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Kretinga vs Vilkaviskis Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 09 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 75-83
24-16 11-22 21-18 19-27
Position#8
Record6-13
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game81.6
Kretinga
Lithuania
vs
Vilkaviskis 🏆
Lithuania
Position#9
Record10-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game82.9
Allowed / game81.2
LithuaniaNKL· Vilkavi
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kretinga v Vilkaviskis
23 Jan 2027
KRET v VILK
upcoming
24 Jan 2026
KRET83
VILK77
03 Oct 2024
KRET93
VILK85
09 Dec 2023
KRET75
VILK83
18 Feb 2023
KRET91
VILK73
27 Oct 2022
KRET78
VILK90
19 Nov 2021
KRET102
VILK96
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kretinga winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vilkaviskis winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KretingaLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKretinga
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
82avg 68
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
80-94
80
94
-14
67avg 68
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
73-81
73
81
-8
68avg 68
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
83-74
83
74
+9
71avg 68
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
90-68
90
68
+22
85avg 68
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
L
72-81
72
81
-9
61avg 68
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
73-84
73
84
-11
58avg 68
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
W
81-77
81
77
+4
70avg 68
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
66-67
66
67
-1
56avg 68
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
84-87
84
87
-3
72avg 68
H07/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-12
18-18
20-18
17-25
19-22
23-26
20-29
18-17
24-27
18-16
12-23
19-15
24-26
17-20
18-6
24-22
16-20
20-11
25-21
29-16
21-18
21-24
18-19
12-20
11-15
26-26
21-21
15-22
19-21
21-20
15-17
26-19
15-16
19-18
15-21
17-12
18-22
21-22
21-26
24-17
157.2Avg total
78.6Scored
78.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.481.6159.0-4.232%
Season at home (9)78.481.8160.2-3.333%
Season away (10)76.581.4157.9-4.930%
Last 10 (10)78.678.6157.2+0.040%
Last 5 (5)75.279.2154.4-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)70.484.8155.2-14.311%
vs Similar ◀ (19)79.482.8162.2-3.437%
vs Weaker (2)81.084.5165.5-3.550%
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormVilkaviskis
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
99-104 OT
99
104
-5
no box
H31/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
89-86
89
86
+3
84avg 72
H04/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
74-75
74
75
-1
56avg 72
A09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 72
A16/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
87-72
87
72
+15
80avg 72
H18/11
NKL
Silute
#14
W
95-93
95
93
+2
83avg 72
A25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
73avg 72
A30/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
85-83
85
83
+2
78avg 72
H02/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
77-93
77
93
-16
65avg 72
A04/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
L
81-85 OT
81
85
-4
no box
A07/12
NKL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-22
23-29
24-15
17-18
26-17
24-27
23-20
16-22
19-17
9-13
14-22
32-23
24-10
20-22
12-27
32-15
21-19
23-22
16-14
27-17
24-30
28-24
20-23
23-16
27-22
19-19
12-26
22-18
18-18
25-19
20-18
22-28
21-21
20-24
15-26
21-22
21-19
23-18
17-15
14-23
170.5Avg total
85.5Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)82.981.2164.1+1.756%
Season at home (10)83.278.1161.3+5.170%
Season away (8)82.585.0167.5-2.538%
Last 10 (10)85.585.0170.5+0.550%
Last 5 (5)83.687.8171.4-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)75.088.8163.8-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (21)84.880.4165.1+4.457%
vs Weaker (5)90.472.6163.0+17.880%
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.3+0.3Q2: -0.3-0.3Q3Q3: -1.6-1.6Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.4+2.4
KretingaVilkaviskis
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KretingaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/11
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
L
42-48
42
48
-6
A09/11
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H11/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
L
41-46
41
46
-5
A16/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H18/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H23/11
NKL
Vytis VDU
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H25/11
NKL
Rytas 2
#13
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H30/11
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A02/12
NKL
Silute
#14
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H07/12
NKL
80.0Avg total
40.0Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.542.180.6-3.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.141.780.9-2.621%-
Last 30 away (16)38.042.480.4-4.431%-
Last 10 (10)40.040.080.0+0.020%-
Last 5 (5)38.440.478.8-2.00%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)33.643.777.2-10.10%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)40.541.381.7-0.837%-
vs Weaker (2)42.543.085.5-0.550%-
