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Penarol vs Goes Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 25 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 90-65
25-14 30-16 17-16 18-19
Position#2
Record14-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game84.9
Allowed / game70.2
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#12
Record5-11
FormLWLLL
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game87.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Goes
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Goes
30 Jan 2026
PENA95
GOES76
24 Jan 2024
PENA90
GOES65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Goes winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 76
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 76
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 76
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 76
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 76
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 76
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
73-52
73
52
+21
68avg 76
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
82-58
82
58
+24
84avg 76
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
85avg 76
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
81-64
81
64
+17
72avg 76
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
14-20
20-18
26-15
20-30
26-17
22-18
29-12
23-11
20-10
30-21
16-22
24-15
27-12
14-14
24-21
31-18
23-14
26-16
10-16
28-14
23-33
15-19
21-15
18-16
17-13
18-7
20-16
30-17
24-22
13-13
15-6
31-20
23-22
19-25
15-20
18-10
25-16
18-14
20-24
153.6Avg total
85.5Scored
68.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)84.970.2155.1+14.788%
Season at home (8)85.466.1151.5+19.2100%
Season away (8)84.474.2158.6+10.175%
Last 10 (10)85.568.1153.6+17.4100%
Last 5 (5)82.268.4150.6+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)87.080.3167.3+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)84.467.8152.2+16.592%
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGoes
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
91-105
91
105
-14
85avg 68
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
76-75
76
75
+1
64avg 68
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
87-85
87
85
+2
83avg 68
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
91-86
91
86
+5
84avg 68
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 68
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
71-80
71
80
-9
62avg 68
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
80-64
80
64
+16
78avg 68
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
80-84
80
84
-4
69avg 68
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
61-111
61
111
-50
43avg 68
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
76-92
76
92
-16
24avg 68
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
25-29
26-23
21-25
16-18
26-25
20-17
14-15
28-19
22-19
14-32
23-15
21-27
23-22
20-22
27-15
18-25
25-19
24-22
18-27
22-27
15-21
18-22
16-10
23-21
12-17
23-13
22-13
24-26
20-26
14-23
22-9
13-32
25-31
14-25
9-23
19-22
13-24
24-27
20-19
167.3Avg total
79.8Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)80.087.0167.0-7.031%
Season at home (8)81.083.1164.1-2.138%
Season away (8)79.090.9169.9-11.925%
Last 10 (10)79.887.5167.3-7.740%
Last 5 (5)73.686.2159.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)80.092.6172.6-12.612%
vs Similar (14)76.479.3155.7-2.936%
vs Weaker (8)82.577.4159.9+5.162%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: +7.2+7.2Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +4.3+4.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: -2.9-2.9Q4Q4: +2.9+2.9Q4: +2.1+2.1
PenarolGoes
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H20/01
Liga Uruguaya
81.3Avg total
46.4Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (16)44.435.780.1+8.862%-
Last 30 at home (8)47.032.279.2+14.888%-
Last 30 away (8)41.939.181.0+2.838%-
Last 10 (10)46.434.981.3+11.580%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.684.0+10.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.742.388.0+3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.234.278.3+10.069%-
This opponent (Goes) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GoesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
44-57
44
57
-13
A21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
50-38
50
38
+12
A28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
44-49
44
49
-5
H01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
38-63
38
63
-25
A13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A16/01
Liga Uruguaya
88.7Avg total
40.9Scored
47.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)41.243.784.9-2.431%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.241.582.7-0.333%-
Last 30 away (14)41.346.187.4-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)40.947.888.7-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)37.249.486.6-12.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)40.649.690.2-9.012%-
vs Similar (13)42.243.085.2-0.838%-
vs Weaker (8)40.238.979.1+1.438%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.0
54.1%
51.0%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.110.9
35.0%
33.3%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
71.7%12.0
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Goestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Goes: 79.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.019.3
52.2%
51.0%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.49.2
33.6%
33.3%27.6
🏀 Free throws17.612.8
72.7%
71.7%12.8
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWWWWWWWW
Goes
LLLWLLWWWL
#2
League position
#12
+23.7
Net rating
-10.1
114.0
Offensive rating
101.1
90.3
Defensive rating
111.2
53.4%
Effective FG%
51.4%
42.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.8%
14.6%
Turnover %
20.5%
31.7%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.27
35.0%
3-point %
33.6%
56.0%
Assist %
53.3%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence114.0 · 101.1Defence90.3 · 111.2Shooting53.4% · 51.4%3-point %35.0% · 33.6%Ball care14.6% · 20.5%Off. rebounds31.7% · 27.4%Free throws0.25 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)100% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Goes
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penarol wins
0
Goes wins
No previous meetings.
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/01/24HDefensor81-64
16/01/24HAguada88-87
13/01/24HMalvin82-58
10/01/24HHebraica y Macabi73-52
04/01/24ABigua87-81
22/12/23HUrupan90-64
19/12/23HLarre Borges89-62
16/12/23AUrupan89-64
13/12/23ANacional97-77
07/12/23ADefensor79-72
Goeslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24AMalvin76-92
13/01/24ANacional61-111
09/01/24ADefensor80-84
04/01/24HLarre Borges80-64
20/12/23ACordon71-80
15/12/23HTrouville85-93
01/12/23HBigua91-86
28/11/23AUrupan87-85
25/11/23HHebraica y Macabi76-75
21/11/23AAguada91-105

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %88%100%75%
Points / game84.985.484.4
Allowed / game70.266.174.2
Point differential+14.7+19.2+10.1
Avg total155.1151.5158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+56%75%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %6%12%0%
Goes
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL31%
HomeLWWLW38%
AwayWLLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %31%38%25%
Points / game80.081.079.0
Allowed / game87.083.190.9
Point differential-7.0-2.1-11.9
Avg total167.0164.1169.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)67% (3)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1715288%93.481.7+11.7
2 Penarol1614288%84.970.2+14.7
3 Aguada1712571%87.781.1+6.6
4 Defensor1811761%81.078.8+2.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi1710759%82.879.5+3.3
6 Bigua178947%85.185.4-0.3
7 Malvin1881044%82.180.7+1.4
8 Cordon1761135%71.976.7-4.8
9 Trouville1761135%80.787.1-6.4
10 Goes1651131%80.087.0-7.0
11 Urupan1751229%75.882.6-6.8
12 Larre Borges1721512%77.191.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol2530171890
Goes1416161965
← all games of the day
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