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Fukuoka vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 75-99
16-27 18-19 17-28 24-25
Position#4
Record11-2
FormWWWWL
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#5
Record8-5
FormWWWLL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game80.9
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Kumamoto
20 Apr 2025
FUKU84
KUMA64
19 Apr 2025
FUKU77
KUMA81
13 Oct 2024
FUKU88
KUMA60
12 Oct 2024
FUKU90
KUMA65
10 Feb 2024
FUKU85
KUMA78
09 Feb 2024
FUKU75
KUMA54
18 Nov 2023
FUKU91
KUMA83
17 Nov 2023
FUKU75
KUMA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
W
84-81
84
81
+3
82avg 77
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-70
90
70
+20
93avg 77
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 77
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 77
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 77
H27/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 77
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
81-56
81
56
+25
87avg 77
A04/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
82avg 77
A05/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
no box
H13/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 77
H14/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-20
15-25
19-21
22-15
19-14
25-21
22-25
24-10
21-28
21-12
22-10
23-17
15-15
21-14
22-23
19-18
18-17
20-12
18-15
18-24
21-15
14-22
15-18
24-17
16-15
16-13
22-11
27-17
21-20
23-20
16-10
19-20
21-22
32-25
12-25
28-21
23-19
16-16
17-17
15-23
155.5Avg total
82.4Scored
73.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)80.572.6153.2+7.985%
Season at home (6)83.875.7159.5+8.283%
Season away (7)77.770.0147.7+7.786%
Last 10 (10)82.473.1155.5+9.390%
Last 5 (5)82.475.0157.4+7.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)73.079.6152.6-6.623%
vs Similar ◀ (9)77.180.0157.1-2.933%
vs Weaker (8)79.169.4148.5+9.888%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
77-83
77
83
-6
65avg 73
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 73
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 73
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
64-62
64
62
+2
52avg 73
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 73
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
79avg 73
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
102avg 73
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
95avg 73
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
49avg 73
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
37avg 73
A12/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-18
22-24
18-15
20-26
18-24
20-20
24-12
22-21
10-13
18-25
29-19
20-21
17-12
20-15
16-17
11-18
16-21
24-16
20-18
18-15
20-17
17-19
23-14
18-21
27-14
21-18
35-21
20-20
29-18
29-19
20-25
19-27
13-27
19-34
19-15
16-14
22-28
9-24
15-20
13-23
157.2Avg total
78.4Scored
78.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.480.9162.3+0.562%
Season at home (7)85.378.6163.9+6.786%
Season away (6)76.883.7160.5-6.833%
Last 10 (10)78.478.8157.2-0.460%
Last 5 (5)80.883.6164.4-2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)69.286.0155.2-16.86%
vs Similar ◀ (11)81.975.4157.3+6.573%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: +2.3+2.3Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +4.3+4.3Q4Q4: +3.7+3.7Q4: -2.9-2.9
FukuokaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shiga
#2
L
43-45
43
45
-2
A15/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H27/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A04/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A05/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H13/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/11
B2.League
77.1Avg total
40.6Scored
36.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.676.0-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.739.276.9-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.975.1-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)40.636.577.1+4.180%-
Last 5 (5)40.637.478.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)35.839.475.2-3.623%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)37.640.978.4-3.344%-
vs Weaker (8)40.034.674.6+5.488%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukushima
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A15/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A12/11
B2.League
79.4Avg total
38.8Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.939.876.8-2.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.277.7+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)34.341.575.8-7.127%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.679.4-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)41.243.684.8-2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (17)34.842.577.3-7.835%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.235.575.7+4.664%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.5 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.6
49.9%
52.4%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.49.9
42.3%
33.6%29.7
🏀 Free throws13.59.5
70.4%
71.0%9.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.718.7
49.6%
52.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.28.3
32.9%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws20.515.3
74.6%
71.0%15.3
They take 62.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
LWWWWWWWWW
Kumamoto
LLWWWWWLWL
#4
League position
#5
+14.2
Net rating
-0.8
107.2
Offensive rating
104.8
92.9
Defensive rating
105.6
54.9%
Effective FG%
49.5%
46.5%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
19.4%
Turnover %
16.9%
28.7%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.33
42.3%
3-point %
32.9%
72.9%
Assist %
66.7%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 104.8Defence92.9 · 105.6Shooting54.9% · 49.5%3-point %42.3% · 32.9%Ball care19.4% · 16.9%Off. rebounds28.7% · 27.7%Free throws0.22 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukuoka wins
0
Kumamoto wins
No previous meetings.
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/23HAomori71-75
13/11/23HAomori107-102 OT
05/11/23AIwate79-70
04/11/23AIwate81-56
28/10/23HNara74-72
27/10/23HNara74-68
25/10/23AKobe77-70
22/10/23HNiigata87-67
21/10/23HNiigata90-70
15/10/23AShiga84-81
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas59-95
11/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas67-90
05/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings97-89
04/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings103-73
29/10/23HIwate78-71
28/10/23HIwate78-70
25/10/23HNara64-62
22/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings77-78
21/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings84-77
15/10/23AFukushima77-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL85%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %85%83%86%
Points / game80.583.877.7
Allowed / game72.675.770.0
Point differential+7.9+8.2+7.7
Avg total153.2159.5147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%33%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %8%17%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayLWLLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1376
Win %62%86%33%
Points / game81.485.376.8
Allowed / game80.978.683.7
Point differential+0.5+6.7-6.8
Avg total162.3163.9160.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%14%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1311285%87.276.4+10.8
2 Fukuoka1311285%80.572.6+7.9
3 Koshigaya Alphas1310377%87.072.4+14.6
4 Shiga138562%82.674.7+7.9
5 Kobe138562%78.976.7+2.2
6 Kumamoto138562%81.480.9+0.5
7 Aomori138562%84.584.9-0.5
8 Shizuoka137654%80.275.5+4.6
9 Yamagata Wyverns136746%80.382.8-2.5
10 Ehime Orange Vikings135838%76.882.5-5.7
11 Fukushima134931%81.485.2-3.8
12 Iwate1321115%68.877.8-9.0
13 Nara1321115%70.280.6-10.5
14 Niigata131128%68.184.7-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka1618172475
Kumamoto2719282599
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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