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Knox vs Melbourne Tigers Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Aug 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 86-89
27-25 28-22 20-20 11-22
Position#1
Record18-5
FormWWWLW
Points / game90.9
Allowed / game83.6
vs
Position#4
Record16-8
FormWWWWW
Points / game87.5
Allowed / game82.0
AustraliaNBL1 SouthNBL1 South - Semi-finals
Other2025
Meetings · Knox v Melbourne Tigers
09 Aug 2025
KNOX86
MELB89
14 Jun 2025
KNOX78
MELB85
30 Jul 2022
KNOX77
MELB75
31 Jul 2021
KNOX124
MELB75
14 Apr 2019
KNOX72
MELB83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Melbourne Tigers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KnoxAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-85
78
85
-7
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
86-97
86
97
-11
A21/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
72-103
72
103
-31
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
83-82
83
82
+1
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
107-104
107
104
+3
H12/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
93-82
93
82
+11
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
92-95
92
95
-3
H19/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
72-67
72
67
+5
H26/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-22
19-17
22-24
21-22
20-20
26-20
30-27
13-22
21-20
19-30
22-22
32-18
20-20
12-28
24-23
30-26
13-34
22-19
19-25
18-25
27-24
20-25
23-14
13-19
32-30
25-19
28-29
22-26
21-20
21-22
24-20
27-20
30-22
33-24
11-27
18-22
20-18
19-15
15-16
18-18
179.3Avg total
88.3Scored
91.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (23)90.983.6174.5+7.378%
Season at home (12)90.283.7173.9+6.675%
Season away (11)91.583.5175.1+8.082%
Last 10 (10)88.391.0179.3-2.760%
Last 5 (5)89.486.0175.4+3.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)106.0105.0211.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (6)84.788.2172.8-3.550%
vs Weaker (23)92.281.0173.1+11.283%
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
98-83
98
83
+15
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
85-66
85
66
+19
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
71-92
71
92
-21
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
82-93
82
93
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
87-77
87
77
+10
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
97-94
97
94
+3
H18/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
102-99
102
99
+3
A19/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
89-77
89
77
+12
H26/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A02/08
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
25-19
40-19
14-22
25-20
20-20
21-16
32-27
17-26
17-16
20-13
31-11
17-22
16-27
18-22
20-21
26-19
15-33
25-15
16-26
25-10
22-23
22-26
18-18
28-19
17-20
22-27
30-28
21-29
28-20
23-21
30-29
19-21
26-20
24-13
20-23
19-21
20-19
17-30
28-13
173.8Avg total
89.0Scored
84.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)87.582.0169.5+5.667%
Season at home (12)87.280.2167.5+7.067%
Season away (12)87.883.7171.5+4.267%
Last 10 (10)89.084.8173.8+4.280%
Last 5 (5)91.886.0177.8+5.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)88.882.0170.8+6.875%
vs Similar ◀ (14)78.984.8163.7-5.936%
vs Weaker (12)90.977.9168.8+13.092%
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: -0.9-0.9Q3: +3.0+3.0Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: +2.1+2.1
KnoxMelbourne Tigers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KnoxLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H15/06
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A28/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
57-49
57
49
+8
H12/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
D
42-42
42
42
+0
A13/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
63-46
63
46
+17
H19/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H26/07
NBL1 South
88.5Avg total
43.6Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.241.987.1+3.353%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.939.486.3+7.475%-
Last 30 away (14)43.444.788.1-1.429%-
Last 10 (10)43.644.988.5-1.340%-
Last 5 (5)49.643.893.4+5.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)46.040.086.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)40.742.383.0-1.733%-
vs Weaker (23)46.441.988.3+4.557%-
This opponent (Melbourne Tigers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Melbourne TigersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#2
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A20/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H28/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H29/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A05/07
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A08/07
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H11/07
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H18/07
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A19/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H26/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A02/08
NBL1 South
84.7Avg total
41.9Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.285.2+0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.241.785.9+2.550%-
Last 30 away (16)41.942.684.5-0.644%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.884.7-0.940%-
Last 5 (5)45.040.485.4+4.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)45.042.087.0+3.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.642.883.4-2.136%-
vs Weaker (12)45.141.586.6+3.658%-
This opponent (Knox) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Knox wins
3
Melbourne Tigers wins
Knoxlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/07/25HEltham72-67
19/07/25HBallarat92-95
13/07/25AKeilor Thunder93-82
12/07/25HRingwood107-104
05/07/25ANunawading83-82
28/06/25AEltham72-103
21/06/25ANW Tasmania86-97
20/06/25AHobart Chargers94-90
15/06/25HMt Gambier106-105 OT
14/06/25HMelbourne Tigers78-85
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/08/25AKilsyth84-83
26/07/25HBallarat89-77
19/07/25AWaverley102-99
18/07/25HCasey Cavaliers97-94
11/07/25HDiamond Valley87-77
08/07/25ARingwood82-93
05/07/25ASandringham Sabres71-92
29/06/25HBendigo Braves85-66
28/06/25HNW Tasmania98-83
20/06/25AMt Gambier95-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW78%
HomeLWWLW75%
AwayWLLWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games231211
Win %78%75%82%
Points / game90.990.291.5
Allowed / game83.683.783.5
Point differential+7.3+6.6+8.0
Avg total174.5173.9175.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%25%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won86% (7)80% (5)100% (2)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Melbourne Tigers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW67%
HomeWWWWW67%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %67%67%67%
Points / game87.587.287.8
Allowed / game82.080.283.7
Point differential+5.6+7.0+4.2
Avg total169.5167.5171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%50%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won57% (7)50% (2)60% (5)
Overtime %4%0%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2318578%90.983.6+7.3
2 Mt Gambier2317674%96.581.5+15.0
3 Melbourne Tigers2416867%87.582.0+5.6
4 Sandringham Sabres2416867%94.789.6+5.1
5 Ballarat2314961%87.488.9-1.5
6 Eltham24141058%88.385.3+3.0
7 Kilsyth24141058%87.886.4+1.5
8 Hobart Chargers22121055%89.187.6+1.5
9 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
10 Casey Cavaliers22111150%87.886.4+1.4
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston22101245%92.691.0+1.7
13 Waverley2291341%93.796.5-2.9
14 Dandenong2281436%91.195.5-4.4
15 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
16 Bendigo Braves2281436%81.794.3-12.6
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2151624%86.592.4-5.9
19 Diamond Valley2251723%84.595.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox2728201186
Melbourne Tigers2522202289
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