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KK Zagreb vs Samobor Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 82-66
17-18 24-18 22-9 19-21
Position#3
Record5-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game66.7
vs
Position#5
Record3-3
FormLWWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game83.0
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 7· SSD Bosko Bozic Pepsi
Other2023-24
Meetings · KK Zagreb v Samobor
27 Oct 2024
KK Z87
SAMO92
19 Nov 2023
KK Z82
SAMO66
22 Jan 2023
KK Z76
SAMO59
20 Mar 2022
KK Z58
SAMO67
10 Oct 2021
KK Z66
SAMO78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

KK Zagreb winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samobor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KK ZagrebCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZagreb
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
no box
A26/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
W
74-66
74
66
+8
no box
H30/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
82-80
82
80
+2
no box
H06/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
L
66-86
66
86
-20
no box
A09/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
97-70
97
70
+27
95avg 79
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
78-61
78
61
+17
77avg 79
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
78-36
78
36
+42
82avg 79
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
77-83
77
83
-6
69avg 79
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
85-79 OT
85
79
+6
no box
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
77-71
77
71
+6
74avg 79
A12/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-23
14-23
12-25
24-20
20-17
16-19
21-17
17-13
27-13
27-25
15-22
13-20
29-14
14-22
9-29
14-21
21-22
25-16
30-17
21-15
9-18
21-19
23-14
25-10
21-20
25-8
19-4
13-4
18-17
18-19
17-21
24-26
16-18
24-24
19-17
16-16
31-10
14-18
15-21
17-22
150.5Avg total
78.2Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)82.066.7148.7+15.383%
Season at home (3)86.761.7148.3+25.0100%
Season away (3)77.371.7149.0+5.767%
Last 10 (10)78.272.3150.5+5.970%
Last 5 (5)79.066.0145.0+13.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)65.680.1145.8-14.57%
vs Similar (9)79.971.2151.1+8.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)86.565.0151.5+21.5100%
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSamobor
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
99-111
99
111
-12
no box
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
91-79
91
79
+12
no box
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
94-73
94
73
+21
no box
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
70-91
70
91
-21
61avg 68
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
75-84
75
84
-9
72avg 68
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
88-73
88
73
+15
81avg 68
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
89-82
89
82
+7
86avg 68
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
81-79
81
79
+2
73avg 68
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
52-89
52
89
-37
36avg 68
H11/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-31
20-29
30-25
23-26
23-22
25-18
21-23
22-16
30-12
16-22
26-18
22-21
16-24
20-21
20-21
19-18
17-21
23-22
17-28
13-20
19-25
18-23
20-22
18-14
25-11
21-20
20-21
22-21
22-19
15-28
29-12
23-23
14-22
19-24
23-15
25-18
8-30
1-25
21-17
22-17
165.9Avg total
81.4Scored
84.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)75.883.0158.8-7.250%
Season at home (2)63.586.5150.0-23.00%
Season away (4)82.081.2163.2+0.875%
Last 10 (10)81.484.5165.9-3.150%
Last 5 (5)77.081.4158.4-4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)75.088.5163.5-13.514%
vs Similar (2)63.586.5150.0-23.00%
vs Weaker (7)85.977.7163.6+8.186%
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.8+3.8Q1: -1.7-1.7Q2Q2: +0.5+0.5Q2: -5.4-5.4Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +1.5+1.5
KK ZagrebSamobor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KK ZagrebLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kastela
#3
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#4
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/04
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
54-38
54
38
+16
H06/05
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A09/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H08/10
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
30-37
30
37
-7
A14/10
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
46-28
46
28
+18
H22/10
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A28/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H04/11
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
45-28
45
28
+17
A12/11
Prva Liga
77.3Avg total
40.8Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.837.476.2+1.450%-
Last 30 at home (13)40.136.776.8+3.454%-
Last 30 away (17)37.837.975.8-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)40.836.577.3+4.350%-
Last 5 (5)39.434.273.6+5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)35.238.974.1-3.729%-
vs Similar (9)41.236.277.4+5.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)44.835.880.7+9.083%-
This opponent (Samobor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamoborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost
#8
L
46-60
46
60
-14
A26/04
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H29/04
Prva Liga
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H10/05
Prva Liga
Jazine
#5
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A13/05
Prva Liga
Kvarner
#1
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A08/10
Prva Liga
Hermes
#8
L
37-48
37
48
-11
H12/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
46-31
46
31
+15
A22/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A27/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A04/11
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
9-55
9
55
-46
H11/11
Prva Liga
82.7Avg total
37.8Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.743.580.2-6.830%-
Last 30 at home (13)36.442.578.8-6.138%-
Last 30 away (17)36.944.481.3-7.424%-
Last 10 (10)37.844.982.7-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)32.445.477.8-13.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)36.544.581.0-8.024%-
vs Similar (2)23.051.574.5-28.50%-
vs Weaker (7)41.138.479.6+2.757%-
This opponent (KK Zagreb) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
KK Zagrebtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