This opponent (Vilkaviskis) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
VilkaviskisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vytis VDU
#7
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H31/10
NKL
Jurbarkas
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H04/11
NKL
Zalgiris Kaunas 2
#10
L
28-30
28
30
-2
A09/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A16/11
NKL
Delikatesas Joniskis
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H18/11
NKL
Silute
#14
L
52-54
52
54
-2
A25/11
NKL
Kauno Atletas
#11
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A30/11
NKL
Neptunas 2
#12
W
43-37
43
37
+6
H02/12
NKL
Suduva-Mantinga
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A04/12
NKL
BC Olimpas Palanga
#1
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A07/12
NKL
84.7Avg total
43.5Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.338.983.2+5.470%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.637.883.4+7.880%-
Last 30 away (15)43.140.083.1+3.160%-
Last 10 (10)43.541.284.7+2.360%-
Last 5 (5)45.242.888.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.042.081.0-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (21)44.039.483.5+4.671%-
vs Weaker (5)49.834.284.0+15.6100%-
This opponent (Kretinga) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kretingatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kretinga: 78.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.619.4
46.6%
51.9%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.5
34.1%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.013.9
69.5%
70.3%13.9
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vilkaviskistheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vilkaviskis: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.8 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.9 points a game
52%
31%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.324.4
52.7%
51.9%48.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.67.5
33.2%
33.3%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.712.4
70.1%
70.3%12.4
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kretinga
LLWLLWWLLW
Vilkaviskis
LLWLWWWLWL
#8
League position
#9
+1.0
Net rating
+2.6
101.0
Offensive rating
107.3
100.0
Defensive rating
104.7
48.3%
Effective FG%
51.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
16.3%
Turnover %
17.2%
27.6%
Off. rebound %
30.5%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
33.2%
65.9%
Assist %
52.4%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence101.0 · 107.3Defence100.0 · 104.7Shooting48.3% · 51.7%3-point %34.1% · 33.2%Ball care16.3% · 17.2%Off. rebounds27.6% · 30.5%Free throws0.30 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Kretinga   ■ Vilkaviskis
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kretinga wins
4
Vilkaviskis wins
DateGameScore
19/10/23Vilkaviskis v Kretinga79-74
18/02/23Kretinga v Vilkaviskis91-73
16/02/23Vilkaviskis v Kretinga93-61
08/12/22Vilkaviskis v Kretinga56-86
27/10/22Kretinga v Vilkaviskis78-90
19/11/21Kretinga v Vilkaviskis102-96
18/11/21Vilkaviskis v Kretinga86-73
Kretingalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23HSilute84-87
02/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga66-67
30/11/23HRytas 281-77
25/11/23HVytis VDU73-84
23/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis72-81
18/11/23HNeptunas 290-68
16/11/23ANeptunas 283-74
11/11/23HSuduva-Mantinga73-81
09/11/23AJurbarkas80-94
04/11/23HKauno Atletas84-73
Vilkaviskislast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/23ABC Olimpas Palanga81-85 OT
04/12/23ASuduva-Mantinga77-93
02/12/23HNeptunas 285-83
30/11/23AKauno Atletas80-85
25/11/23ASilute95-93
18/11/23HDelikatesas Joniskis87-72
16/11/23ADelikatesas Joniskis88-74
09/11/23AZalgiris Kaunas 274-75
04/11/23HJurbarkas89-86
31/10/23HVytis VDU99-104 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kretinga
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL32%
HomeWLLWL33%
AwayLLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %32%33%30%
Points / game77.478.476.5
Allowed / game81.681.881.4
Point differential-4.2-3.3-4.9
Avg total159.0160.2157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+16%22%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Vilkaviskis
NKL 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%70%38%
Points / game82.983.282.5
Allowed / game81.278.185.0
Point differential+1.7+5.1-2.5
Avg total164.1161.3167.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%40%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (10)60% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %11%10%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Suduva-Mantinga1614288%84.472.2+12.2
2 Telsiai1915479%83.272.8+10.4
3 BC Olimpas Palanga1914574%80.171.7+8.4
4 Vytis VDU1510567%88.383.1+5.2
5 Zalgiris Kaunas 21812667%78.173.3+4.8
6 Jurbarkas1911858%79.376.6+2.6
7 Vilkaviskis1810856%82.981.2+1.7
8 Ukmerges Stekas1771041%72.677.6-4.9
9 Delikatesas Joniskis1871139%76.284.2-8.0
10 Kauno Atletas1861233%76.680.3-3.7
11 Kretinga1961332%77.481.6-4.2
12 Silute1961332%78.283.7-5.5
13 Rytas 21851328%79.988.2-8.3
14 Neptunas 21931616%76.585.5-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kretinga2411211975
Vilkaviskis1622182783
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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