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Mega Basket vs Zadar Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 90-89
16-20 31-19 15-27 28-23
Position#8
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game92.6
vs
Position#9
Record3-5
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game84.1
EuropeABA LeagueRound 10· Hala sportova Ranko
Domestic2025
Meetings · Mega Basket v Zadar
11 Oct 2026
MEG88
ZAD82
12 Dec 2025
MEG90
ZAD89
30 Mar 2025
MEG75
ZAD74
05 Nov 2023
MEG91
ZAD81
23 Jan 2023
MEG80
ZAD77
19 Dec 2021
MEG70
ZAD72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Mega Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Zadar winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Mega BasketLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
L
81-86
81
86
-5
56avg 77
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
L
73-77
73
77
-4
52avg 77
A21/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
81-117
81
117
-36
74avg 77
A05/10
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
106-88
106
88
+18
103avg 77
H12/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
81-88
81
88
-7
76avg 77
A17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
73-94
73
94
-21
64avg 77
A25/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
109-83
109
83
+26
105avg 77
H31/10
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
73-88
73
88
-15
65avg 77
A14/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
65-98
65
98
-33
52avg 77
H23/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
L
73-85
73
85
-12
64avg 77
A06/12
ABA League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
19-24
22-24
24-14
14-17
27-24
14-21
18-15
17-29
19-33
22-29
23-26
28-23
28-30
26-20
24-15
24-19
19-28
24-20
14-21
18-23
15-28
21-26
19-17
23-24
34-18
26-18
26-23
24-19
19-27
17-20
13-22
16-19
18-32
10-21
21-26
19-24
25-18
14-20
15-23
171.9Avg total
81.5Scored
90.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.692.6175.2-10.025%
Season at home (3)93.389.7183.0+3.767%
Season away (5)76.294.4170.6-18.20%
Last 10 (10)81.590.4171.9-8.920%
Last 5 (5)78.689.6168.2-11.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)77.790.7168.4-13.07%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.085.0171.0+1.056%
vs Weaker (6)89.884.5174.3+5.367%
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZadar
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
W
105-74
105
74
+31
106avg 77
H27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
L
87-98
87
98
-11
84avg 77
A01/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
94-70
94
70
+24
99avg 77
A03/11
Premijer liga
KK Bosna
#11
L
77-78
77
78
-1
72avg 77
H07/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
82-72
82
72
+10
77avg 77
H09/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
W
88-73
88
73
+15
77avg 77
H14/11
ABA League
Split
#2
L
82-88 OT
82
88
-6
82avg 77
A16/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
W
83-64
83
64
+19
76avg 77
H23/11
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
98-78
98
78
+20
91avg 77
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
W
85-63
85
63
+22
82avg 77
A07/12
Premijer liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
32-16
27-15
29-22
23-22
26-25
19-24
19-27
24-17
18-20
27-16
25-17
21-23
13-23
22-8
21-24
28-11
21-24
19-18
14-19
19-24
27-19
20-17
22-13
22-23
14-15
14-19
20-13
28-20
8-17
20-9
27-18
30-19
12-11
20-30
36-18
19-19
20-20
20-13
26-11
163.9Avg total
88.1Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.584.1166.6-1.638%
Season at home (4)83.278.5161.8+4.850%
Season away (4)81.889.8171.5-8.025%
Last 10 (10)88.175.8163.9+12.370%
Last 5 (5)87.273.2160.4+14.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.391.3172.7-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.971.7147.6+4.256%
vs Weaker (18)87.372.6159.9+14.889%
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.7+5.7
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -3.9-3.9Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: -2.3-2.3Q3: +3.9+3.9Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +5.7+5.7
Mega BasketZadar
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Mega BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FMP Beograd
#2
L
35-48
35
48
-13
H18/05
Super League
FMP Beograd
#2
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A21/05
Super League
Cedevita Olimpija
#6
L
36-62
36
62
-26
A05/10
ABA League
KK Bosna
#11
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H12/10
ABA League
Vienna Basket
#17
L
43-47
43
47
-4
A17/10
ABA League
Crvena zvezda
#4
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A25/10
ABA League
Perspektiva Ilirija
#13
W
57-42
57
42
+15
H31/10
ABA League
Zadar
#9
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A14/11
ABA League
Buducnost
#3
L
34-51
34
51
-17
H23/11
ABA League
Spartak Subotica
#5
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A06/12
ABA League
90.5Avg total
42.2Scored
48.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.346.089.3-2.737%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.543.788.2+0.753%-
Last 30 away (15)42.148.390.3-6.220%-
Last 10 (10)42.248.390.5-6.130%-
Last 5 (5)42.246.488.6-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.348.186.4-9.821%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)47.046.193.1+0.944%-
