Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 81-88

23-29 19-18 20-27 19-14

Position#12

Record5-12

FormLLWWL

Points / game76.1

Allowed / game81.9

Aris

Panathinaikos 🏆

Position#1

Record15-2

FormWLWWW

Points / game103.3

Allowed / game77.2

Basket LeagueRound 18

Domestic2019-20

Meetings · Aris v Panathinaikos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Aris winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Panathinaikos winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Aris

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Peristeri

72-59

+13

H24/11

Basket League

Rethymno

63-70

-7

A30/11

Basket League

Panionios

#13

80-86

-6

H08/12

Basket League

AEK Athens

79-92

-13

A13/12

Basket League

Lavrio

81-70

+11

H21/12

Basket League

Promitheas

79-95

-16

A28/12

Basket League

PAOK

#14

84-101

101

-17

A05/01

Basket League

Iraklis

69-63

H11/01

Basket League

Larisa

#11

90-72

+18

H18/01

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

65-72

-7

A26/01

Basket League

19-14

20-21

19-13

14-11

15-17

19-19

16-23

13-11

20-19

27-30

12-19

21-18

15-19

23-21

16-26

25-26

21-18

15-13

26-12

19-27

17-30

22-19

19-22

21-24

24-32

23-25

16-21

21-23

9-18

20-14

22-10

18-21

23-8

20-21

27-17

20-26

14-14

22-20

14-19

15-19

154.2Avg total

76.2Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	76.1	81.9	158.0	-5.9	29%
Season at home (8)	79.2	74.5	153.8	+4.8	62%
Season away (9)	73.2	88.6	161.8	-15.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	76.2	78.0	154.2	-1.8	40%
Last 5 (5)	77.4	80.6	158.0	-3.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	70.2	81.0	151.2	-10.8	25%
vs Similar (14)	75.2	77.9	153.1	-2.7	29%
vs Weaker (4)	82.2	70.8	153.0	+11.5	50%

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Panathinaikos Greece

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraklis

130-81

130

+49

H25/11

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

103-69

103

+34

A01/12

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

87-74

+13

H09/12

Basket League

Peristeri

78-82

-4

A15/12

Basket League

Rethymno

96-74

+22

H22/12

Basket League

Panionios

#13

115-74

115

+41

A29/12

Basket League

AEK Athens

97-100

100

-3

A05/01

Basket League

Lavrio

105-74

105

+31

H12/01

Basket League

Promitheas

99-76

+23

A19/01

Basket League

PAOK

#14

117-79

117

+38

H27/01

Basket League

36-15

28-21

31-16

35-29

32-21

24-12

19-15

28-21

25-20

22-24

19-13

21-17

22-15

15-25

15-28

26-14

29-18

21-19

19-18

27-19

31-20

30-19

26-17

28-18

28-32

26-31

23-22

20-15

25-17

27-14

31-22

22-21

31-21

29-25

20-14

19-16

26-21

28-21

32-11

31-26

181.0Avg total

102.7Scored

78.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	103.3	77.2	180.5	+26.1	88%
Season at home (9)	104.2	75.0	179.2	+29.2	100%
Season away (8)	102.2	79.8	182.0	+22.5	75%
Last 10 (10)	102.7	78.3	181.0	+24.4	80%
Last 5 (5)	106.6	80.6	187.2	+26.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	72.5	79.0	151.5	-6.5	0%
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (26)	92.0	69.7	161.6	+22.3	85%

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ArisPanathinaikos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.6	19.0	36.6	-1.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.3	16.7	35.0	+1.7	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	16.9	21.3	38.2	-4.3	13%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.7	18.9	36.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	20.4	37.8	-3.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.1	20.9	36.0	-5.8	8%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	18.3	36.4	-0.2	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	23.8	15.5	39.2	+8.2	100%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	24.9	19.2	44.1	+5.7	75%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.4	18.5	42.9	+5.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (13)	25.5	20.1	45.6	+5.5	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.5	20.0	48.5	+8.5	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.2	22.2	50.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.8	19.8	38.5	-1.0	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	26.0	19.1	45.1	+6.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	19.6	39.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.6	18.1	38.7	+2.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	21.1	39.8	-2.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	20.3	41.4	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.7	21.2	39.9	-2.6	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.2	18.4	37.6	+0.9	43%	-
vs Weaker (4)	24.2	18.8	43.0	+5.5	75%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	24.4	18.0	42.4	+6.4	82%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	16.3	41.0	+8.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (13)	24.0	19.9	43.9	+4.1	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.0	21.1	46.1	+3.9	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	22.0	50.0	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	18.0	17.0	35.0	+1.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	25.4	18.2	43.6	+7.2	88%	-

ArisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Peristeri

39-35

H24/11

Basket League

Rethymno

34-36

-2

A30/11

Basket League

Panionios

#13

47-49

-2

H08/12

Basket League

AEK Athens

38-40

-2

A13/12

Basket League

Lavrio

36-31

H21/12

Basket League

Promitheas

39-49

-10

A28/12

Basket League

PAOK

#14

47-57

-10

A05/01

Basket League

Iraklis

29-32

-3

H11/01

Basket League

Larisa

#11

43-29

+14

H18/01

Basket League

Ionikos

#10

36-34

A26/01

Basket League

78.0Avg total

38.8Scored

39.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.3	38.5	75.8	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	38.9	34.7	73.7	+4.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	35.7	42.3	78.0	-6.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.8	39.2	78.0	-0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	40.2	79.0	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	33.8	42.2	75.9	-8.4	8%	-
vs Similar (14)	37.3	36.6	73.9	+0.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (4)	48.0	34.2	82.2	+13.8	75%	-

This opponent (Panathinaikos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

PanathinaikosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Iraklis

64-36

+28

H25/11

Basket League

Kolossos Rhodes

56-33

+23

A01/12

Basket League

Ifaistos Limnou

47-44

H09/12

Basket League

Peristeri

37-40

-3

A15/12

Basket League

Rethymno

50-37

+13

H22/12

Basket League

Panionios

#13

61-39

+22

A29/12

Basket League

AEK Athens

54-63

-9

A05/01

Basket League

Lavrio

52-31

+21

H12/01

Basket League

Promitheas

60-46

+14

A19/01

Basket League

PAOK

#14

54-42

+12

H27/01

Basket League

94.6Avg total

53.5Scored

41.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	49.3	37.2	86.5	+12.1	86%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	49.1	34.8	83.9	+14.3	100%	-
Last 30 away (13)	49.5	40.0	89.5	+9.5	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	53.5	41.1	94.6	+12.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	56.2	44.2	100.4	+12.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	36.8	36.8	73.5	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	51.4	37.3	88.7	+14.1	92%	-

This opponent (Aris) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.7	18.5	36.2	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.2	16.0	34.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.2	20.9	38.1	-3.7	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.2	36.9	+0.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.6	18.4	35.9	-0.8	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	15.8	18.8	34.5	-3.0	25%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	22.7	18.2	40.9	+4.5	79%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	17.8	41.5	+5.9	80%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.6	18.7	40.3	+2.9	77%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.5	17.6	41.1	+5.9	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.4	17.2	43.6	+9.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	15.8	20.8	36.5	-5.0	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.9	17.8	41.7	+6.1	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	18.7	18.9	37.5	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.3	21.3	38.6	-4.1	20%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	20.6	39.3	-1.9	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	22.6	41.6	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	17.4	19.9	37.3	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.3	20.9	39.2	-2.6	29%	-
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	17.8	36.2	+0.8	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	23.0	19.8	42.9	+3.2	86%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.0	20.7	44.7	+3.3	87%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.9	18.8	40.7	+3.2	85%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.7	19.6	45.3	+6.1	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	19.2	43.2	+4.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	50%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.5	19.5	43.1	+4.0	92%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.7	38.6	74.2	-2.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	36.9	34.9	71.7	+2.0	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	34.5	42.3	76.7	-7.8	7%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	38.8	76.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.6	40.4	79.0	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.9	38.4	74.3	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.9	39.3	75.1	-3.4	36%	-
vs Weaker (4)	34.2	36.5	70.8	-2.2	50%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (28)	45.8	38.0	83.8	+7.7	79%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.7	38.5	86.2	+9.1	87%	-
Last 30 away (13)	43.5	37.5	81.0	+6.1	69%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.2	37.2	86.4	+12.0	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	50.4	36.4	86.8	+14.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	35.8	42.2	78.0	-6.5	25%	-
vs Similar	no games
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	47.4	37.3	84.8	+10.1	88%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Aristheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

Panathinaikostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Panathinaikos: 80.3 points a game scored

