PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Larre Borges vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 03 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 52-57
14-13 16-14 13-20 9-10
Position#13
Record3-16
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game91.5
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record16-3
FormWWWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game70.8
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Larre Borges
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Larre Borges winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Larre BorgesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBorges
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
L
75-93
75
93
-18
56avg 68
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
66-81
66
81
-15
59avg 68
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
70-103
70
103
-33
59avg 68
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
62-89
62
89
-27
47avg 68
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
64-80
64
80
-16
51avg 68
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
82-94
82
94
-12
69avg 68
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
83-104
83
104
-21
77avg 68
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
78-94
78
94
-16
70avg 68
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
100-88
100
88
+12
95avg 68
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
61-94
61
94
-33
51avg 68
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-25
20-25
13-30
21-13
20-25
19-21
17-18
10-17
14-25
17-23
25-32
14-23
15-24
12-27
14-14
21-24
21-23
17-12
13-23
13-22
17-24
12-34
26-14
27-22
14-29
27-25
18-22
24-28
20-26
16-27
12-20
30-21
23-35
32-16
23-24
22-13
21-22
15-25
18-27
7-20
166.1Avg total
74.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)77.491.5168.9-14.116%
Season at home (9)84.490.9175.3-6.433%
Season away (10)71.192.0163.1-20.90%
Last 10 (10)74.192.0166.1-17.910%
Last 5 (5)80.894.8175.6-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)78.290.0168.2-11.820%
vs Similar (5)83.482.2165.6+1.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 75
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 75
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 75
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
73-52
73
52
+21
68avg 75
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
82-58
82
58
+24
84avg 75
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
85avg 75
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
81-64
81
64
+17
72avg 75
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
90-65
90
65
+25
83avg 75
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
91-83
91
83
+8
84avg 75
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
65-75
65
75
-10
51avg 75
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-15
27-12
14-14
24-21
31-18
23-14
26-16
10-16
28-14
23-33
15-19
21-15
18-16
17-13
18-7
20-16
30-17
24-22
13-13
15-6
31-20
23-22
19-25
15-20
18-10
25-16
18-14
20-24
25-14
30-16
17-16
18-19
26-18
26-27
12-18
27-20
22-24
17-21
11-12
15-18
152.7Avg total
83.6Scored
69.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)84.470.8155.3+13.684%
Season at home (10)83.866.9150.7+16.990%
Season away (9)85.175.2160.3+9.978%
Last 10 (10)83.669.1152.7+14.590%
Last 5 (5)83.074.8157.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)87.080.3167.3+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (16)83.969.1153.0+14.988%
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +8.7+8.7Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-11-5+0+5+11Q1Q1: -7.2-7.2Q1: +8.7+8.7Q2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q3: +0.9+0.9Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Larre BorgesPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Larre BorgesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
L
41-50
41
50
-9
A06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
31-48
31
48
-17
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
27-51
27
51
-24
A19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
29-58
29
58
-29
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
41-54
41
54
-13
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A23/01
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
55-51
55
51
+4
H27/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A30/01
Liga Uruguaya
86.6Avg total
37.3Scored
49.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.845.084.8-5.243%-
Last 30 at home (13)42.344.186.4-1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)37.945.883.6-7.929%-
Last 10 (10)37.349.386.6-12.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.452.692.0-13.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (25)39.046.285.2-7.336%-
vs Similar (5)44.039.083.0+5.080%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
55-30
55
30
+25
H25/01
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
52-45
52
45
+7
A28/01
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
39-45
39
45
-6
H31/01
Liga Uruguaya
85.0Avg total
48.8Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (19)45.136.481.5+8.763%-
Last 30 at home (10)47.033.380.3+13.780%-
Last 30 away (9)43.039.882.8+3.244%-
Last 10 (10)48.836.285.0+12.690%-
Last 5 (5)48.637.686.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.742.388.0+3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (16)45.035.280.2+9.869%-
This opponent (Larre Borges) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Larre Borgestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Larre Borges: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.418.2
45.0%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.58.3
31.3%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws16.211.5
71.0%
71.7%11.5
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.8 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.4 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.818.4
54.4%
51.0%36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.311.0
35.1%
33.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws19.513.4
68.7%
71.7%13.4
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Larre Borges
LWLLLLLLLL
Penarol
LWWWWWWWWW
#13
League position
#2
-24.7
Net rating
+20.7
91.3
Offensive rating
110.9
116.0
Defensive rating
90.2
45.8%
Effective FG%
53.6%
58.1%
Opp. effective FG%
42.4%
18.5%
Turnover %
15.3%
22.9%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.30
31.3%
3-point %
35.1%
61.5%
Assist %
54.8%
10%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence91.3 · 110.9Defence116.0 · 90.2Shooting45.8% · 53.6%3-point %31.3% · 35.1%Ball care18.5% · 15.3%Off. rebounds22.9% · 27.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)10% · 90%
■ Larre Borges   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Larre Borges wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
19/12/23Penarol v Larre Borges89-62
Larre Borgeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/01/24ABigua61-94
27/01/24HUrupan100-88
23/01/24AHebraica y Macabi78-94
13/01/24HAguada83-104
10/01/24HNacional82-94
04/01/24AGoes64-80
19/12/23APenarol62-89
13/12/23AMalvin70-103
09/12/23ACordon66-81
06/12/23ATrouville75-93
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/24HCordon65-75
28/01/24ATrouville91-83
25/01/24HGoes90-65
20/01/24HDefensor81-64
16/01/24HAguada88-87
13/01/24HMalvin82-58
10/01/24HHebraica y Macabi73-52
04/01/24ABigua87-81
22/12/23HUrupan90-64
19/12/23HLarre Borges89-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Larre Borges
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL16%
HomeLLLLW33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19910
Win %16%33%0%
Points / game77.484.471.1
Allowed / game91.590.992.0
Point differential-14.1-6.4-20.9
Avg total168.9175.3163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+5%11%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)67% (3)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWWWWL90%
AwayWWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19109
Win %84%90%78%
Points / game84.483.885.1
Allowed / game70.866.975.2
Point differential+13.6+16.9+9.9
Avg total155.3150.7160.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%70%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %5%10%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1715288%93.481.7+11.7
2 Penarol1916384%84.470.8+13.6
3 Aguada2015575%87.580.8+6.7
4 Defensor1912763%81.479.1+2.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi1911858%83.179.8+3.3
6 Bigua1991047%84.883.6+1.2
7 Malvin1981142%81.881.0+0.8
8 Cordon1981142%72.375.8-3.5
9 Trouville1961332%81.087.3-6.3
10 Urupan1851328%76.583.6-7.1
11 Goes1951426%78.386.4-8.1
12 Larre Borges1931616%77.491.5-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Larre Borges141613952
Penarol1314201057
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.