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Koshigaya Alphas vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 12 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 95-59
28-22 24-9 20-15 23-13
Position#3
Record9-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game86.3
Allowed / game73.5
vs
Position#5
Record8-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game83.2
Allowed / game79.8
JapanB2.League· Koshigaya City Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Koshigaya Alphas v Kumamoto
04 May 2024
KOSH108
KUMA80
03 May 2024
KOSH100
KUMA70
12 Nov 2023
KOSH95
KUMA59
11 Nov 2023
KOSH90
KUMA67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Koshigaya Alphas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Koshigaya AlphasJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAlphas
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
100-95
100
95
+5
96avg 83
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
77-81
77
81
-4
80avg 83
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
80-87
80
87
-7
64avg 83
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
89-71
89
71
+18
82avg 83
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
99-70
99
70
+29
100avg 83
H25/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
L
88-94 OT
88
94
-6
no box
A28/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
81-49
81
49
+32
84avg 83
A29/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
88-74
88
74
+14
83avg 83
A04/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
89-83 OT
89
83
+6
no box
A05/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
90-67
90
67
+23
89avg 83
H11/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-19
28-28
16-18
23-30
25-15
13-22
22-22
17-22
16-20
16-18
26-18
22-31
22-21
24-17
18-19
25-14
31-18
18-20
18-13
32-19
22-20
21-16
28-21
12-26
20-12
21-18
22-10
18-9
23-18
20-24
22-13
23-19
20-19
18-21
21-13
16-22
27-13
34-19
15-19
14-16
165.2Avg total
88.1Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)86.373.5159.8+12.875%
Season at home (4)91.578.2169.8+13.275%
Season away (8)83.871.1154.9+12.675%
Last 10 (10)88.177.1165.2+11.070%
Last 5 (5)87.273.4160.6+13.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)84.579.0163.5+5.550%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.772.4159.1+14.380%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
97-79
97
79
+18
92avg 76
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 76
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 76
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 76
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
64-62
64
62
+2
52avg 76
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 76
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
79avg 76
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
102avg 76
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
95avg 76
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
49avg 76
A11/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-24
20-13
17-26
29-16
17-18
22-24
18-15
20-26
18-24
20-20
24-12
22-21
10-13
18-25
29-19
20-21
17-12
20-15
16-17
11-18
16-21
24-16
20-18
18-15
20-17
17-19
23-14
18-21
27-14
21-18
35-21
20-20
29-18
29-19
20-25
19-27
13-27
19-34
19-15
16-14
159.4Avg total
82.2Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)83.279.8163.0+3.567%
Season at home (7)85.378.6163.9+6.786%
Season away (5)80.481.4161.8-1.040%
Last 10 (10)82.277.2159.4+5.070%
Last 5 (5)84.678.6163.2+6.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)69.085.7154.7-16.76%
vs Similar (11)81.975.4157.3+6.573%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.4+6.4Q1: +1.0+1.0Q2Q2: +1.0+1.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +4.2+4.2Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.6-0.6Q4: -0.6-0.6
Koshigaya AlphasKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Koshigaya AlphasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aomori
#8
W
61-47
61
47
+14
H14/10
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H15/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A22/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H25/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
43-36
43
36
+7
A28/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
41-30
41
30
+11
A29/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
W
43-42
43
42
+1
A04/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A05/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
61-32
61
32
+29
H11/11
B2.League
83.0Avg total
45.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (12)44.236.180.2+8.183%-
Last 30 at home (4)52.238.590.8+13.8100%-
Last 30 away (8)40.134.975.0+5.275%-
Last 10 (10)45.237.883.0+7.480%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.081.2+9.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.038.077.0+1.050%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.235.780.9+9.590%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
W
51-37
51
37
+14
A14/10
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A11/11
B2.League
79.9Avg total
40.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.439.776.1-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.277.7+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)33.341.274.5-7.927%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.179.9+1.760%-
Last 5 (5)43.040.683.6+2.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)33.942.376.2-8.435%-
vs Similar (11)40.235.575.7+4.664%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Koshigaya Alphas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Koshigaya Alphastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Koshigaya Alphas: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.321.4
53.1%
52.4%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.39.1
37.4%
33.6%27.3
🏀 Free throws23.514.6
62.1%
71.0%14.6
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 81.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.920.2
53.3%
52.4%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.98.8
34.0%
33.6%26.4
🏀 Free throws20.014.6
73.0%
71.0%14.6
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Koshigaya Alphas
WWWWLWWLLW
Kumamoto
LWWWWWLWLW
#3
League position
#5
+20.3
Net rating
+6.5
115.9
Offensive rating
109.9
95.7
Defensive rating
103.4
54.3%
Effective FG%
52.4%
45.2%
Opp. effective FG%
48.8%
17.3%
Turnover %
16.6%
38.0%
Off. rebound %
29.8%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.31
37.4%
3-point %
34.0%
64.6%
Assist %
65.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence115.9 · 109.9Defence95.7 · 103.4Shooting54.3% · 52.4%3-point %37.4% · 34.0%Ball care17.3% · 16.6%Off. rebounds38.0% · 29.8%Free throws0.36 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Koshigaya Alphas   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Koshigaya Alphas wins
0
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
11/11/23Koshigaya Alphas v Kumamoto90-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23HKumamoto90-67
05/11/23AShizuoka89-83 OT
04/11/23AShizuoka88-74
29/10/23AKobe81-49
28/10/23AKobe88-94 OT
25/10/23HNiigata99-70
22/10/23AAltiri Chiba89-71
21/10/23AAltiri Chiba80-87
15/10/23HAomori77-81
14/10/23HAomori100-95
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas67-90
05/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings97-89
04/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings103-73
29/10/23HIwate78-71
28/10/23HIwate78-70
25/10/23HNara64-62
22/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings77-78
21/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings84-77
15/10/23AFukushima77-83
14/10/23AFukushima97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Koshigaya Alphas
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW75%
HomeWLWW75%
AwayWLWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1248
Win %75%75%75%
Points / game86.391.583.8
Allowed / game73.578.271.1
Point differential+12.8+13.2+12.6
Avg total159.8169.8154.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%50%62%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %17%0%25%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL67%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %67%86%40%
Points / game83.285.380.4
Allowed / game79.878.681.4
Point differential+3.5+6.7-1.0
Avg total163.0163.9161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fukuoka1110191%79.069.7+9.3
2 Altiri Chiba1210283%87.176.9+10.2
3 Koshigaya Alphas129375%86.373.5+12.8
4 Kumamoto128467%83.279.8+3.5
5 Aomori117464%83.784.2-0.5
6 Kobe138562%78.976.7+2.2
7 Shiga127558%83.176.2+6.8
8 Shizuoka127558%81.074.7+6.3
9 Yamagata Wyverns126650%81.282.4-1.2
10 Ehime Orange Vikings135838%76.882.5-5.7
11 Fukushima134931%81.485.2-3.8
12 Iwate1321115%68.877.8-9.0
13 Nara121118%68.881.5-12.7
14 Niigata121118%69.185.3-16.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Koshigaya Alphas2824202395
Kumamoto229151359
← all games of the day
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