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Kumamoto vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 29 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 76-63
20-16 15-16 21-12 20-19
Position#8
Record11-23
FormWWWLL
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game83.5
vs
Position#6
Record19-15
FormWWLLL
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game75.6
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Shizuoka
29 Jan 2025
KUMA76
SHIZ63
26 Nov 2024
KUMA74
SHIZ71
25 Nov 2024
KUMA51
SHIZ60
03 Mar 2024
KUMA86
SHIZ85
02 Mar 2024
KUMA108
SHIZ101
03 Dec 2023
KUMA81
SHIZ78
02 Dec 2023
KUMA69
SHIZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
71-91
71
91
-20
65avg 73
H21/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
81-76
81
76
+5
76avg 73
H22/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
90-92
90
92
-2
87avg 73
H28/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
81-71
81
71
+10
75avg 73
H29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
90-74
90
74
+16
90avg 73
A04/01
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 73
A05/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
81-80
81
80
+1
77avg 73
A11/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
82-61
82
61
+21
86avg 73
A12/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
79-82
79
82
-3
68avg 73
H25/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
59-72
59
72
-13
44avg 73
H26/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
20-15
19-19
11-30
24-22
20-22
16-12
21-20
28-29
22-22
22-18
18-23
19-25
21-25
17-10
24-11
27-18
30-20
14-18
19-18
18-23
27-17
21-15
21-11
24-26
25-30
17-9
15-15
16-18
26-11
19-4
21-28
15-19
27-15
14-26
23-22
14-13
21-19
12-19
12-21
156.6Avg total
80.1Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)77.583.5161.0-6.032%
Season at home (17)76.982.9159.8-6.129%
Season away (17)78.284.1162.2-5.935%
Last 10 (10)80.176.5156.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)77.672.2149.8+5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.385.0157.3-12.717%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.182.1159.2-5.128%
vs Weaker (6)87.878.3166.2+9.583%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
86-100
86
100
-14
80avg 74
H21/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
68-85
68
85
-17
52avg 74
H22/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-62
90
62
+28
89avg 74
A28/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
90-67
90
67
+23
90avg 74
A29/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
90-75
90
75
+15
88avg 74
H04/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
86-79
86
79
+7
85avg 74
H05/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
75-66
75
66
+9
70avg 74
A11/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
60-83
60
83
-23
44avg 74
A12/01
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
69-75
69
75
-6
60avg 74
H25/01
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
77-86
77
86
-9
69avg 74
H26/01
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-25
23-29
21-25
17-21
19-23
18-18
15-29
16-15
18-18
22-14
23-11
27-19
27-21
23-17
19-13
21-16
20-15
20-24
28-18
22-18
26-19
24-18
22-15
14-27
24-8
16-20
16-21
19-17
14-26
19-22
13-25
14-10
13-15
18-11
21-18
17-31
30-19
17-17
15-20
15-30
156.9Avg total
79.1Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)77.275.6152.8+1.656%
Season at home (17)79.981.7161.6-1.841%
Season away (17)74.569.5144.0+4.971%
Last 10 (10)79.177.8156.9+1.350%
Last 5 (5)73.477.8151.2-4.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)77.590.5168.0-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (16)77.273.8150.9+3.462%
vs Weaker (8)79.067.5146.5+11.588%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: +1.0+1.0Q3Q3: +2.1+2.1Q3: -0.2-0.2Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
KumamotoShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H21/12
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H22/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H28/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
40-50
40
50
-10
H29/12
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A04/01
B2.League
Kobe
#10
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A05/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A11/01
B2.League
Fukushima
#13
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A12/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H25/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H26/01
B2.League
86.1Avg total
44.5Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.642.182.7-1.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.541.781.1-2.240%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.684.3-0.940%-
Last 10 (10)44.541.686.1+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.638.280.8+4.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)38.541.880.3-3.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)40.142.582.6-2.433%-
vs Weaker (6)44.341.385.7+3.067%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
48-54