KK Zagreb: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.8 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.817.4
53.0%
52.9%34.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.09.6
33.1%
32.9%28.8
🏀 Free throws22.017.0
77.3%
71.2%17.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Samobortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Samobor: 75.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.3 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.521.2
49.8%
52.9%42.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.56.3
24.8%
32.9%19.0
🏀 Free throws20.513.8
67.5%
71.2%13.8
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/6 games with a box score before 19 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
KK Zagreb
WWLWWWLWWL
Samobor
LWWWLLLWWL
#3
League position
#5
+23.2
Net rating
-10.0
108.8
Offensive rating
92.0
85.6
Defensive rating
101.9
51.5%
Effective FG%
45.1%
43.2%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
20.6%
Turnover %
24.5%
34.6%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.30
33.1%
3-point %
24.8%
69.6%
Assist %
57.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 92.0Defence85.6 · 101.9Shooting51.5% · 45.1%3-point %33.1% · 24.8%Ball care20.6% · 24.5%Off. rebounds34.6% · 36.2%Free throws0.36 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ KK Zagreb   ■ Samobor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
KK Zagreb wins
3
Samobor wins
DateGameScore
22/01/23KK Zagreb v Samobor76-59
22/10/22Samobor v KK Zagreb82-100
12/04/22Samobor v KK Zagreb55-67
20/03/22KK Zagreb v Samobor58-67
08/01/22Samobor v KK Zagreb84-69
10/10/21KK Zagreb v Samobor66-78
KK Zagreblast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AMarsonia77-71
04/11/23HPodstrana85-79 OT
28/10/23AKvarner77-83
22/10/23HOmis78-36
14/10/23AGorica78-61
08/10/23HStoja97-70
09/05/23ADubrovnik66-86
06/05/23HOmis82-80
30/04/23HKvarner74-66
26/04/23AKastela68-91
Samoborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HKastela52-89
04/11/23AMarsonia81-79
27/10/23AMladost89-82
22/10/23APodstrana88-73
12/10/23HHermes75-84
08/10/23AKvarner70-91
13/05/23AJazine75-84
10/05/23HSonik Puntamika94-73
29/04/23HStoja91-79
26/04/23AMladost99-111

📊 11. Overall Statistics

KK Zagreb
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW83%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %83%100%67%
Points / game82.086.777.3
Allowed / game66.761.771.7
Point differential+15.3+25.0+5.7
Avg total148.7148.3149.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %17%33%0%
Samobor
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeLL0%
AwayLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %50%0%75%
Points / game75.863.582.0
Allowed / game83.086.581.2
Point differential-7.2-23.0+0.8
Avg total158.8150.0163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner76186%93.777.0+16.7
2 Osijek76186%87.976.1+11.7
3 KK Zagreb65183%82.066.7+15.3
4 Gorica75271%80.772.1+8.6
5 Kastela74357%86.177.3+8.9
6 Hermes74357%88.386.7+1.6
7 Omis74357%77.977.7+0.1
8 Jazine63350%91.597.8-6.3
9 Samobor63350%75.883.0-7.2
10 Mladost72529%80.687.9-7.3
11 Crikvenica72529%72.385.4-13.1
12 Podstrana61517%73.087.2-14.2
13 Marsonia71614%80.387.1-6.9
14 Stoja71614%83.393.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
KK Zagreb1724221982
Samobor181892166
← all games of the day
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