🏀🏀59%

🏀🏀🏀26%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers47.4 pts a game · 59% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 26% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.3 points a game

48%

33%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	47.6	23.7	49.8%	53.6%	47.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	18.4	7.0	38.0%	34.8%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	16.4	11.9	72.6%	73.9%	11.9

They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 28% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	17.1	47.5%	53.6%	34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	8.8	31.0%	34.8%	26.4
🏀 Free throws	18.7	14.6	78.1%	73.9%	14.6

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	44.6	23.4	52.5%	53.6%	46.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	19.3	6.3	32.9%	34.8%	19.0
🏀 Free throws	17.0	11.9	70.3%	73.9%	11.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	19.1	51.3%	53.6%	38.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.1	8.4	34.7%	34.8%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	19.0	14.1	74.4%	73.9%	14.1

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Aris wins

Panathinaikos wins

Date	Game	Score
26/10/19	Panathinaikos v Aris	108-86
28/01/19	Panathinaikos v Aris	85-65
13/10/18	Aris v Panathinaikos	70-84
02/04/18	Panathinaikos v Aris	84-63
10/12/17	Aris v Panathinaikos	70-88
05/03/17	Panathinaikos v Aris	70-54
18/02/17	Panathinaikos v Aris	68-59
21/11/16	Aris v Panathinaikos	59-71
27/12/15	Panathinaikos v Aris	90-69
28/04/15	Aris v Panathinaikos	56-72

Arislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
26/01/20	A	Ionikos	65-72
18/01/20	H	Larisa	90-72
11/01/20	H	Iraklis	69-63
05/01/20	A	PAOK	84-101
28/12/19	A	Promitheas	79-95
21/12/19	H	Lavrio	81-70
13/12/19	A	AEK Athens	79-92
08/12/19	H	Panionios	80-86
30/11/19	A	Rethymno	63-70
24/11/19	H	Peristeri	72-59

Panathinaikoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/01/20	H	PAOK	117-79
19/01/20	A	Promitheas	99-76
12/01/20	H	Lavrio	105-74
05/01/20	A	AEK Athens	97-100
29/12/19	A	Panionios	115-74
22/12/19	H	Rethymno	96-74
15/12/19	A	Peristeri	78-82
09/12/19	H	Ifaistos Limnou	87-74
01/12/19	A	Kolossos Rhodes	103-69
25/11/19	H	Iraklis	130-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Aris

Basket League 2019-20

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWL	29%
Home	WLWWW	62%
Away	LLLLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	8	9
Win %	29%	62%	0%
Points / game	76.1	79.2	73.2
Allowed / game	81.9	74.5	88.6
Point differential	-5.9	+4.8	-15.3
Avg total	158.0	153.8	161.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	18%	38%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	33% (3)	-
Overtime %	12%	25%	0%

Panathinaikos

Basket League 2019-20

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	88%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLWLW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	9	8
Win %	88%	100%	75%
Points / game	103.3	104.2	102.2
Allowed / game	77.2	75.0	79.8
Point differential	+26.1	+29.2	+22.5
Avg total	180.5	179.2	182.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	88%	100%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (2)	-	0% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Panathinaikos	17	15	2	88%	103.3	77.2	+26.1
2	AEK Athens	17	13	4	76%	81.3	73.7	+7.6
3	Promitheas	18	12	6	67%	76.9	75.4	+1.5
4	Peristeri	18	11	7	61%	78.1	72.3	+5.8
5	Ifaistos Limnou	18	10	8	56%	71.2	71.0	+0.2
6	Lavrio	18	9	9	50%	74.6	80.6	-6.1
7	Rethymno	17	8	9	47%	68.3	71.5	-3.2
8	Iraklis	18	8	10	44%	77.2	77.2	+0.0
9	Ionikos	18	8	10	44%	79.4	82.9	-3.4
10	Kolossos Rhodes	18	7	11	39%	77.7	78.9	-1.3
11	Larisa	18	7	11	39%	75.1	81.4	-6.3
12	Panionios	18	6	12	33%	72.3	83.4	-11.1
13	Aris	17	5	12	29%	76.1	81.9	-5.9
14	PAOK	18	5	13	28%	83.2	85.7	-2.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Aris	23	19	20	19	81
Panathinaikos	29	18	27	14	88

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Aris vs Panathinaikos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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