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Kumamoto vs Shizuoka Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Nov 2024
Tip-off: 10:00
Final 74-71
15-17 18-23 28-18 13-13
Position#8
Record1-15
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game88.2
vs
Position#6
Record9-7
FormLWLLW
Points / game76.4
Allowed / game76.1
JapanB2.League· Kumamoto Prefectural Gymnasium
Other2024-25
Meetings · Kumamoto v Shizuoka
29 Jan 2025
KUMA76
SHIZ63
26 Nov 2024
KUMA74
SHIZ71
25 Nov 2024
KUMA51
SHIZ60
03 Mar 2024
KUMA86
SHIZ85
02 Mar 2024
KUMA108
SHIZ101
03 Dec 2023
KUMA81
SHIZ78
02 Dec 2023
KUMA69
SHIZ65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kumamoto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Shizuoka winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KumamotoJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKumamoto
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
95-83
95
83
+12
93avg 74
H23/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
75-89
75
89
-14
59avg 74
A26/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
75-82
75
82
-7
61avg 74
A27/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
86-94
86
94
-8
79avg 74
H02/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
71-85
71
85
-14
65avg 74
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
73-92
73
92
-19
65avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
78-94
78
94
-16
66avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
80-85 OT
80
85
-5
71avg 74
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
84-100
84
100
-16
74avg 74
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
51-60
51
60
-9
42avg 74
H25/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-19
22-25
24-13
22-26
16-28
22-16
17-18
20-27
19-15
17-22
24-20
15-25
23-30
20-30
25-14
18-20
25-22
12-19
15-16
19-28
18-26
21-23
13-19
21-24
17-27
24-20
19-25
18-22
17-14
18-16
23-27
16-17
24-30
23-21
20-28
17-21
11-10
17-13
19-19
4-18
163.2Avg total
76.8Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)75.188.2163.2-13.16%
Season at home (8)76.486.4162.8-10.012%
Season away (8)73.890.0163.8-16.20%
Last 10 (10)76.886.4163.2-9.610%
Last 5 (5)73.286.2159.4-13.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)76.698.9175.4-22.30%
vs Similar ◀ (20)79.288.2167.4-9.010%
vs Weaker (1)95.083.0178.0+12.0100%
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaJapanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShizuoka
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
W
76-60
76
60
+16
73avg 74
A23/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
89-75
89
75
+14
86avg 74
H26/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
82-75
82
75
+7
81avg 74
H27/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
63-87
63
87
-24
53avg 74
H02/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
92-86
92
86
+6
93avg 74
H03/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
74-82
74
82
-8
70avg 74
A09/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
79-69
79
69
+10
79avg 74
A10/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
73-79
73
79
-6
51avg 74
H16/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
83-102
83
102
-19
76avg 74
H17/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
60-51
60
51
+9
49avg 74
A25/11
B2.League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
20-9
24-14
16-16
28-16
16-22
18-17
27-20
15-19
22-17
20-24
25-15
15-19
14-20
19-28
15-20
26-18
19-22
18-17
29-29
15-27
24-22
13-20
22-13
21-15
20-13
21-20
17-21
19-13
12-24
16-23
26-19
14-30
23-23
19-27
27-22
10-11
13-17
19-19
18-4
153.7Avg total
77.1Scored
76.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.476.1152.5+0.456%
Season at home (8)80.280.9161.1-0.650%
Season away (8)72.671.2143.9+1.462%
Last 10 (10)77.176.6153.7+0.560%
Last 5 (5)73.876.6150.4-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.584.7162.2-7.230%
vs Similar ◀ (18)81.275.6156.8+5.678%
vs Weaker (2)76.575.5152.0+1.050%
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.4-2.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +0.0+0.0Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -5.8-5.8Q4: +4.3+4.3
KumamotoShizuoka
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KumamotoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ehime Orange Vikings
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H23/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
38-44
38
44
-6
A26/10
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
L
36-37
36
37
-1
A27/10
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
43-60
43
60
-17
H02/11
B2.League
Nara
#9
L
37-41
37
41
-4
H03/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Kobe
#10
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A10/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
W
35-30
35
30
+5
A16/11
B2.League
Yamagata Wyverns
#11
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A17/11
B2.League
Shizuoka
#6
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H25/11
B2.League
81.9Avg total
39.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.047.887.8-7.820%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.048.190.1-6.133%-
Last 30 away (15)37.947.585.5-9.67%-
Last 10 (10)39.342.681.9-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.040.078.0-2.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)39.454.894.2-15.30%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)39.844.984.6-5.125%-
