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Jurbarkas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 93-76
22-14 27-23 24-18 20-21
Position#4
Record26-24
FormLWWLW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#8
Record25-26
FormWLWWL
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game81.5
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Final· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Kretinga
14 Jan 2027
JURB v KRET
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
JURB80
KRET76
05 Oct 2024
JURB87
KRET86
25 Apr 2024
JURB93
KRET76
17 Apr 2024
JURB78
KRET87
09 Nov 2023
JURB94
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
107avg 77
H20/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 77
A22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 77
H25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
100avg 77
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 77
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 77
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 77
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
88avg 77
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
78-87
78
87
-9
75avg 77
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
84-76
84
76
+8
80avg 77
A20/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
20-19
23-24
37-33
18-30
21-18
21-30
29-16
26-23
24-26
25-19
23-26
25-24
21-17
20-25
34-28
16-20
21-20
26-17
26-38
20-28
18-23
13-24
12-17
21-22
20-18
18-18
12-11
20-19
14-13
22-19
16-21
24-29
12-21
19-20
23-17
23-18
31-21
18-21
12-16
174.0Avg total
86.3Scored
87.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (50)83.083.0166.0-0.152%
Season at home (25)83.482.2165.7+1.252%
Season away (25)82.583.8166.3-1.352%
Last 10 (10)86.387.7174.0-1.460%
Last 5 (5)76.680.4157.0-3.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.788.4168.1-8.621%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.186.9176.9+3.267%
vs Weaker (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
no box
A13/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
H16/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 68
A19/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
53avg 68
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
46avg 68
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 68
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
55-71
55
71
-16
34avg 68
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
64-62
64
62
+2
54avg 68
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
87-78
87
78
+9
76avg 68
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 68
H20/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-24
30-20
11-15
16-24
24-21
11-17
19-20
21-17
13-19
19-19
21-18
20-15
13-16
16-22
18-17
20-9
12-23
16-24
8-22
23-13
22-18
17-22
24-20
19-18
9-22
10-13
15-14
21-22
25-23
24-11
12-18
3-10
29-24
21-12
20-19
17-23
18-23
21-31
21-18
16-12
150.9Avg total
74.6Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (51)78.381.5159.7-3.249%
Season at home (24)78.182.5160.6-4.442%
Season away (27)78.480.6159.0-2.156%
Last 10 (10)74.676.3150.9-1.770%
Last 5 (5)72.874.6147.4-1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.681.8157.4-6.254%
vs Similar ◀ (17)81.681.6163.3+0.065%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.8-1.8Q1: -2.2-2.2Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.3+1.3
JurbarkasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H20/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A10/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
L
36-50
36
50
-14
H17/04
NKL
Kretinga
#8
W
54-39
54
39
+15
A20/04
NKL
85.0Avg total
41.9Scored
43.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.243.084.2-1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.541.985.4+1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.044.183.1-5.140%-
Last 10 (10)41.943.185.0-1.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.483.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.742.681.3-3.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)43.944.187.9-0.253%-
vs Weaker (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Telsiai
#2
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A13/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A11/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-36
50
36
+14
A17/04
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
39-54
39
54
-15
H20/04
NKL
78.0Avg total
37.6Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.441.581.9-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.841.981.6-2.143%-
Last 30 away (16)40.941.282.1-0.244%-
Last 10 (10)37.640.478.0-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.879.0-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.840.579.3-1.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)41.642.283.9-0.653%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 85.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀40%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.4 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.317.1
52.9%
51.9%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.411.8
38.8%
33.3%35.4
🏀 Free throws20.715.7
75.8%
70.3%15.7
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 71.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.416.9
42.9%
51.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.5
30.7%
33.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.814.9
68.3%
70.3%14.9
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WLWWLLWWLW
Kretinga
LWWLWLWWWW
#4
League position
#8
-2.2
Net rating
-5.7
115.5
Offensive rating
98.2
117.6
Defensive rating
103.8
55.5%
Effective FG%
44.1%
55.9%
Opp. effective FG%
47.3%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.7%
36.8%
Off. rebound %
29.5%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.34
38.8%
3-point %
30.7%
68.2%
Assist %
54.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.5 · 98.2Defence117.6 · 103.8Shooting55.5% · 44.1%3-point %38.8% · 30.7%Ball care19.5% · 15.7%Off. rebounds36.8% · 29.5%Free throws0.33 · 0.34Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Jurbarkas wins
2
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
20/04/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas76-84
17/04/24Jurbarkas v Kretinga78-87
04/01/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas89-82
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24AKretinga84-76
17/04/24HKretinga78-87
10/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga87-78 OT
08/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-69
05/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga63-92
02/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga89-95
28/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga100-94
25/03/24HVytis VDU98-94
22/03/24AVytis VDU89-94
20/03/24HVytis VDU104-98
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/04/24HJurbarkas76-84
17/04/24AJurbarkas87-78
11/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga64-62
09/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga55-71
06/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga82-78
04/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga59-82
29/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga67-64
19/03/24ATelsiai73-71
16/03/24HTelsiai83-81 OT
13/03/24ATelsiai100-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW52%
HomeWWLWL52%
AwayLWLWW52%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games502525
Win %52%52%52%
Points / game83.083.482.5
Allowed / game83.082.283.8
Point differential-0.1+1.2-1.3
Avg total166.0165.7166.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%20%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)45% (11)43% (7)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL49%
HomeLWLLL42%
AwayWWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games512427
Win %49%42%56%
Points / game78.378.178.4
Allowed / game81.582.580.6
Point differential-3.2-4.4-2.1
Avg total159.7160.6159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)83% (6)64% (11)
Overtime %6%4%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga52391375%82.674.9+7.7
2 Telsiai41301173%83.073.5+9.5
3 Suduva-Mantinga51361571%81.773.4+8.4
4 Ukmerges Stekas41221954%77.376.4+0.9
5 Jurbarkas50262452%83.083.0-0.1
6 Delikatesas Joniskis46232350%81.784.6-2.9
7 Kretinga51252649%78.381.5-3.2
8 Vytis VDU45222349%87.487.8-0.5
9 Vilkaviskis45212447%78.680.9-2.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 241172441%74.474.1+0.2
11 Kauno Atletas41152637%76.779.5-2.8
12 Neptunas 238122632%78.484.1-5.7
13 Rytas 240122830%82.189.3-7.2
14 Silute38102826%78.384.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2227242093
Kretinga1423182176
← all games of the day
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