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Kumamoto vs Koshigaya Alphas Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 17 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 84-74
22-19 20-22 18-18 24-15
Position#5
Record15-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.5
Kumamoto 🏆
Japan
vs
Koshigaya Alphas
Japan
Position#3
Record14-8
FormLLWWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game73.9
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Koshigaya Alphas
17 Dec 2023
KUMA84
KOSH74
16 Dec 2023
KUMA117
KOSH111
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Koshigaya Alphas winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
37avg 76
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 76
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
L
83-91
83
91
-8
81avg 76
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
89-100
89
100
-11
81avg 76
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
91avg 76
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
69-65
69
65
+4
57avg 76
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 76
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 76
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H16/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-28
9-24
15-20
13-23
27-16
19-18
28-17
25-24
23-24
21-15
14-21
25-31
17-31
31-20
21-24
20-25
22-16
25-23
21-10
27-39
19-16
16-12
12-23
22-14
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
27-24
20-16
19-14
24-28
19-19
18-14
22-18
21-21
25-24
26-23
25-21
22-30
171.9Avg total
86.2Scored
85.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.682.5167.0+2.168%
Season at home (12)87.382.7170.0+4.783%
Season away (10)81.382.2163.5-0.950%
Last 10 (10)86.285.7171.9+0.570%
Last 5 (5)87.481.6169.0+5.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)73.388.3161.7-15.017%
vs Similar (15)84.778.6163.3+6.173%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
95-59
95
59
+36
89avg 78
H12/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
78-69
78
69
+9
80avg 78
H18/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
69-77
69
77
-8
58avg 78
H19/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
89-93
89
93
-4
83avg 78
A24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
90-63
90
63
+27
88avg 78
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
65-68
65
68
-3
57avg 78
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
70avg 78
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
63-53
63
53
+10
60avg 78
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
73-64
73
64
+9
68avg 78
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
111-117 OT
111
117
-6
no box
A16/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-22
24-9
20-15
23-13
26-23
21-24
15-12
16-10
17-19
25-20
17-18
10-20
24-17
22-31
19-24
24-21
19-20
19-17
33-17
19-9
10-24
24-18
16-12
15-14
14-21
22-24
27-21
17-15
14-9
21-11
15-24
13-9
22-18
19-20
13-11
19-15
24-25
23-26
21-25
30-22
155.7Avg total
81.3Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)84.073.9158.0+10.164%
Season at home (11)80.871.3152.1+9.564%
Season away (11)87.376.5163.8+10.764%
Last 10 (10)81.374.4155.7+6.950%
Last 5 (5)78.476.6155.0+1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)78.576.8155.2+1.825%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (18)85.373.3158.6+12.072%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: +0.0+0.0Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: +1.6+1.6Q3: +1.7+1.7Q4Q4: -3.3-3.3Q4: +3.8+3.8
KumamotoKoshigaya Alphas
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A18/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H25/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H26/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H02/12
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
B2.League
82.8Avg total
42.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.080.3+0.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.938.681.4+4.375%-
Last 30 away (14)37.441.678.9-4.243%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.682.8+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.279.4+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)37.943.381.2-5.450%-
vs Similar (15)42.137.679.7+4.567%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kumamoto
#5
W
52-31
52
31
+21
H12/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H18/11
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H19/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
L
46-48
46
48
-2
A24/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#6
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A25/11
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H02/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H03/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
35-20
35
20
+15
H09/12
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H10/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A16/12
B2.League
81.6Avg total
41.8Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (22)43.137.880.9+5.368%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.137.882.9+7.373%-
Last 30 away (11)41.137.778.8+3.464%-
Last 10 (10)41.839.881.6+2.050%-
Last 5 (5)38.639.277.8-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)37.040.877.8-3.825%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (18)44.437.181.6+7.378%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.821.2
50.7%
52.4%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.47.2
29.5%
33.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.716.0
73.7%
71.0%16.0
They take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.1 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.421.3
51.4%
52.4%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.87.1
31.1%
33.6%21.3
🏀 Free throws21.015.1
71.9%
71.0%15.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WWWWWWLLWL
Koshigaya Alphas
LWWLLWLLWW
#5
League position
#3
-4.2
Net rating
+14.8
105.3
Offensive rating
106.6
109.5
Defensive rating
91.8
48.3%
Effective FG%
49.8%
50.4%
Opp. effective FG%
40.8%
16.5%
Turnover %
18.7%
32.1%
Off. rebound %
36.7%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.33
29.5%
3-point %
31.1%
59.2%
Assist %
58.8%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.3 · 106.6Defence109.5 · 91.8Shooting48.3% · 49.8%3-point %29.5% · 31.1%Ball care16.5% · 18.7%Off. rebounds32.1% · 36.7%Free throws0.33 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)70% · 50%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Koshigaya Alphas
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
2
Koshigaya Alphas wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Kumamoto v Koshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
12/11/23Koshigaya Alphas v Kumamoto95-59
11/11/23Koshigaya Alphas v Kumamoto90-67
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
10/12/23ANiigata80-72
09/12/23ANiigata90-82
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
02/12/23HShizuoka69-65
26/11/23HAomori95-88
25/11/23HAomori89-100
18/11/23AFukuoka83-91
17/11/23AFukuoka99-75
12/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas59-95
Koshigaya Alphaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23AKumamoto111-117 OT
10/12/23HIwate73-64
09/12/23HIwate63-53
03/12/23HAltiri Chiba80-81
02/12/23HAltiri Chiba65-68
25/11/23AYamagata Wyverns90-63
24/11/23AYamagata Wyverns89-93
19/11/23HKobe69-77
18/11/23HKobe78-69
12/11/23HKumamoto95-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW68%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %68%83%50%
Points / game84.687.381.3
Allowed / game82.582.782.2
Point differential+2.1+4.7-0.9
Avg total167.0170.0163.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%8%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %5%8%0%
Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWL64%
HomeLLLWW64%
AwayWWLWL64%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %64%64%64%
Points / game84.080.887.3
Allowed / game73.971.376.5
Point differential+10.1+9.5+10.7
Avg total158.0152.1163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%36%55%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%27%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2220291%88.576.1+12.4
2 Fukuoka2317674%80.474.8+5.6
3 Shiga2316770%86.578.0+8.5
4 Kumamoto2215768%84.682.5+2.1
5 Koshigaya Alphas2214864%84.073.9+10.1
6 Aomori2214864%86.687.1-0.5
7 Kobe23131057%81.678.6+3.0
8 Shizuoka22111150%80.077.7+2.4
9 Yamagata Wyverns23101343%80.084.7-4.7
10 Fukushima2381535%80.382.9-2.6
11 Nara2381535%71.877.7-6.0
12 Ehime Orange Vikings2361726%78.487.2-8.8
13 Iwate2351822%70.376.3-6.0
14 Niigata221215%69.084.1-15.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2220182484
Koshigaya Alphas1922181574
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