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Fukuoka vs Kumamoto Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 18 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 06:00
Final 91-83
24-23 15-21 21-14 31-25
Position#4
Record11-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game80.1
Allowed / game74.5
Fukuoka 🏆
Japan
vs
Position#5
Record9-5
FormWWLLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game80.5
JapanB2.League· Teriha Sekisui House Arena
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fukuoka v Kumamoto
20 Apr 2025
FUKU84
KUMA64
19 Apr 2025
FUKU77
KUMA81
13 Oct 2024
FUKU88
KUMA60
12 Oct 2024
FUKU90
KUMA65
10 Feb 2024
FUKU85
KUMA78
09 Feb 2024
FUKU75
KUMA54
18 Nov 2023
FUKU91
KUMA83
17 Nov 2023
FUKU75
KUMA99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kumamoto winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FukuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFukuoka
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
90-70
90
70
+20
93avg 76
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
87-67
87
67
+20
87avg 76
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
77-70
77
70
+7
71avg 76
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-68
74
68
+6
70avg 76
H27/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
69avg 76
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
81-56
81
56
+25
87avg 76
A04/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
79-70
79
70
+9
82avg 76
A05/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
107-102 OT
107
102
+5
no box
H13/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
71-75
71
75
-4
62avg 76
H14/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
75-99
75
99
-24
67avg 76
H17/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-14
25-21
22-25
24-10
21-28
21-12
22-10
23-17
15-15
21-14
22-23
19-18
18-17
20-12
18-15
18-24
21-15
14-22
15-18
24-17
16-15
16-13
22-11
27-17
21-20
23-20
16-10
19-20
21-22
32-25
12-25
28-21
23-19
16-16
17-17
15-23
16-27
18-19
17-28
24-25
156.4Avg total
81.5Scored
74.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)80.174.5154.6+5.679%
Season at home (7)82.679.0161.6+3.671%
Season away (7)77.770.0147.7+7.786%
Last 10 (10)81.574.9156.4+6.680%
Last 5 (5)82.680.4163.0+2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)72.879.2152.0-6.525%
vs Similar ◀ (10)76.981.9158.8-5.030%
vs Weaker (8)79.169.4148.5+9.888%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
83avg 75
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
77-78
77
78
-1
73avg 75
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
64-62
64
62
+2
52avg 75
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-70
78
70
+8
73avg 75
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
78-71
78
71
+7
79avg 75
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
102avg 75
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
97-89
97
89
+8
95avg 75
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
67-90
67
90
-23
49avg 75
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
59-95
59
95
-36
37avg 75
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
99-75
99
75
+24
98avg 75
A17/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-24
20-20
24-12
22-21
10-13
18-25
29-19
20-21
17-12
20-15
16-17
11-18
16-21
24-16
20-18
18-15
20-17
17-19
23-14
18-21
27-14
21-18
35-21
20-20
29-18
29-19
20-25
19-27
13-27
19-34
19-15
16-14
22-28
9-24
15-20
13-23
27-16
19-18
28-17
25-24
158.6Avg total
80.6Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)82.680.5163.1+2.164%
Season at home (7)85.378.6163.9+6.786%
Season away (7)80.082.4162.4-2.443%
Last 10 (10)80.678.0158.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)85.084.4169.4+0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)69.685.5155.1-15.96%
vs Similar ◀ (12)83.375.3158.7+8.075%
vs Weaker (1)81.073.0154.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +3.2+3.2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +5.1+5.1Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: -2.2-2.2
FukuokaKumamoto
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Niigata
#14
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H21/10
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H22/10
B2.League
Kobe
#7
W
36-29
36
29
+7
A25/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H27/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A04/11
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A05/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
53-47
53
47
+6
H13/11
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H14/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H17/11
B2.League
76.3Avg total
39.7Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.438.676.0-1.247%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.739.276.9-1.547%-
