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Kretinga vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 24 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 12:10
Final 83-77
17-12 20-21 25-22 21-22
Position#9
Record13-14
FormLLWLW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game86.3
vs
Position#7
Record15-12
FormWWLLW
Points / game83.3
Allowed / game79.0
LithuaniaNKL· Kretinga sports and wellness center
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kretinga v Vilkaviskis
23 Jan 2027
KRET v VILK
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
KRET83
VILK77
03 Oct 2024
KRET93
VILK85
09 Dec 2023
KRET75
VILK83
18 Feb 2023
KRET91
VILK73
27 Oct 2022
KRET78
VILK90
19 Nov 2021
KRET102
VILK96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
87-83
87
83
+4
81avg 81
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
90-85
90
85
+5
88avg 81
H13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
76-80
76
80
-4
64avg 81
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
81-93
81
93
-12
70avg 81
H20/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
W
95-94
95
94
+1
92avg 81
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
85-107
85
107
-22
71avg 81
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
75-89
75
89
-14
68avg 81
H13/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
113-79
113
79
+34
no box
H15/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
L
87-102
87
102
-15
no box
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
82-77
82
77
+5
85avg 81
A22/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-16
27-24
13-22
27-21
26-24
18-19
15-20
31-22
10-29
21-13
23-20
22-18
25-35
16-20
19-14
21-24
21-29
25-22
20-22
29-21
13-24
20-34
30-28
22-21
23-22
19-24
21-20
12-23
22-22
33-14
32-17
26-26
26-24
22-21
12-30
27-27
20-14
21-28
17-17
24-18
176.0Avg total
87.1Scored
88.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)85.786.3172.0-0.648%
Season at home (13)85.381.3166.6+4.054%
Season away (14)86.191.0177.1-4.943%
Last 10 (10)87.188.9176.0-1.850%
Last 5 (5)88.490.8179.2-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)82.496.1178.6-13.70%
vs Similar ◀ (19)84.484.9169.3-0.553%
vs Weaker (4)98.582.8181.2+15.875%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
72-62
72
62
+10
59avg 71
H11/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
70-71
70
71
-1
58avg 71
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
59-79
59
79
-20
50avg 71
H18/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
83-86
83
86
-3
71avg 71
A20/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
88-76
88
76
+12
80avg 71
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
77-72
77
72
+5
71avg 71
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
72-54
72
54
+18
60avg 71
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
90-94 OT
90
94
-4
no box
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
70-88
70
88
-18
no box
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
99-66
99
66
+33
109avg 71
H22/01
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-11
19-16
26-23
15-12
16-16
16-20
20-23
18-12
13-11
16-26
14-21
16-21
16-21
21-25
19-20
27-20
25-21
26-11
14-19
23-25
18-18
20-16
20-19
19-19
23-17
15-15
15-13
19-9
23-19
21-24
17-26
23-15
15-31
20-18
20-18
15-21
22-18
26-17
29-12
22-19
152.8Avg total
78.0Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)83.379.0162.3+4.256%
Season at home (14)81.776.6158.3+5.164%
Season away (13)84.981.7166.6+3.246%
Last 10 (10)78.074.8152.8+3.250%
Last 5 (5)81.674.8156.4+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)79.287.2166.4-8.00%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.577.0155.5+1.554%
vs Weaker (12)87.879.2167.0+8.567%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.4+2.4
KretingaVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alytaus Alytus
#17
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A11/12
NKL
Kedainiu SC
#6
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H13/12
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A18/12
NKL
Silute
#12
L
41-55
41
55
-14
H20/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A03/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
L
33-58
33
58
-25
A10/01
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H13/01
NKL
Ukmerges Stekas
#16
W
55-36
55
36
+19
H15/01
NKL
Rytas 2
#8
W
48-45
48
45
+3
A17/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A22/01
NKL
88.6Avg total
42.8Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.242.184.3+0.143%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.139.981.9+2.247%-
Last 30 away (15)42.344.386.6-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)42.845.888.6-3.040%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.489.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)39.744.384.0-4.629%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)41.742.183.8-0.442%-
vs Weaker (4)48.538.286.8+10.275%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas 2
