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Jurbarkas vs Kretinga Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 78-87
24-29 12-21 19-20 23-17
Position#4
Record25-23
FormWLLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game83.1
vs
Position#8
Record24-25
FormWLWLW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game81.5
LithuaniaNKLNKL - Final· Jurbarko Antano Giedraicio Gymnasium Sport Hall
Other2023-24Neutral venue
Meetings · Jurbarkas v Kretinga
14 Jan 2027
JURB v KRET
upcoming
18 Dec 2025
JURB80
KRET76
05 Oct 2024
JURB87
KRET86
25 Apr 2024
JURB93
KRET76
17 Apr 2024
JURB78
KRET87
09 Nov 2023
JURB94
KRET80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Jurbarkas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kretinga winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

JurbarkasLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJurbarkas
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
115-116 OT
115
116
-1
no box
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
95-85
95
85
+10
96avg 77
A17/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
104-98
104
98
+6
107avg 77
H20/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
89-94
89
94
-5
81avg 77
A22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
98-94
98
94
+4
95avg 77
H25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
100-94
100
94
+6
100avg 77
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
89-95
89
95
-6
82avg 77
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
63-92
63
92
-29
49avg 77
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
71-69
71
69
+2
59avg 77
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
87-78 OT
87
78
+9
88avg 77
A10/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-18
33-22
26-27
18-32
18-15
30-24
25-21
22-25
24-22
20-19
23-24
37-33
18-30
21-18
21-30
29-16
26-23
24-26
25-19
23-26
25-24
21-17
20-25
34-28
16-20
21-20
26-17
26-38
20-28
18-23
13-24
12-17
21-22
20-18
18-18
12-11
20-19
14-13
22-19
16-21
182.6Avg total
91.1Scored
91.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (48)83.083.1166.1-0.052%
Season at home (24)83.782.0165.7+1.654%
Season away (24)82.484.1166.5-1.750%
Last 10 (10)91.191.5182.6-0.460%
Last 5 (5)82.085.6167.6-3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)79.788.4168.1-8.621%
vs Similar ◀ (15)90.785.7176.3+5.073%
vs Weaker (1)82.077.0159.0+5.0100%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
72-88
72
88
-16
56avg 68
H09/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
W
87-83
87
83
+4
74avg 68
A11/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
100-92 OT
100
92
+8
no box
A13/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
no box
H16/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
73-71
73
71
+2
72avg 68
A19/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
67-64
67
64
+3
53avg 68
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
59-82
59
82
-23
46avg 68
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
82-78
82
78
+4
69avg 68
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
55-71
55
71
-16
34avg 68
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
64-62
64
62
+2
54avg 68
A11/04
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-25
17-25
24-20
15-18
25-21
17-23
13-21
32-18
26-24
30-20
11-15
16-24
24-21
11-17
19-20
21-17
13-19
19-19
21-18
20-15
13-16
16-22
18-17
20-9
12-23
16-24
8-22
23-13
22-18
17-22
24-20
19-18
9-22
10-13
15-14
21-22
25-23
24-11
12-18
3-10
151.4Avg total
74.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (49)78.181.5159.6-3.349%
Season at home (23)78.282.4160.7-4.243%
Season away (26)78.180.7158.7-2.654%
Last 10 (10)74.277.2151.4-3.070%
Last 5 (5)65.471.4136.8-6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.681.8157.4-6.254%
vs Similar ◀ (17)80.981.2162.1-0.365%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: -2.7-2.7Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: -1.8-1.8Q4: +2.6+2.6
JurbarkasKretinga
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
JurbarkasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
W
55-40
55
40
+15
H14/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A17/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H20/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A22/03
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
W
50-49
50
49
+1
H25/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A28/03
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H02/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A05/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H08/04
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A10/04
NKL
85.3Avg total
43.2Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.342.383.7-1.050%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.040.784.7+3.360%-
Last 30 away (15)38.744.082.7-5.340%-
Last 10 (10)43.242.185.3+1.170%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.880.0-1.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.742.681.3-3.936%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)44.142.786.8+1.360%-