vs Weaker (1)49.044.093.0+5.0100%-
This opponent (Shizuoka) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ShizuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kobe
#10
W
36-30
36
30
+6
A23/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H26/10
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H27/10
B2.League
Fukui
#7
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H02/11
B2.League
Fukui
#7
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H03/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A09/11
B2.League
Aomori
#12
W
41-28
41
28
+13
A10/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H16/11
B2.League
Fukuoka
#2
L
37-53
37
53
-16
H17/11
B2.League
Kumamoto
#8
L
23-28
23
28
-5
A25/11
B2.League
74.0Avg total
36.2Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.939.578.4-0.657%-
Last 30 at home (13)39.640.379.9-0.754%-
Last 30 away (17)38.438.977.3-0.559%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.874.0-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.073.2-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.543.681.1-6.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)39.637.376.9+2.372%-
vs Weaker (2)40.038.578.5+1.550%-
This opponent (Kumamoto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kumamototheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kumamoto: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.5
50.9%
51.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.07.9
31.6%
32.9%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.510.2
75.6%
70.7%10.2
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Shizuokatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Shizuoka: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.6 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
52%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.021.4
48.6%
51.0%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.86.2
31.3%
32.9%18.6
🏀 Free throws22.115.0
67.9%
70.7%15.0
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 38%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Nov 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kumamoto
LLLLLLLLLW
Shizuoka
WLLWLWLWWW
#8
League position
#6
-15.4
Net rating
+0.9
99.7
Offensive rating
101.6
115.2
Defensive rating
100.7
49.5%
Effective FG%
48.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
18.4%
Turnover %
20.5%
28.3%
Off. rebound %
36.4%
0.21
Free-throw rate
0.35
31.6%
3-point %
31.3%
62.7%
Assist %
64.1%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.7 · 101.6Defence115.2 · 100.7Shooting49.5% · 48.1%3-point %31.6% · 31.3%Ball care18.4% · 20.5%Off. rebounds28.3% · 36.4%Free throws0.21 · 0.35Form (last 10/10)10% · 60%
■ Kumamoto   ■ Shizuoka
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Kumamoto wins
4
Shizuoka wins
DateGameScore
25/11/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka51-60
27/10/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto82-75
26/10/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto89-75
03/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka86-85
02/03/24Kumamoto v Shizuoka108-101 OT
04/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto83-100
03/02/24Shizuoka v Kumamoto80-72
03/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka81-78
02/12/23Kumamoto v Shizuoka69-65
Kumamotolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24HShizuoka51-60
17/11/24AYamagata Wyverns84-100
16/11/24AYamagata Wyverns80-85 OT
10/11/24AKobe78-94
09/11/24AKobe73-92
03/11/24HNara71-85
02/11/24HNara86-94
27/10/24AShizuoka75-82
26/10/24AShizuoka75-89
23/10/24HEhime Orange Vikings95-83
Shizuokalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/11/24AKumamoto60-51
17/11/24HFukuoka83-102
16/11/24HFukuoka73-79
10/11/24AAomori79-69
09/11/24AAomori74-82
03/11/24HFukui92-86
02/11/24HFukui63-87
27/10/24HKumamoto82-75
26/10/24HKumamoto89-75
23/10/24AKobe76-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kumamoto
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL6%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %6%12%0%
Points / game75.176.473.8
Allowed / game88.286.490.0
Point differential-13.1-10.0-16.2
Avg total163.2162.8163.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
Shizuoka
B2.League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLW56%
HomeWLWLL50%
AwayLWLWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %56%50%62%
Points / game76.480.272.6
Allowed / game76.180.971.2
Point differential+0.4-0.6+1.4
Avg total152.5161.1143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%25%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %6%0%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Altiri Chiba1716194%92.777.4+15.4
2 Toyama1712571%86.779.0+7.7
3 Fukui1712571%81.477.9+3.5
4 Shinshu1711665%85.175.6+9.5
5 Fukuoka1711665%83.875.9+7.9
6 Kagoshima Rebnise1710759%79.379.5-0.2
7 Shizuoka169756%76.476.1+0.4
8 Kobe179853%85.182.1+2.9
9 Yamagata Wyverns178947%81.982.5-0.6
10 Nara1771041%76.178.5-2.4
11 Aomori1771041%79.987.9-8.1
12 Fukushima1741324%76.283.8-7.6
13 Kumamoto161156%75.188.2-13.1
14 Ehime Orange Vikings171166%74.490.5-16.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kumamoto1518281374
Shizuoka1723181371
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