PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Zadar vs Split Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 16 Jan 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 59-54
21-12 13-18 15-18 10-6
Position#1
Record14-2
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game62.6
Zadar 🏆
Croatia
vs
Position#2
Record11-3
FormWLLWL
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game75.4
CroatiaPremijer ligaRound 17· Dvorana Kresimira Cosica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Zadar v Split
08 Jan 2027
ZAD v SPL
upcoming
03 May 2026
ZAD90
SPL67
06 Mar 2026
ZAD106
SPL77
30 Jan 2026
ZAD82
SPL67
08 Jun 2025
ZAD79
SPL65
05 Jun 2025
ZAD65
SPL46
04 May 2025
ZAD87
SPL65
02 May 2025
ZAD81
SPL80
16 Jan 2025
ZAD59
SPL54
02 Jun 2024
ZAD93
SPL66
26 May 2024
ZAD92
SPL71
24 May 2024
ZAD78
SPL85
22 Apr 2024
ZAD93
SPL74
01 Mar 2024
ZAD77
SPL61
14 Feb 2024
ZAD80
SPL73
02 Nov 2023
ZAD88
SPL80
04 Jun 2023
ZAD99
SPL62
20 Mar 2023
ZAD83
SPL84
17 Jan 2023
ZAD81
SPL84
28 Oct 2022
ZAD74
SPL76
23 May 2022
ZAD76
SPL57
26 Apr 2022
ZAD91
SPL101
26 Dec 2021
ZAD61
SPL59
12 Oct 2021
ZAD62
SPL71
05 Jun 2021
ZAD84
SPL57
28 May 2021
ZAD73
SPL58
26 May 2021
ZAD81
SPL53
25 Apr 2021
ZAD78
SPL58
12 Nov 2020
ZAD88
SPL61
01 Nov 2020
ZAD66
SPL72
17 Jan 2020
ZAD92
SPL74
15 Mar 2019
ZAD91
SPL88
13 Nov 2017
ZAD78
SPL76
31 Oct 2016
ZAD84
SPL89
04 May 2016
ZAD90
SPL49
04 May 2013
ZAD79
SPL76
24 Mar 2013
ZAD85
SPL68
17 Apr 2012
ZAD78
SPL69
02 Mar 2012
ZAD90
SPL78
19 Apr 2011
ZAD86
SPL63
18 Apr 2009
ZAD88
SPL73
04 Oct 2008
ZAD81
SPL67
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zadar winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Split winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZadarCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
W
71-61
71
61
+10
70avg 76
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
87-55
87
55
+32
83avg 76
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
80-53
80
53
+27
74avg 76
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
81-55
81
55
+26
75avg 76
A23/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
69avg 76
H27/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
L
61-68
61
68
-7
52avg 76
A29/12
Premijer liga
Split
#14
W
77-73
77
73
+4
69avg 76
A03/01
ABA League
Osijek
#12
L
58-60
58
60
-2
48avg 76
A05/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#16
W
82-69
82
69
+13
75avg 76
H10/01
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
77-65
77
65
+12
72avg 76
A12/01
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
24-13
15-26
14-5
20-22
26-19
26-6
15-8
16-11
22-14
20-10
22-18
13-13
27-18
23-10
18-14
25-18
18-21
12-12
21-15
16-12
15-17
18-13
12-26
21-17
19-21
16-21
21-14
18-17
13-10
10-19
17-14
20-14
30-19
17-24
15-12
23-19
17-12
21-14
16-20
137.5Avg total
75.0Scored
62.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.962.6140.5+15.488%
Season at home (8)85.663.6149.2+22.0100%
Season away (8)70.261.5131.8+8.875%
Last 10 (10)75.062.5137.5+12.580%
Last 5 (5)71.067.0138.0+4.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)66.580.2146.8-13.80%
vs Similar ◀ (5)72.470.8143.2+1.660%
vs Weaker (20)78.464.8143.2+13.690%
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitCroatiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSplit
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
83-78
83
78
+5
81avg 79
H09/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
91-98 OT
91
98
-7
85avg 79
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
75-78
75
78
-3
66avg 79
A16/12
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
L
74-81
74
81
-7
71avg 79
H20/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
83-71
83
71
+12
72avg 79
H23/12
Croatian Cup
Mornar Bar
#17
W
87-73
87
73
+14
87avg 79
H27/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
82-92
82
92
-10
79avg 79
H30/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#10
L
73-77
73
77
-4
67avg 79
H03/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-55
83
55
+28
83avg 79
A05/01
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
87-92
87
92
-5
75avg 79
A11/01
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
18-21
16-16
24-24
19-27
19-25
21-21
24-10
27-15
7-23
22-21
19-19
22-24
20-15
22-20
10-22
25-15
19-13
27-21
12-22
17-18
17-23
24-14
29-18
16-19
21-28
22-23
23-22
17-21
21-19
21-16
14-21
27-11
19-11
17-10
20-23
14-28
19-21
27-21
27-22
161.3Avg total
81.8Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)90.075.4165.4+14.679%
Season at home (7)89.773.1162.9+16.671%
Season away (7)90.377.6167.9+12.786%
Last 10 (10)81.879.5161.3+2.340%
Last 5 (5)82.477.8160.2+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)77.086.9163.9-9.922%
vs Similar ◀ (5)79.280.0159.2-0.860%
vs Weaker (15)90.574.8165.3+15.780%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +3.0+3.0Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +4.7+4.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: -0.1-0.1
ZadarSplit
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Alkar
#7
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A15/12
Premijer liga
Samobor
#16
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A16/12
Croatian Cup
Zabok
#8
W
38-25
38
25
+13
H20/12
Premijer liga
Mornar Bar
#17
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A23/12
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#8
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H27/12
ABA League
Dubrava
#9
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A29/12
Premijer liga
Split
#14
W
