PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Kvarner vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 79-69
17-26 24-7 14-23 24-13
Position#11
Record5-7
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game79.1
Kvarner 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#1
Record11-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game71.7
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 13· Centar Zamet
Other2025-26
Meetings · Kvarner v Zadar
29 Jan 2027
KVAR v ZAD
upcoming
16 May 2026
KVAR72
ZAD96
27 Dec 2025
KVAR79
ZAD69
28 Feb 2025
KVAR79
ZAD68
11 Oct 2016
KVAR72
ZAD77
07 Apr 2016
KVAR86
ZAD67
21 Apr 2015
KVAR86
ZAD85
15 Apr 2014
KVAR79
ZAD91
07 May 2013
KVAR70
ZAD72
06 Dec 2011
KVAR67
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
L
77-81
77
81
-4
72avg 73
H11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
62-61
62
61
+1
61avg 73
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
79-81
79
81
-2
63avg 73
H24/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
88-96
88
96
-8
76avg 73
A31/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
62-83
62
83
-21
44avg 73
H09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
73-65
73
65
+8
64avg 73
A15/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
W
95-63
95
63
+32
91avg 73
H24/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
82-80
82
80
+2
71avg 73
A06/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
88-85
88
85
+3
86avg 73
H13/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
80-94
80
94
-14
65avg 73
A21/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
25-28
16-18
15-14
11-15
17-14
20-16
14-16
17-17
28-30
18-13
16-21
18-35
22-18
22-23
26-20
20-13
13-28
11-29
18-13
13-12
30-17
18-26
12-10
11-21
21-15
29-6
34-21
21-22
22-18
20-24
19-16
26-22
21-23
21-23
20-17
16-27
28-21
14-15
22-31
157.5Avg total
78.6Scored
78.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.879.1154.9-3.242%
Season at home (6)75.776.7152.3-1.033%
Season away (6)76.081.5157.5-5.550%
Last 10 (10)78.678.9157.5-0.350%
Last 5 (5)83.677.4161.0+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)77.584.3161.7-6.840%
vs Similar (7)77.976.0153.9+1.943%
vs Weaker (8)84.979.8164.6+5.175%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 78
H09/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 78
H14/11
ABA League
Split
#2
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
82avg 78
A16/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 78
H23/11
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
91avg 78
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
85-63
85
63
+22
82avg 78
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
89-90
89
90
-1
87avg 78
A12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
83-49
83
49
+34
82avg 78
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
74-69
74
69
+5
69avg 78
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
88-68
88
68
+20
83avg 78
H22/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-11
21-24
19-18
14-19
19-24
27-19
20-17
22-13
22-23
14-15
14-19
20-13
28-20
8-17
20-9
27-18
30-19
12-11
20-30
36-18
19-19
20-20
20-13
26-11
20-16
19-31
27-15
23-28
23-10
27-14
13-12
20-13
22-11
20-21
15-17
17-20
23-15
18-23
16-11
31-19
156.6Avg total
85.2Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)88.971.7160.6+17.292%
Season at home (6)89.066.3155.3+22.7100%
Season away (6)88.877.0165.8+11.883%
Last 10 (10)85.271.4156.6+13.880%
Last 5 (5)83.867.8151.6+16.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.391.3172.7-10.033%
vs Similar (9)76.472.4148.9+4.056%
vs Weaker ◀ (18)87.371.2158.5+16.189%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +6.4+6.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.1-3.1Q1: +6.6+6.6Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: -0.4-0.4Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +6.4+6.4
KvarnerZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
L
46-49
46
49
-3
H11/10
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#12
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
L
45-47
45
47
-2
H24/10
Premijer liga
Split
#2
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A31/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
33-41
33
41
-8
H09/11
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
43-29
43
29
+14
A15/11
Premijer liga
Alkar
#9
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H24/11
Premijer liga
Cibona
#3
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A06/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#4
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H13/12
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
44-48
44
48
-4
A21/12
Premijer liga
81.8Avg total
