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Kastela vs KK Zagreb Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 71-66
19-15 18-21 11-15 23-15
Position#6
Record7-5
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.6
Allowed / game76.7
Kastela 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#3
Record9-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game73.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 13· Sportska dvorana Sokolana
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kastela v KK Zagreb
01 Apr 2026
KAST85
KK Z61
06 Apr 2025
KAST91
KK Z89
13 Jan 2024
KAST71
KK Z66
26 Apr 2023
KAST91
KK Z68
10 Dec 2022
KAST67
KK Z54
02 Oct 2021
KAST66
KK Z55
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kastela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
KK Zagreb winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KastelaCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKastela
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
L
74-79
74
79
-5
73avg 76
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
73avg 76
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
98-76
98
76
+22
98avg 76
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
89-52
89
52
+37
95avg 76
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
88-86
88
86
+2
88avg 76
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
67-89
67
89
-22
56avg 76
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
68-64
68
64
+4
64avg 76
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
59-73
59
73
-14
44avg 76
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
95-72
95
72
+23
91avg 76
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
87-81
87
81
+6
83avg 76
A23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
24-23
16-17
14-18
32-21
18-19
13-21
17-25
23-30
22-17
25-14
28-15
30-8
25-1
17-21
17-22
22-27
25-19
11-16
30-24
22-19
13-25
21-19
11-26
24-16
13-21
13-14
18-13
10-18
22-25
16-16
11-14
25-15
24-16
26-20
20-21
28-19
21-21
16-20
22-21
156.3Avg total
80.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)81.676.7158.2+4.958%
Season at home (6)81.776.5158.2+5.267%
Season away (6)81.576.8158.3+4.750%
Last 10 (10)80.575.8156.3+4.760%
Last 5 (5)75.275.8151.0-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.575.8147.2-4.238%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.678.4159.0+2.143%
vs Weaker (15)83.171.0154.1+12.193%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
78-36
78
36
+42
82avg 79
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 79
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 79
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
82-66
82
66
+16
82avg 79
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
79-73
79
73
+6
73avg 79
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
104-76
104
76
+28
98avg 79
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-75
69
75
-6
65avg 79
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
81-101
81
101
-20
71avg 79
A18/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
90-85
90
85
+5
87avg 79
H23/12
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
25-8
19-4
13-4
18-17
18-19
17-21
24-26
16-18
24-24
19-17
16-16
31-10
14-18
15-21
17-22
17-18
24-18
22-9
19-21
15-17
25-14
19-17
20-25
22-13
28-17
22-20
32-26
21-18
16-18
11-18
21-21
23-27
25-19
18-24
15-31
14-21
27-19
22-23
27-22
156.7Avg total
82.2Scored
74.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.173.0156.1+10.175%
Season at home (7)82.969.1152.0+13.786%
Season away (5)83.478.4161.8+5.060%
Last 10 (10)82.274.5156.7+7.770%
Last 5 (5)84.682.0166.6+2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)66.981.6148.5-14.78%
vs Similar ◀ (8)77.273.5150.8+3.850%
vs Weaker (10)84.971.6156.5+13.390%
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: -1.0-1.0
KastelaKK Zagreb
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KastelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Osijek
#2
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H21/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H28/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
45-47
45
47
-2
A04/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
55-9
55
9
+46
A11/11
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
47-46
47
46
+1
H18/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A25/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H02/12
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
32-43
32
43
-11
A09/12
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H16/12
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
49-40
49
40
+9
A23/12
Prva Liga
82.4Avg total
44.3Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.937.477.3+2.550%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.735.775.5+4.067%-
Last 30 away (15)40.139.179.2+1.133%-
Last 10 (10)44.338.182.4+6.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.079.4+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)33.539.172.6-5.612%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)41.136.077.1+5.143%-
vs Weaker (15)42.837.179.9+5.773%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Omis
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/11
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H19/11
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H26/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
50-30
50
30
+20
A03/12
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H09/12
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
W
48-46
48
46
+2
A18/12
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H23/12
Prva Liga
77.7Avg total
42.4Scored
35.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.337.477.7+2.863%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.436.677.0+3.867%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.378.4+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)42.435.377.7+7.180%-
Last 5 (5)43.236.679.8+6.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)36.840.176.8-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)41.836.478.1+5.475%-
vs Weaker (10)43.335.178.4+8.290%-
This opponent (Kastela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kastelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kastela: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.7 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.919.7
54.9%
52.9%39.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.9
34.6%
32.9%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.410.7
79.9%
71.2%10.7
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.218.8
55.0%
52.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.810.1
33.9%
32.9%30.3
🏀 Free throws18.113.3
73.5%
71.2%13.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kastela
WWLWLWWWLL
KK Zagreb
WLLWWWWWLW
#6
League position
#3
+5.3
Net rating
+11.9
108.2
Offensive rating
106.0
102.9
Defensive rating
94.1
53.6%
Effective FG%
53.0%
50.8%
Opp. effective FG%
45.9%
18.1%
Turnover %
18.9%
28.8%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.28
34.6%
3-point %
33.9%
64.2%
Assist %
65.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence108.2 · 106.0Defence102.9 · 94.1Shooting53.6% · 53.0%3-point %34.6% · 33.9%Ball care18.1% · 18.9%Off. rebounds28.8% · 29.9%Free throws0.21 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Kastela   ■ KK Zagreb
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kastela wins
0
KK Zagreb wins
DateGameScore
26/04/23Kastela v KK Zagreb91-68
25/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela61-73
12/03/23KK Zagreb v Kastela73-77
10/12/22Kastela v KK Zagreb67-54
19/12/21KK Zagreb v Kastela76-83
02/10/21Kastela v KK Zagreb66-55
Kastelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23AMarsonia87-81
16/12/23HPodstrana95-72
09/12/23AKvarner59-73
02/12/23HOmis68-64
25/11/23AGorica67-89
18/11/23HStoja88-86
11/11/23ASamobor89-52
04/11/23AMladost98-76
28/10/23HHermes80-86
21/10/23HOsijek74-79
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/12/23HMladost90-85
18/12/23AHermes81-101
09/12/23HOsijek69-75
03/12/23ACrikvenica104-76
26/11/23HJazine79-73
19/11/23HSamobor82-66
12/11/23AMarsonia77-71
04/11/23HPodstrana85-79 OT
28/10/23AKvarner77-83
22/10/23HOmis78-36

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kastela
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW58%
HomeLLWWW67%
AwayWWLLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %58%67%50%
Points / game81.681.781.5
Allowed / game76.776.576.8
Point differential+4.9+5.2+4.7
Avg total158.2158.2158.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW75%
HomeWWWLW86%
AwayWLWWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %75%86%60%
Points / game83.182.983.4
Allowed / game73.069.178.4
Point differential+10.1+13.7+5.0
Avg total156.1152.0161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%43%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner1211192%92.075.1+16.9
2 Osijek1211192%87.773.9+13.8
3 KK Zagreb129375%83.173.0+10.1
4 Kastela127558%81.676.7+4.9
5 Gorica127558%78.074.1+3.9
6 Samobor127558%80.782.5-1.8
7 Hermes126650%90.388.3+2.0
8 Omis126650%77.378.2-0.8
9 Jazine126650%85.388.6-3.2
10 Podstrana124833%73.282.8-9.5
11 Mladost123925%78.084.0-6.0
12 Marsonia123925%80.586.8-6.2
13 Stoja1221017%80.389.0-8.7
14 Crikvenica1221017%72.587.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kastela1918112371
KK Zagreb1521151566
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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