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Kvarner vs Hermes Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 25 Nov 2023
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 103-89
32-26 23-26 26-19 22-18
Position#1
Record6-1
FormWWWWL
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game77.0
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#8
Record4-3
FormWWLLW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game86.7
CroatiaPrva LigaRound 8· Dvorana Mladosti
Other2023-24
Meetings · Kvarner v Hermes
25 Nov 2023
KVAR103
HERM89
09 Oct 2022
KVAR82
HERM59
24 Feb 2022
KVAR87
HERM66
10 Dec 2016
KVAR78
HERM72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Hermes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
L
66-74
66
74
-8
no box
A30/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
60-51
60
51
+9
no box
H07/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
63-86
63
86
-23
no box
A10/05
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 91
H08/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
99-57
99
57
+42
102avg 91
H14/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
102-94
102
94
+8
102avg 91
A22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
W
83-77
83
77
+6
80avg 91
H28/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
95-77
95
77
+18
92avg 91
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
103-73
103
73
+30
88avg 91
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
83-91
83
91
-8
82avg 91
A18/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
19-16
17-21
13-17
14-12
15-10
21-10
10-19
14-21
22-23
17-25
10-17
21-17
22-23
28-17
20-13
26-8
18-17
26-22
29-10
21-39
32-7
25-30
24-18
17-18
19-18
21-17
26-24
29-20
21-25
21-9
24-23
35-18
27-15
17-20
24-20
24-21
20-25
26-16
13-29
159.5Avg total
84.5Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)93.777.0170.7+16.786%
Season at home (4)94.069.2163.2+24.8100%
Season away (3)93.387.3180.7+6.067%
Last 10 (10)84.575.0159.5+9.570%
Last 5 (5)93.282.4175.6+10.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.777.0149.7-4.329%
vs Similar (4)78.884.2163.0-5.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)87.271.8159.0+15.384%
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormHermes
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
95-49
95
49
+46
no box
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
92-74
92
74
+18
no box
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
121-78
121
78
+43
no box
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
69-100
69
100
-31
58avg 85
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
84-75
84
75
+9
75avg 85
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
107-87
107
87
+20
111avg 85
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
W
86-80
86
80
+6
82avg 85
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
L
85-93
85
93
-8
77avg 85
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
L
87-99
87
99
-12
89avg 85
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
100-73
100
73
+27
104avg 85
H19/11
Prva Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-15
20-14
28-13
18-7
29-20
15-19
23-22
25-13
37-25
29-13
25-19
30-21
20-23
15-24
12-32
22-21
25-19
23-18
22-20
14-18
36-25
30-20
16-21
25-21
21-32
19-18
21-13
25-17
30-28
23-22
15-20
17-23
35-18
16-21
17-23
19-37
28-7
19-17
38-20
15-29
173.4Avg total
92.6Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.386.7175.0+1.657%
Season at home (3)97.384.3181.7+13.067%
Season away (4)81.588.5170.0-7.050%
Last 10 (10)92.680.8173.4+11.870%
Last 5 (5)93.086.4179.4+6.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)75.489.9165.3-14.414%
vs Similar (11)91.590.5182.0+1.173%
vs Weaker (12)97.682.2179.8+15.467%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +2.4+2.4Q1: +7.8+7.8Q2Q2: +3.6+3.6Q2: +2.3+2.3Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +0.3+0.3
KvarnerHermes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Zagreb
#7
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A30/04
Prva Liga
Dubrovnik
#1
W
29-22
29
22
+7
H07/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A10/05
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H08/10
Prva Liga
Podstrana
#14
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H14/10
Prva Liga
Marsonia
#9
W
53-46
53
46
+7
A22/10
Prva Liga
KK Zagreb
#3
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H28/10
Prva Liga
Jazine
#7
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A05/11
Prva Liga
Crikvenica
#12
W
62-33
62
33
+29
H11/11
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
44-46
44
46
-2
A18/11
Prva Liga
80.6Avg total
43.3Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.537.178.7+4.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.135.878.9+7.375%-
Last 30 away (14)39.738.678.4+1.143%-
Last 10 (10)43.337.380.6+6.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.041.290.2+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)37.140.477.6-3.329%-
