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Saga vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 18 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:05
Final 80-61
18-10 25-21 17-15 20-15
Position#18
Record18-35
FormWLLWL
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game79.3
Saga 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#8
Record34-19
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game74.6
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Shimane
06 Dec 2026
SAGA v SHIM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
SAGA95
SHIM88
19 Apr 2025
SAGA66
SHIM82
18 Apr 2025
SAGA80
SHIM61
26 Mar 2025
SAGA87
SHIM73
20 Dec 2023
SAGA80
SHIM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
93-82
93
82
+11
94avg 68
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
62avg 68
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 68
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 68
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 68
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 68
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 68
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 68
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 68
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 68
A16/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-16
20-29
18-19
21-18
19-22
16-16
25-28
27-7
14-26
15-12
20-23
20-21
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
15-27
28-19
17-19
20-14
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
22-24
16-28
27-31
13-15
22-19
24-18
19-20
24-16
18-21
15-22
15-19
26-23
163.2Avg total
82.0Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)75.979.3155.1-3.434%
Season at home (26)78.482.0160.4-3.623%
Season away (27)73.476.6150.0-3.244%
Last 10 (10)82.081.2163.2+0.860%
Last 5 (5)80.883.6164.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.984.8157.6-11.914%
vs Similar (10)78.083.6161.6-5.620%
vs Weaker (6)84.569.3153.8+15.2100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
85-61
85
61
+24
87avg 73
A23/03
B League
Saga
#18
L
73-87
73
87
-14
68avg 73
A26/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 73
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
95-73
95
73
+22
98avg 73
H30/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 73
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
85-79
85
79
+6
83avg 73
A06/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
72-63
72
63
+9
66avg 73
H09/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
91-96
91
96
-5
89avg 73
H12/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 73
H13/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 73
A16/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-11
17-20
24-11
22-19
22-19
16-16
28-25
7-27
20-16
17-17
28-15
13-25
27-14
25-16
24-19
19-24
15-21
23-18
18-21
18-15
16-13
31-21
18-17
20-28
18-12
17-21
17-7
20-23
23-26
25-18
30-28
13-24
18-28
20-17
19-14
28-9
33-21
17-15
17-24
17-19
157.6Avg total
82.2Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (53)80.374.6154.9+5.764%
Season at home (27)81.472.5153.9+8.970%
Season away (26)79.276.8156.0+2.358%
Last 10 (10)82.275.4157.6+6.870%
Last 5 (5)83.477.0160.4+6.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (9)81.176.3157.4+4.856%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)80.075.0155.1+5.065%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +3.3+3.3Q2Q2: -0.7-0.7Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +3.9+3.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
SagaShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Yokohama
#17
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/03
B League
Shimane
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A16/04
B League
82.9Avg total
41.2Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.241.481.6-1.237%-
Last 30 at home (17)41.842.484.2-0.541%-
Last 30 away (13)38.240.278.3-2.031%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.782.9-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)39.842.682.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.941.579.4-3.629%-
vs Similar (10)41.543.284.7-1.750%-
vs Weaker (6)43.738.281.8+5.533%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
39-31
39
31
+8
A23/03
B League
Saga
#18
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A06/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H12/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H13/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A16/04
B League
78.2Avg total
42.2Scored
36.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.036.777.7+4.370%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.838.581.3+4.371%-
Last 30 away (16)39.535.174.6+4.469%-
Last 10 (10)42.236.078.2+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)43.638.482.0+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.033.078.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (9)41.337.178.4+4.278%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)40.736.777.4+4.065%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.3
51.0%
51.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.6
33.6%
33.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws18.913.0
68.8%
72.7%13.0
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.6
51.3%
51.2%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.6
34.7%
33.4%28.8
🏀 Free throws19.313.2
68.4%
72.7%13.2
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
LWLLWWWLWW
Shimane
WWLWWLWWLW
#18
League position
#8
+1.9
Net rating
+9.1
110.0
Offensive rating
112.6
108.1
Defensive rating
103.4
50.7%
Effective FG%
51.6%
53.6%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
13.7%
Turnover %
13.7%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
32.1%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.6%
3-point %
34.7%
62.5%
Assist %
75.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence110.0 · 112.6Defence108.1 · 103.4Shooting50.7% · 51.6%3-point %33.6% · 34.7%Ball care13.7% · 13.7%Off. rebounds29.9% · 32.1%Free throws0.28 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Saga   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Saga wins
3
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
26/03/25Saga v Shimane87-73
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25AKyoto74-85
13/04/25HHokkaido89-73
12/04/25HHokkaido78-98
09/04/25HOsaka81-85
06/04/25AShiga82-77
05/04/25AShiga80-79
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
29/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya69-82
26/03/25HShimane87-73
23/03/25AYokohama93-82
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/25AHiroshima D.84-79
13/04/25HBrave Thunders85-68
12/04/25HBrave Thunders91-96
09/04/25HNagasaki72-63
06/04/25AYokohama85-79
05/04/25AYokohama74-75
30/03/25HOsaka95-73
29/03/25HOsaka78-73
26/03/25ASaga73-87
23/03/25ASun Rockers Shibuya85-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL34%
HomeLWLLW23%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532627
Win %34%23%44%
Points / game75.978.473.4
Allowed / game79.382.076.6
Point differential-3.4-3.6-3.2
Avg total155.1160.4150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%19%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW64%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWLLWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532726
Win %64%70%58%
Points / game80.381.479.2
Allowed / game74.672.576.8
Point differential+5.7+8.9+2.3
Avg total154.9153.9156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+34%41%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)62% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %9%7%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix5244885%92.079.5+12.5
2 Utsunomiya Brex53431081%85.475.8+9.6
3 Ryukyu53401375%85.176.3+8.8
4 Alvark53381572%76.571.1+5.4
5 Chiba53351866%81.777.0+4.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa53341964%81.275.3+5.8
7 Shimane53341964%80.374.6+5.7
8 Gunma53341964%77.872.3+5.5
9 Diamond Dolphins53302357%81.680.3+1.3
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya53282553%73.871.1+2.7
11 Kyoto53272651%81.880.5+1.2
12 Osaka53272651%82.083.0-1.1
13 Akita53262749%73.474.2-0.8
14 Nagoya Fighting Eagles53262749%78.079.1-1.1
15 Hiroshima D.53252847%79.482.2-2.8
16 Nagasaki53242945%75.977.9-2.0
17 Yokohama53233043%76.479.1-2.7
18 Hokkaido53193436%75.379.6-4.3
19 Saga53183534%75.979.3-3.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas53163730%75.580.9-5.4
21 Brave Thunders53163730%78.987.0-8.1
22 Ibaraki Robots53124123%72.980.4-7.5
23 Sendai5394417%72.483.6-11.2
24 Shiga5274513%76.789.8-13.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga1825172080
Shimane1021151561
← all games of the day
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