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Kumamoto vs Nara Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 06 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 87-66
30-21 23-15 22-18 12-12
Position#5
Record18-10
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.6
Allowed / game82.9
vs
Position#11
Record13-15
FormWWWWW
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game77.9
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kumamoto v Nara
30 Mar 2025
KUMA112
NARA57
29 Mar 2025
KUMA64
NARA67
03 Nov 2024
KUMA71
NARA85
02 Nov 2024
KUMA86
NARA94
07 Jan 2024
KUMA74
NARA59
06 Jan 2024
KUMA87
NARA66
25 Oct 2023
KUMA64
NARA62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
W
81-78
81
78
+3
72avg 76
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
90-82
90
82
+8
83avg 76
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
80-72
80
72
+8
70avg 76
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
117-111 OT
117
111
+6
no box
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
74avg 76
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
78-86
78
86
-8
68avg 76
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
83-105
83
105
-22
72avg 76
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
73-81
73
81
-8
66avg 76
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
101-87
101
87
+14
97avg 76
H30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
89-74
89
74
+15
89avg 76
H31/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
14-20
26-19
19-16
27-24
20-16
19-14
24-28
19-19
18-14
22-18
21-21
25-24
26-23
25-21
22-30
22-19
20-22
18-18
24-15
18-25
13-20
32-12
15-29
26-26
20-24
22-28
15-27
20-20
13-22
17-25
23-14
21-20
28-18
25-22
27-27
30-22
21-13
16-18
22-21
172.6Avg total
87.6Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)84.682.9167.5+1.764%
Season at home (15)88.181.8169.9+6.387%
Season away (13)80.584.2164.7-3.638%
Last 10 (10)87.685.0172.6+2.670%
Last 5 (5)84.886.6171.4-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)79.489.1168.6-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (18)85.579.2164.7+6.372%
vs Weaker (2)85.077.0162.0+8.0100%
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNara
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
64-84
64
84
-20
59avg 65
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
64avg 65
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
79-97
79
97
-18
72avg 65
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
85-67
85
67
+18
83avg 65
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
56-74
56
74
-18
40avg 65
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
86-78
86
78
+8
80avg 65
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
90-82
90
82
+8
85avg 65
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
76-75
76
75
+1
67avg 65
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
81-80
81
80
+1
76avg 65
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
83-79 OT
83
79
+4
no box
H30/12
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-21
12-23
18-22
23-18
26-26
14-14
19-13
13-26
20-18
15-25
21-23
23-31
20-18
14-22
28-14
23-13
16-17
6-20
17-18
17-19
25-18
20-13
12-32
29-15
16-17
26-18
22-18
26-29
16-20
20-17
19-25
21-13
20-23
17-19
22-19
22-19
23-14
13-21
15-13
15-18
156.7Avg total
77.2Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)73.877.9151.8-4.146%
Season at home (15)73.579.7153.2-6.353%
Season away (13)74.275.8150.1-1.638%
Last 10 (10)77.279.5156.7-2.360%
Last 5 (5)83.278.8162.0+4.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)71.182.9153.9-11.819%
vs Similar ◀ (12)74.873.4148.2+1.467%
vs Weaker (2)79.069.5148.5+9.5100%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: -3.5-3.5Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: -0.4-0.4Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: +1.1+1.1
KumamotoNara
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Shizuoka
#9
L
36-43
36
43
-7
H03/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A09/12
B2.League
Niigata
#14
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A10/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
51-47
51
47
+4
H16/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H17/12
B2.League
Nara
#11
L
31-45
31
45
-14
A20/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
46-50
46
50
-4
A23/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
33-42
33
42
-9
A24/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H30/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
W
51-35
51
35
+16
H31/12
B2.League
83.7Avg total
42.3Scored
41.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.382.0+1.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)44.338.182.4+6.281%-
Last 30 away (14)38.642.881.4-4.136%-
Last 10 (10)42.341.483.7+0.960%-
Last 5 (5)42.042.084.0+0.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)40.645.886.3-5.244%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)42.437.980.3+4.567%-
