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La Union vs Penarol Prediction & Stats

Date: Fri 23 Apr 2027
Tip-off: 20:00
Scheduled
Position#14
Record2-4
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game83.2
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.5/10
Below normal
4.8/10
Around normal
Position#2
Record7-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game74.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Polideportivo Cincuentenario
Other2026-27
Meetings · La Union v Penarol
23 Apr 2027
LA U v PENA
upcoming
14 Apr 2026
LA U91
PENA85
09 Mar 2025
LA U73
PENA91
04 Feb 2024
LA U83
PENA79
13 Oct 2022
LA U77
PENA72
13 Dec 2021
LA U70
PENA71
08 Mar 2021
LA U89
PENA75
23 Apr 2020
LA U v PENA
upcoming
18 Mar 2019
LA U76
PENA68
12 Mar 2018
LA U98
PENA92
17 Mar 2017
LA U73
PENA70
26 Mar 2016
LA U88
PENA74
26 Apr 2015
LA U100
PENA93
23 Feb 2014
LA U77
PENA91
17 Feb 2013
LA U82
PENA89
10 Feb 2012
LA U99
PENA89
27 Feb 2011
LA U91
PENA76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

La Union win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

La UnionArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUnion
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
91-102
91
102
-11
84avg 79
H25/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
86-62
86
62
+24
84avg 79
H27/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
78-83
78
83
-5
72avg 79
A01/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
92-97
92
97
-5
87avg 79
A03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
86-92
86
92
-6
76avg 79
A04/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
90-86
90
86
+4
91avg 79
A06/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
L
68-74 OT
68
74
-6
56avg 79
H16/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
75-57
75
57
+18
no box
H04/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
93-97
93
97
-4
no box
A09/11
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
57-93
57
93
-36
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-31
20-23
27-27
23-21
27-14
17-23
25-13
17-12
12-24
27-14
20-17
19-28
20-25
25-21
25-32
22-19
16-21
19-30
28-17
23-24
28-19
29-19
20-22
13-26
19-9
19-18
12-21
15-17
23-12
15-18
22-14
15-13
24-27
17-23
26-30
26-17
13-29
14-26
13-24
17-14
165.9Avg total
81.6Scored
84.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)78.283.2161.3-5.033%
Season at home (2)71.565.5137.0+6.050%
Season away (4)81.592.0173.5-10.525%
Last 10 (10)81.684.3165.9-2.730%
Last 5 (5)76.681.4158.0-4.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)75.088.2163.2-13.220%
vs Similar (23)82.382.6164.9-0.348%
vs Weaker (2)76.084.0160.0-8.00%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
W
87-75
87
75
+12
83avg 74
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
61avg 74
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
62-57
62
57
+5
54avg 74
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 74
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
92-85
92
85
+7
87avg 74
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
95-76
95
76
+19
86avg 74
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
87-74
87
74
+13
no box
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
79-75
79
75
+4
no box
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
W
85-76
85
76
+9
no box
A13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-20
18-23
25-21
22-11
19-22
23-26
10-22
16-14
17-14
13-15
14-6
18-22
18-26
27-17
26-23
13-11
28-22
17-22
26-18
21-23
23-11
25-21
24-25
23-19
19-15
11-23
20-21
23-19
20-17
23-18
24-23
20-16
19-17
29-24
16-15
15-19
22-20
13-19
15-18
35-19
156.9Avg total
81.2Scored
75.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)82.174.8156.9+7.488%
Season at home (2)78.566.5145.0+12.0100%
Season away (6)83.377.5160.8+5.883%
Last 10 (10)81.275.7156.9+5.580%
Last 5 (5)83.875.8159.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.581.0152.5-9.550%
vs Similar (19)82.580.7163.2+1.847%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)82.076.6158.6+5.478%
This opponent (La Union) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: -0.9-0.9Q3Q3: +0.1+0.1Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
La UnionPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
La UnionLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H25/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H27/04
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A01/05
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
L
45-46
45
46
-1
A03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
35-51
35
51
-16
A04/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
57-38
57
38
+19
A06/10
Liga A
Racing de Chivilcoy
#13
W
38-27
38
27
+11
H16/10
Liga A
Argentino
#9
W
38-30
38
30
+8
H04/11
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A09/11
Liga A
Lanus
#12
L
27-55
27
55
-28
A11/11
Liga A
83.1Avg total
40.5Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.042.284.2-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.140.883.9+2.367%-
Last 30 away (15)40.943.684.5-2.740%-
Last 10 (10)40.542.683.1-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)40.240.080.2+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)37.846.484.2-8.640%-
vs Similar (23)42.841.484.2+1.457%-
vs Weaker (2)43.541.084.5+2.550%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferro
#6
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H01/05
Liga A
Ferro
#6
L
42-48
42
48
-6
H03/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H30/09
Liga A
Lanus
#12
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A14/10
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
45-44
45
44
+1
A17/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H28/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A31/10
Liga A
Olimpico
#8
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A03/11
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A11/11
Liga A
Ferro
#16
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A13/11
Liga A
79.8Avg total
40.6Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.541.481.9-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (12)38.238.676.8-0.442%-
Last 30 away (18)42.143.285.3-1.150%-
Last 10 (10)40.639.279.8+1.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.837.077.8+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.043.086.0+0.050%-
vs Similar (19)40.342.182.4-1.737%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)40.439.680.0+0.967%-
This opponent (La Union) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
La Uniontheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