#4
W
31-27
31
27
+4
H11/12
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#3
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A13/12
NKL
Mazeikiai
#11
L
29-37
29
37
-8
H18/12
NKL
Telsiai
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A20/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#15
W
51-32
51
32
+19
H03/01
NKL
Plunges Olimpas
#14
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A08/01
NKL
Jurbarkas
#5
W
38-32
38
32
+6
A10/01
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#1
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A15/01
NKL
Vytis VDU
#2
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H17/01
NKL
Omega-Tauras
#13
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H22/01
NKL
75.4Avg total
38.3Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.239.480.6+1.857%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.638.579.1+2.153%-
Last 30 away (15)41.740.382.0+1.560%-
Last 10 (10)38.337.175.4+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.638.679.2+2.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)39.240.679.8-1.460%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)38.039.277.2-1.238%-
vs Weaker (12)45.439.184.5+6.375%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.923.7
56.6%
54.5%47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.27.5
29.8%
32.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws20.613.8
67.0%
69.3%13.8
They take 67.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 78.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀25%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.8 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.8 pts a game · 25% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.2 points a game
52%
31%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.422.4
54.1%
54.5%44.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.66.6
26.8%
32.3%19.8
🏀 Free throws21.413.9
65.0%
69.3%13.9
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
WLWLLWLLWW
Vilkaviskis
WLLWWWLLLW
#9
League position
#7
-5.6
Net rating
+9.5
102.3
Offensive rating
98.6
108.0
Defensive rating
89.1
52.1%
Effective FG%
48.9%
54.1%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
17.2%
Turnover %
18.2%
31.4%
Off. rebound %
36.9%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.8%
3-point %
26.8%
61.5%
Assist %
55.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.3 · 98.6Defence108.0 · 89.1Shooting52.1% · 48.9%3-point %29.8% · 26.8%Ball care17.2% · 18.2%Off. rebounds31.4% · 36.9%Free throws0.31 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 50%
■ Kretinga   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kretinga wins
5
Vilkaviskis wins
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26APlunges Olimpas82-77
17/01/26ARytas 287-102
15/01/26HUkmerges Stekas113-79
13/01/26HTelsiai75-89
10/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga85-107
03/01/26AMazeikiai95-94
20/12/25HSilute81-93
18/12/25AJurbarkas76-80
13/12/25HKedainiu SC90-85
11/12/25AAlytaus Alytus87-83
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/01/26HOmega-Tauras99-66
17/01/26HVytis VDU70-88
15/01/26ASuduva-Mantinga90-94 OT
10/01/26AJurbarkas72-54
08/01/26APlunges Olimpas77-72
03/01/26HBC Olimpas Palanga88-76
20/12/25ATelsiai83-86
18/12/25HMazeikiai59-79
13/12/25AZalgiris Kaunas 270-71
11/12/25HNeptunas 272-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW48%
HomeWWLLW54%
AwayLWLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %48%54%43%
Points / game85.785.386.1
Allowed / game86.381.391.0
Point differential-0.6+4.0-4.9
Avg total172.0166.6177.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%46%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)50% (2)67% (6)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW56%
HomeWLWLW64%
AwayLLWWL46%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%64%46%
Points / game83.381.784.9
Allowed / game79.076.681.7
Point differential+4.2+5.1+3.2
Avg total162.3158.3166.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%50%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)50% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %11%7%15%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga2824486%89.474.8+14.6
2 Vytis VDU2719870%87.483.0+4.4
3 Zalgiris Kaunas 22618869%86.084.7+1.3
4 Kedainiu SC27171063%89.085.6+3.3
5 Telsiai27161159%84.683.8+0.8
6 Vilkaviskis27151256%83.379.0+4.2
7 Jurbarkas26141254%77.377.0+0.3
8 Neptunas 227141352%78.277.2+1.0
9 Rytas 228141450%84.181.8+2.3
10 Mazeikiai27131448%83.181.6+1.5
11 Kretinga27131448%85.786.3-0.6
12 Silute27121544%86.089.6-3.6
13 Omega-Tauras27111641%85.989.5-3.6
14 BC Olimpas Palanga27111641%79.083.6-4.6
15 Ukmerges Stekas2671927%81.490.7-9.2
16 Plunges Olimpas2762122%80.386.2-6.0
17 Alytaus Alytus2752219%78.085.3-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga1720252183
Vilkaviskis1221222277
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