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Saga vs Shimane Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 19 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 09:05
Final 66-82
22-17 22-19 11-20 11-26
Position#18
Record19-35
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.9
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Shimane 🏆
Japan
Position#8
Record34-20
FormWLWWL
Points / game79.9
Allowed / game74.7
JapanB League· Saga Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Saga v Shimane
06 Dec 2026
SAGA v SHIM
upcoming
28 Jan 2026
SAGA95
SHIM88
19 Apr 2025
SAGA66
SHIM82
18 Apr 2025
SAGA80
SHIM61
26 Mar 2025
SAGA87
SHIM73
20 Dec 2023
SAGA80
SHIM77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Saga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shimane winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SagaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSaga
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
W
87-73
87
73
+14
62avg 68
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
69-82
69
82
-13
55avg 68
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
87-78
87
78
+9
82avg 68
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
W
80-79
80
79
+1
71avg 68
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
W
82-77
82
77
+5
78avg 68
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
L
81-85
81
85
-4
65avg 68
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
78-98
78
98
-20
70avg 68
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
89-73
89
73
+16
88avg 68
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
74-85
74
85
-11
68avg 68
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
80-61
80
61
+19
81avg 68
H18/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-22
16-16
25-28
27-7
14-26
15-12
20-23
20-21
25-10
27-27
11-16
24-25
15-27
28-19
17-19
20-14
15-18
20-19
23-23
24-17
25-24
22-20
22-25
12-16
22-24
16-28
27-31
13-15
22-19
24-18
19-20
24-16
18-21
15-22
15-19
26-23
18-10
25-21
17-15
20-15
159.8Avg total
80.7Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)75.978.9154.9-3.035%
Season at home (27)78.581.2159.7-2.726%
Season away (27)73.476.6150.0-3.244%
Last 10 (10)80.779.1159.8+1.660%
Last 5 (5)80.480.4160.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)73.383.2156.5-9.920%
vs Similar (10)78.083.6161.6-5.620%
vs Weaker (5)84.069.4153.4+14.6100%
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShimane
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
L
73-87
73
87
-14
68avg 73
A26/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
78-73
78
73
+5
72avg 73
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
95-73
95
73
+22
98avg 73
H30/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
74-75
74
75
-1
65avg 73
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
85-79
85
79
+6
83avg 73
A06/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
72-63
72
63
+9
66avg 73
H09/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
91-96
91
96
-5
89avg 73
H12/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
85-68
85
68
+17
84avg 73
H13/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
84-79
84
79
+5
79avg 73
A16/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
61-80
61
80
-19
50avg 73
A18/04
B League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
16-16
28-25
7-27
20-16
17-17
28-15
13-25
27-14
25-16
24-19
19-24
15-21
23-18
18-21
18-15
16-13
31-21
18-17
20-28
18-12
17-21
17-7
20-23
23-26
25-18
30-28
13-24
18-28
20-17
19-14
28-9
33-21
17-15
17-24
17-19
10-18
21-25
15-17
15-20
157.1Avg total
79.8Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (54)79.974.7154.6+5.263%
Season at home (27)81.472.5153.9+8.970%
Season away (27)78.576.9155.4+1.656%
Last 10 (10)79.877.3157.1+2.560%
Last 5 (5)78.677.2155.8+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)87.084.0171.0+3.0100%
vs Similar (8)80.875.0155.8+5.862%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)79.175.3154.4+3.962%
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: -4.4-4.4
SagaShimane
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SagaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shimane
#8
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H26/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
L
29-38
29
38
-9
H29/03
B League
Sun Rockers Shibuya
#11
W
52-37
52
37
+15
H30/03
B League
Shiga
#24
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A05/04
B League
Shiga
#24
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A06/04
B League
Osaka
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H09/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
L
38-52
38
52
-14
H12/04
B League
Hokkaido
#19
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H13/04
B League
Kyoto
#10
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A16/04
B League
Shimane
#8
W
43-31
43
31
+12
H18/04
B League
80.4Avg total
40.1Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.181.5-0.740%-
Last 30 at home (18)41.941.783.6+0.244%-
Last 30 away (12)38.240.178.2-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.140.380.4-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)41.441.482.8+0.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)38.240.879.0-2.633%-
vs Similar (10)41.543.284.7-1.750%-
vs Weaker (5)44.837.682.4+7.240%-
This opponent (Shimane) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShimaneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Saga
#18
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A26/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H29/03
B League
Osaka
#13
W
52-30
52
30
+22
H30/03
B League
Yokohama
#17
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A05/04
B League
Yokohama
#17
W
47-34
47
34
+13
A06/04
B League
Nagasaki
#16
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H09/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H12/04
B League
Brave Thunders
#21
L
38-45
38
45
-7
H13/04
B League
Hiroshima D.