La Union: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.9 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.619.8
58.9%
54.4%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.08.0
29.6%
32.6%24.0
🏀 Free throws24.518.9
77.1%
72.7%18.9
They take 60.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.2 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.5 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.419.9
56.2%
54.4%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.4
32.3%
32.6%25.2
🏀 Free throws25.617.5
68.4%
72.7%17.5
They take 61.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Apr 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
La Union
LLWLWLLLWL
Penarol
WWWLWWWWLW
#14
League position
#2
-3.0
Net rating
+4.1
112.3
Offensive rating
113.4
115.3
Defensive rating
109.3
52.5%
Effective FG%
52.9%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.2%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.40
Free-throw rate
0.42
29.6%
3-point %
32.3%
54.3%
Assist %
48.4%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence112.3 · 113.4Defence115.3 · 109.3Shooting52.5% · 52.9%3-point %29.6% · 32.3%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.40 · 0.42Form (last 10/10)30% · 80%
■ La Union   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
La Union wins
5
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
15/04/26La Union v Penarol91-85
19/10/25Penarol v La Union76-74
10/03/25La Union v Penarol73-91
17/01/25Penarol v La Union91-94
07/03/24Penarol v La Union79-61
05/02/24La Union v Penarol83-79
28/03/23Penarol v La Union72-79
14/10/22La Union v Penarol77-72
14/12/21La Union v Penarol70-71
20/11/21Penarol v La Union90-66
La Unionlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ALanus57-93
09/11/26ABoca Juniors93-97
04/11/26HArgentino75-57
16/10/26HRacing de Chivilcoy68-74 OT
06/10/26APlatense90-86
04/10/26AGimnasia86-92
03/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva92-97
01/05/26AIndependiente de Oliva78-83
27/04/26HIndependiente de Oliva86-62
25/04/26HIndependiente de Oliva91-102
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26AFerro85-76
11/11/26APlatense79-75
03/11/26AOlimpico87-74
31/10/26AQuimsa73-78
28/10/26HSan Martin95-76
17/10/26ASan Lorenzo92-85
14/10/26ALanus84-77
30/09/26HGimnasia62-57
03/05/26HFerro68-84
01/05/26HFerro87-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

La Union
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL33%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games624
Win %33%50%25%
Points / game78.271.581.5
Allowed / game83.265.592.0
Point differential-5.0+6.0-10.5
Avg total161.3137.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %17%50%0%
Penarol
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW88%
HomeWW100%
AwayWLWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games826
Win %88%100%83%
Points / game82.178.583.3
Allowed / game74.866.577.5
Point differential+7.4+12.0+5.8
Avg total156.9145.0160.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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