vs Similar (4)39.841.881.5-2.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.534.978.5+8.679%-
This opponent (Hermes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
HermesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sonik Puntamika
#12
W
49-29
49
29
+20
A28/04
Prva Liga
Mladost
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A11/05
Prva Liga
Stoja
#9
W
66-38
66
38
+28
H14/05
Prva Liga
Osijek
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A10/10
Prva Liga
Samobor
#5
W
48-37
48
37
+11
A12/10
Prva Liga
Mladost
#11
W
66-45
66
45
+21
H21/10
Prva Liga
Kastela
#6
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A28/10
Prva Liga
Stoja
#13
W
53-50
53
50
+3
H05/11
Prva Liga
Gorica
#4
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A11/11
Prva Liga
Omis
#10
W
47-24
47
24
+23
H19/11
Prva Liga
89.7Avg total
49.9Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.243.388.5+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.043.391.3+4.747%-
Last 30 away (15)42.343.385.7-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)49.939.889.7+10.180%-
Last 5 (5)51.441.693.0+9.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)35.945.381.1-9.414%-
vs Similar (11)44.944.889.7+0.145%-
vs Weaker (12)50.840.891.7+10.067%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.1 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.4 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.123.6
61.8%
52.9%47.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.8%
32.9%30.4
🏀 Free throws19.315.3
79.3%
71.2%15.3
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Hermestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Hermes: 87.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.6 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.9 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.4 points a game
53%
32%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.320.7
57.1%
52.9%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.411.9
35.5%
32.9%35.6
🏀 Free throws13.010.9
83.5%
71.2%10.9
They take 69.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 33.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 7/7 games with a box score before 25 Nov 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
LWWWWWWLWL
Hermes
WLLWWWLWWW
#1
League position
#8
+22.0
Net rating
+1.1
120.1
Offensive rating
108.7
98.2
Defensive rating
107.7
59.7%
Effective FG%
55.2%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
55.3%
14.8%
Turnover %
20.2%
23.7%
Off. rebound %
29.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.19
37.8%
3-point %
35.5%
58.1%
Assist %
73.2%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence120.1 · 108.7Defence98.2 · 107.7Shooting59.7% · 55.2%3-point %37.8% · 35.5%Ball care14.8% · 20.2%Off. rebounds23.7% · 29.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)70% · 70%
■ Kvarner   ■ Hermes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Kvarner wins
2
Hermes wins
DateGameScore
07/01/23Hermes v Kvarner56-80
09/10/22Kvarner v Hermes82-59
24/02/22Kvarner v Hermes87-66
31/10/21Hermes v Kvarner83-76
01/04/17Hermes v Kvarner81-78
10/12/16Kvarner v Hermes78-72
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/11/23AOsijek83-91
11/11/23HCrikvenica103-73
05/11/23AJazine95-77
28/10/23HKK Zagreb83-77
22/10/23AMarsonia102-94
14/10/23HPodstrana99-57
08/10/23HSamobor91-70
10/05/23AOsijek63-86
07/05/23HDubrovnik60-51
30/04/23AKK Zagreb66-74
Hermeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/11/23HOmis100-73
11/11/23AGorica87-99
05/11/23HStoja85-93
28/10/23AKastela86-80
21/10/23HMladost107-87
12/10/23ASamobor84-75
10/10/23AOsijek69-100
14/05/23HStoja121-78
11/05/23AMladost92-74
28/04/23ASonik Puntamika95-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL86%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %86%100%67%
Points / game93.794.093.3
Allowed / game77.069.287.3
Point differential+16.7+24.8+6.0
Avg total170.7163.2180.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Hermes
Prva Liga 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW57%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game88.397.381.5
Allowed / game86.784.388.5
Point differential+1.6+13.0-7.0
Avg total175.0181.7170.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kvarner76186%93.777.0+16.7
2 KK Zagreb76186%82.066.6+15.4
3 Osijek76186%87.976.1+11.7
4 Gorica75271%80.772.1+8.6
5 Kastela74357%86.177.3+8.9
6 Hermes74357%88.386.7+1.6
7 Omis74357%77.977.7+0.1
8 Jazine63350%91.597.8-6.3
9 Samobor73443%74.482.9-8.4
10 Mladost72529%80.687.9-7.3
11 Crikvenica72529%72.385.4-13.1
12 Podstrana61517%73.087.2-14.2
13 Marsonia71614%80.387.1-6.9
14 Stoja71614%83.393.0-9.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner32232622103
Hermes2626191889
← all games of the day
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