48
54
-6
H21/12
B2.League
Altiri Chiba
#1
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H22/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A28/12
B2.League
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A29/12
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H04/01
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H05/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
W
40-28
40
28
+12
A11/01
B2.League
Shinshu
#5
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A12/01
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H25/01
B2.League
Kagoshima Rebnise
#4
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H26/01
B2.League
79.5Avg total
41.6Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.476.7+1.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)39.640.279.8-0.653%-
Last 30 away (13)38.933.872.7+5.277%-
Last 10 (10)41.637.979.5+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)40.235.075.2+5.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.747.885.5-10.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)38.735.273.9+3.475%-
vs Weaker (8)41.834.075.8+7.888%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀63%
🏀🏀🏀21%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers50.4 pts a game · 63% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.625.2
52.9%
51.0%50.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.25.7
29.7%
32.9%17.1
🏀 Free throws20.012.2
61.0%
70.7%12.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 78.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.521.4
47.0%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.97.5
30.1%
32.9%22.5
🏀 Free throws17.113.0
76.0%
70.7%13.0
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLWWWWWLWL
Shizuoka
LLLWWWWWLL
#8
League position
#6
+5.0
Net rating
+2.0
105.6
Offensive rating
104.0
100.6
Defensive rating
102.1
50.5%
Effective FG%
46.4%
49.2%
Opp. effective FG%
46.8%
19.5%
Turnover %
15.2%
38.6%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.24
29.7%
3-point %
30.1%
62.1%
Assist %
68.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence105.6 · 104.0Defence100.6 · 102.1Shooting50.5% · 46.4%3-point %29.7% · 30.1%Ball care19.5% · 15.2%Off. rebounds38.6% · 33.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Kumamoto wins
4
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
26/11/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka74-71
25/11/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka51-60
27/10/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto82-75
26/10/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto89-75
03/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka86-85
02/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka108-101 OT
04/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto83-100
03/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto80-72
03/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka81-78
02/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka69-65
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HShinshu59-72
25/01/25HShinshu79-82
12/01/25AFukushima82-61
11/01/25AFukushima81-80
05/01/25AKobe87-66
04/01/25AKobe90-74
29/12/24HYamagata Wyverns81-71
28/12/24HYamagata Wyverns90-92
22/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise81-76
21/12/24HKagoshima Rebnise71-91
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/01/25HKagoshima Rebnise77-86
25/01/25HKagoshima Rebnise69-75
12/01/25AShinshu60-83
11/01/25AShinshu75-66
05/01/25HYamagata Wyverns86-79
04/01/25HYamagata Wyverns90-75
29/12/24AEhime Orange Vikings90-67
28/12/24AEhime Orange Vikings90-62
22/12/24HAltiri Chiba68-85
21/12/24HAltiri Chiba86-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL32%
HomeWLWLL29%
AwayWWWWW35%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %32%29%35%
Points / game77.576.978.2
Allowed / game83.582.984.1
Point differential-6.0-6.1-5.9
Avg total161.0159.8162.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won56% (9)50% (6)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL56%
HomeLWWLL41%
AwayWWWWL71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %56%41%71%
Points / game77.279.974.5
Allowed / game75.681.769.5
Point differential+1.6-1.8+4.9
Avg total152.8161.6144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%24%41%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)0% (1)67% (3)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba3432294%91.975.8+16.1
2 Fukuoka3425974%83.173.9+9.3
3 Kagoshima Rebnise3425974%83.176.4+6.7
4 Toyama34241071%89.479.5+9.9
5 Shinshu34231168%86.676.2+10.4
6 Fukui34211362%83.580.3+3.2
7 Shizuoka34191556%77.275.6+1.6
8 Aomori34142041%79.287.2-7.9
9 Yamagata Wyverns34122235%80.384.6-4.3
10 Kobe34122235%79.984.4-4.4
11 Kumamoto34112332%77.583.5-6.0
12 Nara34112332%74.981.0-6.1
13 Fukushima3472721%72.682.8-10.3
14 Ehime Orange Vikings342326%74.092.1-18.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto2015212076
Shizuoka1616121963
← all games of the day
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