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Kvarner vs Zadar Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record3-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game89.4
Allowed / game79.4
vs
Position#1
Record6-0
FormLWWWW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game64.8
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 18· Centar Zamet
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kvarner v Zadar
29 Jan 2027
KVAR v ZAD
upcoming
16 May 2026
KVAR72
ZAD96
27 Dec 2025
KVAR79
ZAD69
28 Feb 2025
KVAR79
ZAD68
11 Oct 2016
KVAR72
ZAD77
07 Apr 2016
KVAR86
ZAD67
21 Apr 2015
KVAR86
ZAD85
15 Apr 2014
KVAR79
ZAD91
07 May 2013
KVAR70
ZAD72
06 Dec 2011
KVAR67
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A24/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
94-75
94
75
+19
H03/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
A13/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
H16/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
A02/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
100-55
100
55
+45
H11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A17/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
90-71
90
71
+19
H25/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-19
22-19
18-28
23-26
32-22
19-20
27-24
16-9
14-22
23-22
14-32
17-15
5-21
27-16
22-24
16-29
13-20
26-25
24-28
9-23
25-24
20-17
30-29
18-26
24-28
14-18
20-26
15-22
30-17
16-8
21-18
33-12
19-21
23-20
19-14
30-26
28-21
12-18
29-14
21-18
167.3Avg total
83.2Scored
84.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)89.479.4168.8+10.060%
Season at home (3)94.374.0168.3+20.367%
Season away (2)82.087.5169.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)83.284.1167.3-0.940%
Last 5 (5)89.479.4168.8+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)79.589.4168.9-9.831%
vs Similar (11)78.783.7162.5-5.027%
vs Weaker (6)89.877.0166.8+12.867%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
W
81-59
81
59
+22
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
107-69
107
69
+38
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
79-65
79
65
+14
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#14
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#18
L
63-78
63
78
-15
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
95-70
95
70
+25
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
105-71
105
71
+34
A30/10
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-14
13-20
26-15
18-10
25-17
31-19
24-19
27-14
18-24
27-15
18-10
16-16
20-19
16-23
24-18
22-28
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
156.0Avg total
87.0Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)91.864.8156.7+27.0100%
Season at home (2)84.060.0144.0+24.0100%
Season away (4)95.867.2163.0+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)87.069.0156.0+18.080%
Last 5 (5)86.870.6157.4+16.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)69.572.2141.8-2.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.569.8155.3+15.777%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +1.9+1.9Q2: +2.9+2.9Q3Q3: -1.3-1.3Q3: +6.3+6.3Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +5.0+5.0
KvarnerZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#4
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A24/04
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
51-42
51
42
+9
H03/05
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A13/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/09
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A17/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/10
Premijer liga
80.8Avg total
41.0Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.142.183.2-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.340.682.9+1.760%-
Last 30 away (15)39.943.583.5-3.620%-
Last 10 (10)41.039.880.8+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)42.238.480.6+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)41.244.085.2-2.838%-
vs Similar (11)39.842.081.8-2.218%-
vs Weaker (6)43.238.081.2+5.283%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Samobor
#11
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H27/09
Premijer liga
Skrljevo
#6
W
56-36
56
36
+20
A02/10
Premijer liga
Studentski Centar
#20
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H05/10
ABA League
Mega Basket
#14
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A11/10
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#18
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#16
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#8
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
77.5Avg total
42.1Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.035.276.2+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.434.077.4+9.493%-
Last 30 away (16)38.936.275.2+2.756%-
Last 10 (10)42.135.477.5+6.770%-
Last 5 (5)39.836.276.0+3.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.837.272.0-2.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)42.034.976.9+7.177%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.921.2
59.1%
54.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.98.8
31.5%
34.0%26.4
🏀 Free throws17.213.1
76.2%
71.8%13.1
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.0%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
71.8%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
WWWLLLLLWL
Zadar
WWWWLWLWWW
#5
League position
#1
-2.2
Net rating
+21.3
93.4
Offensive rating
102.8
95.5
Defensive rating
81.5
53.9%
Effective FG%
55.5%
53.5%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.5%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
31.5%
3-point %
34.7%
57.7%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence93.4 · 102.8Defence95.5 · 81.5Shooting53.9% · 55.5%3-point %31.5% · 34.7%Ball care17.5% · 13.7%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 80%
■ Kvarner   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kvarner wins
8
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
16/05/26Kvarner v Zadar72-96
13/05/26Zadar v Kvarner90-70
18/03/26Zadar v Kvarner90-78
27/12/25Kvarner v Zadar79-69
02/10/25Zadar v Kvarner93-71
09/04/25Zadar v Kvarner92-72
28/02/25Kvarner v Zadar79-68
08/12/24Zadar v Kvarner77-63
18/01/17Zadar v Kvarner101-64
11/10/16Kvarner v Zadar72-77
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/10/26HZabok90-71
17/10/26ADubrovnik91-81
11/10/26HDinamo Zagreb100-55
02/10/26ASplit73-94
27/09/26HCedevita Junior93-96
16/05/26HZadar72-96
13/05/26AZadar70-90
09/05/26ACibona68-91
03/05/26HZabok94-75
24/04/26ASamobor81-92
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56
11/10/26AMega Basket82-88
05/10/26HStudentski Centar79-65
02/10/26ASkrljevo107-69
27/09/26HSamobor81-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW60%
HomeLWW67%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%67%50%
Points / game89.494.382.0
Allowed / game79.474.087.5
Point differential+10.0+20.3-5.5
Avg total168.8168.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.884.095.8
Allowed / game64.860.067.2
Point differential+27.0+24.0+28.5
Avg total156.7144.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar660100%91.864.8+27.0
2 Cibona550100%90.276.4+13.8
3 Split54180%82.072.0+10.0
4 Dinamo Zagreb64267%76.781.2-4.5
5 Kvarner53260%89.479.4+10.0
6 Skrljevo53260%83.285.2-2.0
7 Cedevita Junior53260%78.288.0-9.8
8 Dubrovnik62433%79.888.3-8.5
9 Zabok51420%78.286.8-8.6
10 Alkar61517%79.084.5-5.5
11 Samobor5050%72.883.4-10.6
12 Dubrava5050%72.085.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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