#15
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A16/04
B League
Saga
#18
L
31-43
31
43
-12
A18/04
B League
78.6Avg total
41.4Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.636.977.5+3.767%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.738.581.2+4.269%-
Last 30 away (17)39.035.674.6+3.465%-
Last 10 (10)41.437.278.6+4.270%-
Last 5 (5)40.440.280.6+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)45.033.078.0+12.0100%-
vs Similar (8)41.037.078.0+4.075%-
vs Weaker ◀ (21)40.237.077.2+3.262%-
This opponent (Saga) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sagatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Saga: 80.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.620.2
49.8%
51.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.8
35.1%
33.4%26.4
🏀 Free throws18.713.3
71.1%
72.7%13.3
They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shimanetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shimane: 78.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.219.5
51.0%
51.2%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.39.1
32.2%
33.4%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.512.5
67.6%
72.7%12.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 19 Apr 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Saga
WLWLLWWWLW
Shimane
LWWLWWLWWL
#18
League position
#8
+3.3
Net rating
+3.2
108.8
Offensive rating
109.0
105.6
Defensive rating
105.9
50.8%
Effective FG%
49.8%
52.0%
Opp. effective FG%
52.2%
14.4%
Turnover %
14.2%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
32.4%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.28
35.1%
3-point %
32.2%
62.8%
Assist %
74.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence108.8 · 109.0Defence105.6 · 105.9Shooting50.8% · 49.8%3-point %35.1% · 32.2%Ball care14.4% · 14.2%Off. rebounds28.3% · 32.4%Free throws0.28 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Saga   ■ Shimane
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Saga wins
3
Shimane wins
DateGameScore
18/04/25Saga v Shimane80-61
26/03/25Saga v Shimane87-73
11/12/24Shimane v Saga85-55
27/03/24Shimane v Saga64-66
20/12/23Saga v Shimane80-77
22/10/23Shimane v Saga61-58
21/10/23Shimane v Saga87-74
Sagalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25HShimane80-61
16/04/25AKyoto74-85
13/04/25HHokkaido89-73
12/04/25HHokkaido78-98
09/04/25HOsaka81-85
06/04/25AShiga82-77
05/04/25AShiga80-79
30/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya87-78
29/03/25HSun Rockers Shibuya69-82
26/03/25HShimane87-73
Shimanelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/04/25ASaga61-80
16/04/25AHiroshima D.84-79
13/04/25HBrave Thunders85-68
12/04/25HBrave Thunders91-96
09/04/25HNagasaki72-63
06/04/25AYokohama85-79
05/04/25AYokohama74-75
30/03/25HOsaka95-73
29/03/25HOsaka78-73
26/03/25ASaga73-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Saga
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW35%
HomeWLLWW26%
AwayLWWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %35%26%44%
Points / game75.978.573.4
Allowed / game78.981.276.6
Point differential-3.0-2.7-3.2
Avg total154.9159.7150.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%22%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won27% (11)0% (6)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Shimane
B League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL63%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayLLWWL56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games542727
Win %63%70%56%
Points / game79.981.478.5
Allowed / game74.772.576.9
Point differential+5.2+8.9+1.6
Avg total154.6153.9155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%41%26%
Close games (≤5 pts) won53% (17)62% (8)44% (9)
Overtime %9%7%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 NeoPhoenix5344983%91.779.5+12.1
2 Utsunomiya Brex54441081%85.375.7+9.6
3 Ryukyu53401375%85.176.3+8.8
4 Alvark54391572%76.670.8+5.9
5 Chiba54361867%81.977.0+4.8
6 SeaHorses Mikawa54351965%81.175.3+5.9
7 Gunma54342063%77.672.3+5.3
8 Shimane54342063%79.974.7+5.2
9 Diamond Dolphins54312357%81.979.9+2.1
10 Sun Rockers Shibuya54282652%73.771.3+2.4
11 Kyoto54272750%81.980.8+1.1
12 Nagoya Fighting Eagles54272750%78.479.3-0.9
13 Osaka54272750%81.983.1-1.2
14 Akita54262848%73.374.3-1.0
15 Hiroshima D.54262848%79.582.1-2.6
16 Nagasaki53242945%75.977.9-2.0
17 Yokohama54233143%76.079.4-3.5
18 Saga54193535%75.978.9-3.0
19 Hokkaido54193535%75.479.8-4.4
20 Koshigaya Alphas54173731%75.780.9-5.2
21 Brave Thunders54173731%79.086.6-7.7
22 Ibaraki Robots54134124%73.080.1-7.2
23 Sendai5494517%72.683.7-11.1
24 Shiga5374613%76.389.7-13.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 24 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Saga2222111166
Shimane1719202682
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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