vs Weaker (2)42.036.578.5+5.5100%-
This opponent (Nara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NaraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fukuoka
#4
L
23-44
23
44
-21
H03/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
D
40-40
40
40
+0
A09/12
B2.League
Shiga
#2
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A10/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/12
B2.League
Fukushima
#10
L
22-37
22
37
-15
A17/12
B2.League
Kumamoto
#5
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H20/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H23/12
B2.League
Aomori
#8
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H24/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H29/12
B2.League
Koshigaya Alphas
#3
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H30/12
B2.League
73.4Avg total
35.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.038.973.9-3.938%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.538.773.1-4.240%-
Last 30 away (14)35.639.274.8-3.636%-
Last 10 (10)35.038.473.4-3.430%-
Last 5 (5)39.236.075.2+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)33.441.374.7-7.927%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.737.473.1-1.842%-
vs Weaker (2)43.030.573.5+12.5100%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 82.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.1
53.7%
52.4%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.98.3
33.3%
33.6%24.9
🏀 Free throws19.614.9
76.0%
71.0%14.9
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Naratheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nara: 75.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.8 points a game
52%
32%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.818.0
45.2%
52.4%36.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.78.5
35.9%
33.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws18.313.6
74.3%
71.0%13.6
They take 63.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
WWLLLWWWWW
Nara
WWWWWLWLLL
#5
League position
#11
+2.9
Net rating
-1.8
109.5
Offensive rating
104.9
106.6
Defensive rating
106.7
52.3%
Effective FG%
48.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
18.1%
Turnover %
16.3%
32.5%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.29
33.3%
3-point %
35.9%
52.0%
Assist %
59.6%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.5 · 104.9Defence106.6 · 106.7Shooting52.3% · 48.4%3-point %33.3% · 35.9%Ball care18.1% · 16.3%Off. rebounds32.5% · 31.1%Free throws0.31 · 0.29Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Nara
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Kumamoto wins
1
Nara wins
DateGameScore
20/12/23Nara v Kumamoto86-78
25/10/23Kumamoto v Nara64-62
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/12/23HFukushima89-74
30/12/23HFukushima101-87
24/12/23AShiga73-81
23/12/23AShiga83-105
20/12/23ANara78-86
17/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas84-74
16/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas117-111 OT
10/12/23ANiigata80-72
09/12/23ANiigata90-82
03/12/23HShizuoka81-78
Naralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas83-79 OT
29/12/23HKoshigaya Alphas81-80
24/12/23HAomori76-75
23/12/23HAomori90-82
20/12/23HKumamoto86-78
17/12/23AFukushima56-74
16/12/23AFukushima85-67
10/12/23AShiga79-97
09/12/23AShiga72-79
03/12/23HFukuoka64-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW64%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWWLLL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %64%87%38%
Points / game84.688.180.5
Allowed / game82.981.884.2
Point differential+1.7+6.3-3.6
Avg total167.5169.9164.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%27%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %4%7%0%
Nara
B2.League 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW46%
HomeWWWWW53%
AwayWLLWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281513
Win %46%53%38%
Points / game73.873.574.2
Allowed / game77.979.775.8
Point differential-4.1-6.3-1.6
Avg total151.8153.2150.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%7%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%7%8%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba2826293%88.675.4+13.1
2 Shiga2922776%87.478.1+9.2
3 Fukuoka2920969%79.374.8+4.5
4 Kumamoto28181064%84.682.9+1.7
5 Koshigaya Alphas28161257%82.674.2+8.4
6 Aomori28161257%85.986.5-0.6
7 Yamagata Wyverns28151354%81.484.2-2.8
8 Kobe29141548%80.179.6+0.5
9 Shizuoka28131546%80.279.6+0.6
10 Nara28131546%73.877.9-4.1
11 Fukushima2891932%79.083.5-4.4
12 Iwate2872125%70.276.0-5.8
13 Ehime Orange Vikings2972224%78.886.5-7.7
14 Niigata282267%70.983.9-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto3023221287
Nara2115181266
← all games of the day
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