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Kvarner vs Zadar Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 29 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 16:00
Scheduled
Position#5
Record4-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.9
Allowed / game83.9
vs
Form · last 5 games
6.4/10
Above normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#1
Record7-0
FormWLLWW
Points / game94.3
Allowed / game67.0
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 18· Centar Zamet
Other2026-27
Meetings · Kvarner v Zadar
29 Jan 2027
KVAR v ZAD
upcoming
16 May 2026
KVAR72
ZAD96
27 Dec 2025
KVAR79
ZAD69
28 Feb 2025
KVAR79
ZAD68
11 Oct 2016
KVAR72
ZAD77
07 Apr 2016
KVAR86
ZAD67
21 Apr 2015
KVAR86
ZAD85
15 Apr 2014
KVAR79
ZAD91
07 May 2013
KVAR70
ZAD72
06 Dec 2011
KVAR67
ZAD78
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Kvarner win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

KvarnerCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKvarner
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
68-91
68
91
-23
62avg 76
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
70-90
70
90
-20
60avg 76
A13/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
72-96
72
96
-24
60avg 76
H16/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
L
93-96
93
96
-3
89avg 76
H27/09
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
73-94
73
94
-21
69avg 76
A02/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
100-55
100
55
+45
102avg 76
H11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
91-81
91
81
+10
83avg 76
A17/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
90-71
90
71
+19
83avg 76
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
95-81
95
81
+14
95avg 76
H31/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
80-109
80
109
-29
no box
A09/11
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-22
23-22
14-32
17-15
5-21
27-16
22-24
16-29
13-20
26-25
24-28
9-23
25-24
20-17
30-29
18-26
24-28
14-18
20-26
15-22
30-17
16-8
21-18
33-12
19-21
23-20
19-14
30-26
28-21
12-18
29-14
21-18
26-17
25-21
21-18
23-25
19-28
23-29
22-26
16-26
169.6Avg total
83.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)88.983.9172.7+5.057%
Season at home (4)94.575.8170.2+18.875%
Season away (3)81.394.7176.0-13.333%
Last 10 (10)83.286.4169.6-3.240%
Last 5 (5)91.279.4170.6+11.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)78.891.0169.8-12.225%
vs Similar (11)78.783.7162.5-5.027%
vs Weaker (7)90.677.6168.1+13.071%
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
87-56
87
56
+31
84avg 79
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
63-78
63
78
-15
47avg 79
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
W
84-73
84
73
+11
87avg 79
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
87-61
87
61
+26
77avg 79
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
95-70
95
70
+25
84avg 79
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
105-71
105
71
+34
108avg 79
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
L
75-89
75
89
-14
no box
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
L
51-67
51
67
-16
no box
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
109-80
109
80
+29
no box
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
81-74
81
74
+7
no box
H14/11
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-10
21-12
21-18
18-16
21-22
13-18
14-21
15-17
16-24
18-19
23-14
27-16
26-17
21-15
19-17
21-12
26-16
14-19
27-12
28-23
14-16
30-15
29-18
32-22
21-16
17-19
20-23
17-31
13-12
16-17
9-14
13-24
28-19
29-23
26-22
26-16
27-23
26-10
11-16
17-25
155.6Avg total
83.7Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)94.367.0161.3+27.3100%
Season at home (3)92.366.7159.0+25.7100%
Season away (4)95.867.2163.0+28.5100%
Last 10 (10)83.771.9155.6+11.870%
Last 5 (5)84.276.2160.4+8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)78.081.5159.5-3.550%
vs Similar (5)67.274.8142.0-7.620%
vs Weaker ◀ (23)87.170.4157.5+16.778%
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: +4.4+4.4Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: +3.8+3.8Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: +2.4+2.4Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.2+1.2
KvarnerZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
KvarnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cibona
#3
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A09/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A13/05
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H16/05
Premijer liga
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H27/09
Premijer liga
Split
#3
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A02/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
46-25
46
25
+21
H11/10
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#10
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A17/10
Premijer liga
Zabok
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H25/10