Last 30 away (15)37.137.975.1-0.847%-
Last 10 (10)39.736.676.3+3.180%-
Last 5 (5)40.439.279.6+1.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)35.838.874.7-3.025%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)37.241.478.6-4.240%-
vs Weaker (8)40.034.674.6+5.488%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A21/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
L
28-38
28
38
-10
A22/10
B2.League
Nara
#11
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H25/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H28/10
B2.League
Iwate
#13
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H29/10
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H04/11
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#12
W
58-37
58
37
+21
H05/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
32-61
32
61
-29
A11/11
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A12/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#4
W
46-34
46
34
+12
A17/11
B2.League
79.3Avg total
39.5Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.839.377.1-1.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.538.277.7+1.360%-
Last 30 away (15)36.040.576.5-4.533%-
Last 10 (10)39.539.879.3-0.360%-
Last 5 (5)43.043.286.2-0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)35.642.177.8-6.538%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.735.476.1+5.267%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Fukuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fukuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fukuoka: 78.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.919.5
48.9%
52.4%39.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.29.7
41.8%
33.6%29.1
🏀 Free throws14.610.5
71.9%
71.0%10.5
They take 63.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.219.3
51.9%
52.4%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.7
34.9%
33.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws20.314.9
73.4%
71.0%14.9
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 18 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fukuoka
LLWWWWWWWW
Kumamoto
WLLWWWWWLW
#4
League position
#5
+9.6
Net rating
+3.0
107.7
Offensive rating
107.8
98.1
Defensive rating
104.9
54.0%
Effective FG%
52.1%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.8%
Turnover %
16.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.33
41.8%
3-point %
34.9%
72.9%
Assist %
68.2%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence107.7 · 107.8Defence98.1 · 104.9Shooting54.0% · 52.1%3-point %41.8% · 34.9%Ball care18.8% · 16.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 26.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Fukuoka   ■ Kumamoto
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fukuoka wins
1
Kumamoto wins
DateGameScore
17/11/23Fukuoka v Kumamoto75-99
Fukuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23HKumamoto75-99
14/11/23HAomori71-75
13/11/23HAomori107-102 OT
05/11/23AIwate79-70
04/11/23AIwate81-56
28/10/23HNara74-72
27/10/23HNara74-68
25/10/23AKobe77-70
22/10/23HNiigata87-67
21/10/23HNiigata90-70
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/11/23AFukuoka99-75
12/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas59-95
11/11/23AKoshigaya Alphas67-90
05/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings97-89
04/11/23HEhime Orange Vikings103-73
29/10/23HIwate78-71
28/10/23HIwate78-70
25/10/23HNara64-62
22/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings77-78
21/10/23AEhime Orange Vikings84-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL79%
HomeWWWLL71%
AwayWWWWW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%71%86%
Points / game80.182.677.7
Allowed / game74.579.070.0
Point differential+5.6+3.6+7.7
Avg total154.6161.6147.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%29%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)67% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW64%
HomeWWWWW86%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %64%86%43%
Points / game82.685.380.0
Allowed / game80.578.682.4
Point differential+2.1+6.7-2.4
Avg total163.1163.9162.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1412286%88.276.8+11.4
2 Fukuoka1411379%80.174.5+5.6
3 Koshigaya Alphas1310377%87.072.4+14.6
4 Kumamoto149564%82.680.5+2.1
5 Shiga138562%82.674.7+7.9
6 Kobe138562%78.976.7+2.2
7 Aomori138562%84.584.9-0.5
8 Shizuoka137654%80.275.5+4.6
9 Yamagata Wyverns136746%80.382.8-2.5
10 Ehime Orange Vikings145936%77.183.9-6.7
11 Fukushima134931%81.485.2-3.8
12 Iwate1321115%68.877.8-9.0
13 Nara1321115%70.280.6-10.5
14 Niigata131128%68.184.7-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fukuoka2415213191
Kumamoto2321142583
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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