vs Weaker (1)37.033.070.0+4.0100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
33-50
33
50
-17
H09/03
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
42-44
42
44
-2
A11/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
W
56-44
56
44
+12
A13/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H16/03
NKL
Telsiai
#2
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A19/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A29/03
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
28-47
28
47
-19
H04/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A06/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
19-35
19
35
-16
H09/04
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A11/04
NKL
77.0Avg total
36.2Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.840.980.7-1.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.540.780.2-1.243%-
Last 30 away (16)40.141.081.1-0.944%-
Last 10 (10)36.240.877.0-4.620%-
Last 5 (5)32.838.871.6-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)38.840.579.3-1.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)40.641.181.7-0.553%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Jurbarkas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Jurbarkastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Jurbarkas: 87.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.418.8
54.7%
51.9%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.511.9
39.0%
33.3%35.7
🏀 Free throws18.313.8
75.4%
70.3%13.8
They take 64.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.516.9
41.7%
51.9%33.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.9
28.7%
33.3%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.015.8
68.7%
70.3%15.8
They take 64.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Jurbarkas
WWLLWWLWWL
Kretinga
WLWLWWWWWL
#4
League position
#8
+1.3
Net rating
-2.9
116.9
Offensive rating
96.4
115.5
Defensive rating
99.3
56.5%
Effective FG%
42.2%
55.0%
Opp. effective FG%
44.7%
18.3%
Turnover %
15.0%
36.0%
Off. rebound %
30.0%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.36
39.0%
3-point %
28.7%
66.1%
Assist %
50.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence116.9 · 96.4Defence115.5 · 99.3Shooting56.5% · 42.2%3-point %39.0% · 28.7%Ball care18.3% · 15.0%Off. rebounds36.0% · 30.0%Free throws0.28 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)60% · 70%
■ Jurbarkas   ■ Kretinga
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Jurbarkas wins
1
Kretinga wins
DateGameScore
04/01/24Kretinga v Jurbarkas89-82
09/11/23Jurbarkas v Kretinga94-80
Jurbarkaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga87-78 OT
08/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga71-69
05/04/24ABC Olimpas Palanga63-92
02/04/24HBC Olimpas Palanga89-95
28/03/24ABC Olimpas Palanga100-94
25/03/24HVytis VDU98-94
22/03/24AVytis VDU89-94
20/03/24HVytis VDU104-98
17/03/24AVytis VDU95-85
14/03/24HVytis VDU115-116 OT
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga64-62
09/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga55-71
06/04/24ASuduva-Mantinga82-78
04/04/24HSuduva-Mantinga59-82
29/03/24ASuduva-Mantinga67-64
19/03/24ATelsiai73-71
16/03/24HTelsiai83-81 OT
13/03/24ATelsiai100-92 OT
11/03/24AZalgiris Kaunas 287-83
09/03/24HZalgiris Kaunas 272-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Jurbarkas
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW52%
HomeLWWLW54%
AwayWLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games482424
Win %52%54%50%
Points / game83.083.782.4
Allowed / game83.182.084.1
Point differential-0.0+1.6-1.7
Avg total166.1165.7166.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%21%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (18)45% (11)43% (7)
Overtime %6%4%8%
Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW49%
HomeWLWLL43%
AwayWWWWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games492326
Win %49%43%54%
Points / game78.178.278.1
Allowed / game81.582.480.7
Point differential-3.3-4.2-2.6
Avg total159.6160.7158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%17%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (17)83% (6)64% (11)
Overtime %6%4%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 BC Olimpas Palanga49381178%82.774.5+8.2
2 Telsiai41301173%83.073.5+9.5
3 Suduva-Mantinga48341471%81.772.9+8.8
4 Ukmerges Stekas41221954%77.376.4+0.9
5 Jurbarkas48252352%83.083.1-0.0
6 Delikatesas Joniskis46232350%81.784.6-2.9
7 Kretinga49242549%78.181.5-3.3
8 Vytis VDU45222349%87.487.8-0.5
9 Vilkaviskis45212447%78.680.9-2.3
10 Zalgiris Kaunas 241172441%74.474.1+0.2
11 Kauno Atletas41152637%76.779.5-2.8
12 Neptunas 238122632%78.484.1-5.7
13 Rytas 240122830%82.189.3-7.2
14 Silute38102826%78.384.0-5.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Jurbarkas2412192378
Kretinga2921201787
← all games of the day
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