Premijer liga
Dubrava
#11
W
51-38
51
38
+13
H31/10
Premijer liga
Zadar
#1
L
42-57
42
57
-15
A09/11
Premijer liga
82.5Avg total
41.2Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.242.183.3-1.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.540.182.7+2.460%-
Last 30 away (15)39.844.183.9-4.320%-
Last 10 (10)41.241.382.5-0.150%-
Last 5 (5)44.240.084.2+4.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)40.644.785.2-4.133%-
vs Similar (11)39.842.081.8-2.218%-
vs Weaker (7)44.338.082.3+6.386%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cedevita Junior
#7
W
48-22
48
22
+26
A12/10
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#15
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A16/10
ABA League
Split
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A18/10
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#4
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H23/10
Premijer liga
Perspektiva Ilirija
#18
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H25/10
ABA League
Dubrovnik
#10
W
44-31
44
31
+13
A30/10
Premijer liga
Dubai
#1
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A02/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A05/11
ABA League
Kvarner
#5
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H09/11
Premijer liga
Partizan
#2
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H14/11
ABA League
76.6Avg total
42.4Scored
34.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.435.676.9+5.870%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.734.278.9+10.593%-
Last 30 away (16)38.436.875.2+1.750%-
Last 10 (10)42.434.276.6+8.270%-
Last 5 (5)44.234.078.2+10.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.534.079.5+11.5100%-
vs Similar (5)32.036.468.4-4.420%-
vs Weaker ◀ (23)43.035.578.6+7.578%-
This opponent (Kvarner) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Kvarnertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Kvarner: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.720.7
58.0%
54.8%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.59.9
34.7%
34.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws16.412.2
74.4%
71.7%12.2
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.3 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.621.4
58.5%
54.8%42.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.310.5
34.7%
34.2%31.5
🏀 Free throws16.912.5
74.0%
71.7%12.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Kvarner
LWWWWLLLLL
Zadar
WWLLWWWWLW
#5
League position
#1
+0.7
Net rating
+21.3
95.0
Offensive rating
102.8
94.4
Defensive rating
81.5
55.4%
Effective FG%
55.5%
51.8%
Opp. effective FG%
48.1%
17.0%
Turnover %
13.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
34.7%
3-point %
34.7%
59.2%
Assist %
60.2%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence95.0 · 102.8Defence94.4 · 81.5Shooting55.4% · 55.5%3-point %34.7% · 34.7%Ball care17.0% · 13.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ Kvarner   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Kvarner wins
8
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
09/11/26Zadar v Kvarner109-80
16/05/26Kvarner v Zadar72-96
13/05/26Zadar v Kvarner90-70
18/03/26Zadar v Kvarner90-78
27/12/25Kvarner v Zadar79-69
02/10/25Zadar v Kvarner93-71
09/04/25Zadar v Kvarner92-72
28/02/25Kvarner v Zadar79-68
08/12/24Zadar v Kvarner77-63
18/01/17Zadar v Kvarner101-64
Kvarnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26AZadar80-109
31/10/26HDubrava95-81
25/10/26HZabok90-71
17/10/26ADubrovnik91-81
11/10/26HDinamo Zagreb100-55
02/10/26ASplit73-94
27/09/26HCedevita Junior93-96
16/05/26HZadar72-96
13/05/26AZadar70-90
09/05/26ACibona68-91
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HPartizan81-74
09/11/26HKvarner109-80
05/11/26ASpartak Subotica51-67
02/11/26ADubai75-89
30/10/26ADubrovnik105-71
25/10/26HPerspektiva Ilirija95-70
23/10/26HDinamo Zagreb87-61
18/10/26ASplit84-73
16/10/26AVienna Basket63-78
12/10/26ACedevita Junior87-56

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Kvarner
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %57%75%33%
Points / game88.994.581.3
Allowed / game83.975.894.7
Point differential+5.0+18.8-13.3
Avg total172.7170.2176.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
Premijer liga 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.392.395.8
Allowed / game67.066.767.2
Point differential+27.3+25.7+28.5
Avg total161.3159.0163.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar770100%94.367.0+27.3
2 Cibona880100%90.976.1+14.8
3 Split86275%81.976.1+5.8
4 Dinamo Zagreb85362%77.281.2-4.0
5 Kvarner74357%88.983.9+5.0
6 Skrljevo84450%83.283.6-0.4
7 Cedevita Junior84450%79.888.9-9.1
8 Alkar72529%80.782.7-2.0
9 Zabok82625%77.683.0-5.4
10 Dubrovnik82625%77.889.5-11.8
11 Dubrava71614%74.685.0-10.4
12 Samobor81712%76.683.9-7.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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