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Penarol vs Malvin Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 13 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 00:15
Final 82-58
30-17 24-22 13-13 15-6
Position#2
Record11-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.2
Allowed / game70.3
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#5
Record7-8
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.1
Allowed / game80.6
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Malvin
28 Apr 2026
PENA96
MALV68
16 Oct 2025
PENA89
MALV79
27 Mar 2025
PENA82
MALV73
24 Jan 2025
PENA79
MALV70
12 Jan 2024
PENA82
MALV58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Malvin winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 75
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-52
88
52
+36
58avg 75
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
48avg 75
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 75
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 75
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 75
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 75
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 75
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 75
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
73-52
73
52
+21
68avg 75
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-20
25-23
22-21
20-19
30-11
19-8
19-16
20-17
16-19
19-24
26-12
14-12
19-19
14-20
20-18
26-15
20-30
26-17
22-18
29-12
23-11
20-10
30-21
16-22
24-15
27-12
14-14
24-21
31-18
23-14
26-16
10-16
28-14
23-33
15-19
21-15
18-16
17-13
18-7
20-16
152.3Avg total
84.9Scored
67.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)85.270.3155.5+14.885%
Season at home (5)86.464.0150.4+22.4100%
Season away (8)84.474.2158.6+10.175%
Last 10 (10)84.967.4152.3+17.590%
Last 5 (5)85.664.6150.2+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)86.577.0163.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.969.1154.0+15.891%
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMalvin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
78-76
78
76
+2
70avg 77
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
73-75
73
75
-2
67avg 77
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
85-87
85
87
-2
79avg 77
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
92-70
92
70
+22
90avg 77
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
99-105 OT
99
105
-6
no box
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
78-62
78
62
+16
76avg 77
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
61-79
61
79
-18
60avg 77
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
103-70
103
70
+33
105avg 77
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
75-89
75
89
-14
65avg 77
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
83-84
83
84
-1
74avg 77
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-17
17-18
19-16
18-25
18-24
17-17
18-15
20-19
27-26
20-19
21-22
17-20
18-21
26-22
25-13
23-14
14-12
22-23
17-20
20-18
24-18
16-17
18-13
20-14
15-15
19-23
16-18
11-23
25-14
23-17
32-25
23-14
24-21
14-28
18-20
19-20
14-29
24-15
25-18
20-22
162.4Avg total
82.7Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)83.180.6163.7+2.547%
Season at home (8)84.175.0159.1+9.162%
Season away (7)81.987.0168.9-5.129%
Last 10 (10)82.779.7162.4+3.040%
Last 5 (5)80.076.8156.8+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)80.483.7164.1-3.329%
vs Similar (15)87.186.8173.9+0.340%
vs Weaker (8)85.876.8162.5+9.075%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +5.1+5.1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +5.0+5.0Q3: +2.9+2.9Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
PenarolMalvin
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Malvin
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
78.4Avg total
43.7Scored
34.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (13)43.135.778.8+7.454%-
Last 30 at home (5)45.030.275.2+14.880%-
Last 30 away (8)41.939.181.0+2.838%-
Last 10 (10)43.734.778.4+9.060%-
Last 5 (5)46.831.278.0+15.6100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)41.542.584.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.434.577.8+8.964%-
This opponent (Malvin) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MalvinLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Goes
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
35-41
35
41
-6
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
47-45
47
45
+2
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
36-35
36
35
+1
A02/12
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
48-31
48
31
+17
H13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H05/01
Liga Uruguaya
79.7Avg total
40.1Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.042.085.0+1.057%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.941.285.2+2.756%-
Last 30 away (14)41.942.984.8-0.957%-
Last 10 (10)40.139.679.7+0.560%-
Last 5 (5)39.639.479.0+0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)42.141.984.0+0.371%-
vs Similar (15)43.343.586.8-0.347%-
vs Weaker (8)43.239.282.5+4.062%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.220.2
52.9%
51.0%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.610.4
32.9%
33.3%31.2
🏀 Free throws16.112.1
75.2%
71.7%12.1
They take 69.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Malvintheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Malvin: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.720.9
50.1%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.08.3
33.2%
33.3%24.9
🏀 Free throws18.013.6
75.6%
71.7%13.6
They take 66.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 13 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWWWWWWWL
Malvin
LLWLWLWLLW
#2
League position
#5
+22.8
Net rating
+5.4
111.5
Offensive rating
106.1
88.8
Defensive rating
100.6
51.3%
Effective FG%
50.0%
42.4%
Opp. effective FG%
46.2%
14.0%
Turnover %
16.0%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.27
32.9%
3-point %
33.2%
58.8%
Assist %
63.0%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence111.5 · 106.1Defence88.8 · 100.6Shooting51.3% · 50.0%3-point %32.9% · 33.2%Ball care14.0% · 16.0%Off. rebounds31.3% · 29.6%Free throws0.23 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)90% · 40%
■ Penarol   ■ Malvin
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Penarol wins
1
Malvin wins
DateGameScore
14/11/23Malvin v Penarol83-82
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/01/24HHebraica y Macabi73-52
04/01/24ABigua87-81
22/12/23HUrupan90-64
19/12/23HLarre Borges89-62
16/12/23AUrupan89-64
13/12/23ANacional97-77
07/12/23ADefensor79-72
26/11/23ACordon75-67
23/11/23HTrouville88-52
14/11/23AMalvin82-83
Malvinlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/01/24HNacional83-84
18/12/23ABigua75-89
13/12/23HLarre Borges103-70
09/12/23AUrupan61-79
05/12/23HCordon78-62
02/12/23AHebraica y Macabi99-105 OT
29/11/23HTrouville92-70
24/11/23AAguada85-87
21/11/23HDefensor73-75
18/11/23AGoes78-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW85%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1358
Win %85%100%75%
Points / game85.286.484.4
Allowed / game70.364.074.2
Point differential+14.8+22.4+10.1
Avg total155.5150.4158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%80%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %8%20%0%
Malvin
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL47%
HomeLWWWL62%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %47%62%29%
Points / game83.184.181.9
Allowed / game80.675.087.0
Point differential+2.5+9.1-5.1
Avg total163.7159.1168.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)33% (3)33% (3)
Overtime %7%0%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1412286%92.381.7+10.6
2 Penarol1311285%85.270.3+14.8
3 Aguada1512380%86.678.6+8.0
4 Defensor1610662%81.878.5+3.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi169756%82.179.6+2.5
6 Malvin157847%83.180.6+2.5
7 Bigua167944%84.385.6-1.2
8 Trouville156940%80.785.6-4.9
9 Cordon1551033%73.177.4-4.3
10 Goes1551033%80.386.7-6.4
11 Urupan1651131%77.083.8-6.8
12 Larre Borges1621412%77.091.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol3024131582
Malvin172213658
← all games of the day
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