.0%
76.7%13.6
They take 59.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.4 points a game
51%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.320.5
53.5%
52.7%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.79.5
45.9%
37.0%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.512.8
77.6%
76.7%12.8
They take 59.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Jan 2019 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Khimki M.
WLWWLLLWLW
Fenerbahce
LWWWLWWWWW
#13
League position
#2
+0.7
Net rating
+15.3
111.4
Offensive rating
122.4
110.7
Defensive rating
107.1
53.8%
Effective FG%
58.9%
53.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
17.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
33.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.6%
3-point %
45.9%
69.5%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence111.4 · 122.4Defence110.7 · 107.1Shooting53.8% · 58.9%3-point %35.6% · 45.9%Ball care17.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds33.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Khimki M.   ■ Fenerbahce
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Khimki M. wins
7
Fenerbahce wins
Khimki M.last 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/01/19AGran Canaria99-70
27/12/18HBaskonia77-85
24/12/18HZenit Petersburg90-67
21/12/18HDarussafaka85-84
19/12/18AMaccabi Tel Aviv63-79
16/12/18HNizhny Novgorod80-93
13/12/18ACSKA Moscow74-88
09/12/18AZielona Gora97-74
06/12/18ABayern65-72
30/11/18HPanathinaikos76-68
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/01/19ABanvit78-83 OT
04/01/19HBaskonia96-87
30/12/18HDarussafaka91-61
28/12/18HReal Madrid65-63
23/12/18AGalatasaray74-84
20/12/18ABuducnost89-65
18/12/18HCSKA Moscow79-75
15/12/18HAfyon Belediye92-68
13/12/18HOlimpia Milano92-85
09/12/18AIstanbul BB103-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Khimki M.
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW38%
HomeLWWWL50%
AwayWLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game79.080.078.0
Allowed / game80.179.680.6
Point differential-1.1+0.4-2.6
Avg total159.1159.6158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%25%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2018
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game84.488.880.0
Allowed / game75.478.872.1
Point differential+8.9+10.0+7.9
Avg total159.8167.5152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce1615194%84.475.4+8.9
2 Real Madrid1613381%87.776.2+11.5
3 CSKA Moscow1612475%88.282.6+5.6
4 Anadolu Efes1610662%86.582.1+4.4
5 Olympiacos1610662%80.576.2+4.2
6 Barcelona169756%77.576.1+1.4
7 Olimpia Milano168850%87.586.2+1.3
8 Bayern168850%80.281.5-1.2
9 Zalgiris Kaunas167944%81.280.9+0.4
10 Baskonia167944%81.281.6-0.4
11 Panathinaikos167944%78.680.1-1.5
12 Khimki M.1661038%79.080.1-1.1
13 Gran Canaria1661038%80.588.6-8.1
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1651131%78.180.8-2.7
15 Buducnost1631319%73.985.9-12.1
16 Darussafaka1621412%75.285.9-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Khimki M.132519151284
Fenerbahce23181318678
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