40-38
40
38
+2
A03/01
ABA League
Osijek
#12
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A05/01
Premijer liga
Cibona
#16
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H10/01
ABA League
Cibona
#5
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A12/01
Premijer liga
72.5Avg total
40.1Scored
32.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.134.574.6+5.580%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.935.177.0+6.881%-
Last 30 away (14)38.033.971.9+4.179%-
Last 10 (10)40.132.472.5+7.7100%-
Last 5 (5)38.431.670.0+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.242.277.5-7.050%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)39.237.276.4+2.080%-
vs Weaker (20)41.032.073.0+9.085%-
This opponent (Split) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SplitLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
KK Krka Novo mesto
#15
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H09/12
ABA League
FMP Beograd
#11
L
38-52
38
52
-14
A13/12
ABA League
Kvarner
#4
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A16/12
Premijer liga
Dubai
#4
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H20/12
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H23/12
Croatian Cup
Mornar Bar
#17
L
34-41
34
41
-7
H27/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#3
L
37-47
37
47
-10
H30/12
Premijer liga
Zadar
#10
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H03/01
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
46-22
46
22
+24
A05/01
Premijer liga
Igokea
#7
L
33-49
33
49
-16
A11/01
ABA League
78.3Avg total
38.9Scored
39.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.539.681.1+1.847%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.837.580.2+5.256%-
Last 30 away (14)40.042.182.1-2.136%-
Last 10 (10)38.939.478.3-0.540%-
Last 5 (5)37.639.877.4-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.744.983.6-6.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)36.239.275.4-3.020%-
vs Weaker (15)44.737.482.1+7.360%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 74.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.316.8
46.3%
53.5%33.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.18.7
34.7%
34.6%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.414.3
73.7%
73.3%14.3
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Splittheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Split: 81.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.6 points a game
50%
34%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.522.1
57.4%
53.5%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.37.4
30.5%
34.6%22.2
🏀 Free throws18.614.8
79.6%
73.3%14.8
They take 62.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 16 Jan 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zadar
WWLWLWWWWW
Split
LWLLWWLLLW
#1
League position
#2
+17.7
Net rating
+3.7
108.4
Offensive rating
111.1
90.7
Defensive rating
107.4
48.6%
Effective FG%
52.9%
45.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
15.2%
Turnover %
14.9%
33.8%
Off. rebound %
27.2%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.30
34.7%
3-point %
30.5%
60.8%
Assist %
66.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 111.1Defence90.7 · 107.4Shooting48.6% · 52.9%3-point %34.7% · 30.5%Ball care15.2% · 14.9%Off. rebounds33.8% · 27.2%Free throws0.32 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)80% · 40%
■ Zadar   ■ Split
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Zadar wins
2
Split wins
DateGameScore
03/01/25Split v Zadar73-77
30/10/24Split v Zadar61-78
02/06/24Zadar v Split93-66
31/05/24Split v Zadar55-84
29/05/24Split v Zadar87-77
26/05/24Zadar v Split92-71
24/05/24Zadar v Split78-85
22/04/24Zadar v Split93-74
01/03/24Zadar v Split77-61
14/02/24Zadar v Split80-73
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/25ACibona77-65
10/01/25HCibona82-69
05/01/25AOsijek58-60
03/01/25ASplit77-73
29/12/24ADubrava61-68
27/12/24HSpartak Subotica76-66
23/12/24AMornar Bar81-55
20/12/24HZabok80-53
16/12/24ASamobor87-55
15/12/24AAlkar71-61
Splitlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/01/25AIgokea87-92
05/01/25AGKK Sibenka83-55
03/01/25HZadar73-77
30/12/24HCedevita Junior82-92
27/12/24HMornar Bar87-73
23/12/24HGKK Sibenka83-71
20/12/24HDubai74-81
16/12/24AKvarner75-78
13/12/24AFMP Beograd91-98 OT
09/12/24HKK Krka Novo mesto83-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zadar
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game77.985.670.2
Allowed / game62.663.661.5
Point differential+15.4+22.0+8.8
Avg total140.5149.2131.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Split
Premijer liga 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLW79%
HomeWLWWL71%
AwayWWWLW86%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %79%71%86%
Points / game90.089.790.3
Allowed / game75.473.177.6
Point differential+14.6+16.6+12.7
Avg total165.4162.9167.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+64%57%71%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zadar1614288%77.962.6+15.4
2 Split1411379%90.075.4+14.6
3 Cedevita Junior1612475%84.174.4+9.7
4 Cibona169756%83.478.8+4.6
5 Dinamo Zagreb157847%84.385.6-1.3
6 Kvarner157847%79.180.4-1.3
7 Dubrava167944%76.380.1-3.8
8 Zabok167944%78.684.5-5.9
9 GKK Sibenka156940%74.181.9-7.9
10 Osijek1551033%72.581.2-8.7
11 Alkar1541127%69.177.6-8.5
12 Dubrovnik1531220%74.381.7-7.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zadar2113151059
Split121818654
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.