40.1Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.841.881.6-2.033%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.641.781.3-2.133%-
Last 30 away (15)40.041.981.9-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)40.141.781.8-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)41.839.681.4+2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)39.942.182.1-2.240%-
vs Similar (7)39.041.180.1-2.129%-
vs Weaker (8)40.241.681.9-1.425%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H09/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/11
ABA League
Split
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/11
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/12
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A12/12
ABA League
Alkar
#9
W
50-24
50
24
+26
H14/12
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
42-32
42
32
+10
H19/12
ABA League
Cibona
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H22/12
Premijer liga
78.3Avg total
42.0Scored
36.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.836.878.7+5.067%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.235.978.1+6.373%-
Last 30 away (15)41.537.879.3+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.036.378.3+5.760%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.078.2+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.067%-
vs Similar (9)39.237.176.3+2.156%-
vs Weaker ◀ (18)43.035.678.6+7.472%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.717.5
49.0%
53.2%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.8
34.1%
34.2%29.4
🏀 Free throws19.413.2
68.0%
74.3%13.2
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 84.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
48%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.118.5
55.9%
53.2%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.910.6
33.2%
34.2%31.8
🏀 Free throws21.416.0
74.8%
74.3%16.0
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 27 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
LWWWWLLLWL
Zadar
WWWLWWWLWW
#11
League position
#1
-1.0
Net rating
+19.7
100.4
Offensive rating
112.9
101.4
Defensive rating
93.2
50.0%
Effective FG%
52.9%
49.7%
Opp. effective FG%
46.5%
19.0%
Turnover %
17.2%
26.9%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.33
34.1%
3-point %
33.2%
55.3%
Assist %
64.9%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence100.4 · 112.9Defence101.4 · 93.2Shooting50.0% · 52.9%3-point %34.1% · 33.2%Ball care19.0% · 17.2%Off. rebounds26.9% · 33.1%Free throws0.30 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)50% · 80%
■ Kvarner   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Kvarner wins
7
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
02/10/25Zadar v Kvarner93-71
09/04/25Zadar v Kvarner92-72
28/02/25Kvarner v Zadar79-68
08/12/24Zadar v Kvarner77-63
18/01/17Zadar v Kvarner101-64
11/10/16Kvarner v Zadar72-77
27/04/16Zadar v Kvarner81-66
07/04/16Kvarner v Zadar86-67
20/05/15Zadar v Kvarner89-60
21/04/15Kvarner v Zadar86-85
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/25AZabok80-94
13/12/25HSamobor88-85
06/12/25ACibona82-80
24/11/25HAlkar95-63
15/11/25ACedevita Junior73-65
09/11/25HDubrovnik62-83
31/10/25ASplit88-96
24/10/25HDinamo Zagreb79-81
18/10/25AGKK Sibenka62-61
11/10/25HDubrava77-81
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/25HCibona88-68
19/12/25HPerspektiva Ilirija74-69
14/12/25HAlkar83-49
12/12/25AMega Basket89-90
07/12/25ACedevita Junior85-63
05/12/25HVienna Basket98-78
23/11/25HDubrovnik83-64
16/11/25ASplit82-88 OT
14/11/25HMega Basket88-73
09/11/25HDinamo Zagreb82-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL42%
HomeLLLWW33%
AwayWLWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %42%33%50%
Points / game75.875.776.0
Allowed / game79.176.781.5
Point differential-3.2-1.0-5.5
Avg total154.9152.3157.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)33% (3)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW92%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %92%100%83%
Points / game88.989.088.8
Allowed / game71.766.377.0
Point differential+17.2+22.7+11.8
Avg total160.6155.3165.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %8%0%17%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1211192%88.971.7+17.2
2 Split1211192%94.281.5+12.7
3 Zabok128467%83.279.6+3.7
4 Cibona126650%83.481.3+2.1
5 Samobor126650%87.489.4-2.0
6 Dinamo Zagreb125742%86.885.0+1.8
7 Kvarner125742%75.879.1-3.2
8 Dubrovnik125742%74.879.7-4.9
9 Alkar125742%70.578.5-8.0
10 Dubrava124833%79.686.6-7.0
11 Cedevita Junior123925%80.883.9-3.2
12 GKK Sibenka123925%76.885.8-9.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Kvarner1724142479
Zadar267231369
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.