vs Weaker (6)48.744.793.3+4.050%-
This opponent (Zadar) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ZadarLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dubrava
#6
W
49-37
49
37
+12
H27/10
Premijer liga
Buducnost
#3
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A01/11
ABA League
GKK Sibenka
#12
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A03/11
Premijer liga
KK Bosna
#11
L
34-46
34
46
-12
H07/11
ABA League
Dinamo Zagreb
#10
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H09/11
Premijer liga
Mega Basket
#8
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H14/11
ABA League
Split
#2
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/11
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#5
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H23/11
Premijer liga
Vienna Basket
#17
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H05/12
ABA League
Cedevita Junior
#8
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A07/12
Premijer liga
81.1Avg total
42.2Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.036.778.8+5.363%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.535.578.0+6.967%-
Last 30 away (15)41.637.979.5+3.760%-
Last 10 (10)42.238.981.1+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)39.837.477.2+2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)42.743.786.3-1.067%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)40.936.977.8+4.056%-
vs Weaker (18)42.535.578.0+7.067%-
This opponent (Mega Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Mega Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Mega Basket: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.718.7
53.9%
54.6%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.58.1
31.8%
35.1%24.3
🏀 Free throws24.618.6
75.6%
75.3%18.6
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Zadartheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zadar: 87.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.4 points a game
48%
32%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.219.2
57.8%
54.6%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.9
34.6%
35.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws21.116.4
77.7%
75.3%16.4
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Mega Basket
LLLWLLWLLL
Zadar
WWWLWWLWLW
#8
League position
#9
-11.4
Net rating
+17.3
100.9
Offensive rating
117.4
112.4
Defensive rating
100.1
51.2%
Effective FG%
54.9%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
20.8%
Turnover %
17.8%
27.4%
Off. rebound %
35.3%
0.41
Free-throw rate
0.33
31.8%
3-point %
34.6%
54.9%
Assist %
66.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.9 · 117.4Defence112.4 · 100.1Shooting51.2% · 54.9%3-point %31.8% · 34.6%Ball care20.8% · 17.8%Off. rebounds27.4% · 35.3%Free throws0.41 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Mega Basket   ■ Zadar
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Mega Basket wins
4
Zadar wins
DateGameScore
14/11/25Zadar v Mega Basket88-73
30/03/25Mega Basket v Zadar75-74
02/12/24Zadar v Mega Basket65-68
06/02/24Zadar v Mega Basket74-71
05/11/23Mega Basket v Zadar91-81
23/01/23Mega Basket v Zadar80-77
17/10/22Zadar v Mega Basket96-90
04/04/22Zadar v Mega Basket81-85
19/12/21Mega Basket v Zadar70-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/25ASpartak Subotica73-85
23/11/25HBuducnost65-98
14/11/25AZadar73-88
31/10/25HPerspektiva Ilirija109-83
25/10/25ACrvena zvezda73-94
17/10/25AVienna Basket81-88
12/10/25HKK Bosna106-88
05/10/25ACedevita Olimpija81-117
21/05/25AFMP Beograd73-77
18/05/25HFMP Beograd81-86
Zadarlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/25ACedevita Junior85-63
05/12/25HVienna Basket98-78
23/11/25HDubrovnik83-64
16/11/25ASplit82-88 OT
14/11/25HMega Basket88-73
09/11/25HDinamo Zagreb82-72
07/11/25HKK Bosna77-78
03/11/25AGKK Sibenka94-70
01/11/25ABuducnost87-98
27/10/25HDubrava105-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Mega Basket
ABA League 2025
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWWL67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game82.693.376.2
Allowed / game92.689.794.4
Point differential-10.0+3.7-18.2
Avg total175.2183.0170.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Zadar
ABA League 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW38%
HomeLLWW50%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game82.583.281.8
Allowed / game84.178.589.8
Point differential-1.6+4.8-8.0
Avg total166.6161.8171.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Dubai880100%85.971.4+14.5
2 Cedevita Olimpija87188%90.578.9+11.6
3 Partizan76186%88.682.1+6.4
4 Buducnost86275%89.281.6+7.6
5 Crvena zvezda85362%89.981.9+8.0
6 Cluj-Napoca85362%91.185.4+5.8
7 Spartak Subotica85362%80.977.4+3.5
8 Igokea74357%85.088.4-3.4
9 FMP Beograd84450%91.088.4+2.6
10 KK Bosna84450%80.482.5-2.1
11 Zadar83538%82.584.1-1.6
12 Studentski Centar82625%79.184.2-5.1
13 KK Krka Novo mesto82625%77.482.9-5.5
14 Borac Mozzart82625%76.282.9-6.6
15 Perspektiva Ilirija82625%80.487.9-7.5
16 Split82625%79.687.9-8.2
17 Vienna Basket82625%75.585.0-9.5
18 Mega Basket82625%82.692.6-10.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Mega Basket1631152890
Zadar2019272389
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