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Bigua vs Penarol Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 04 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 22:15
Final 81-87
14-28 33-23 19-15 15-21
Position#7
Record7-7
FormLLLWW
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game84.7
vs
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
Position#2
Record9-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.1
Allowed / game71.0
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Arena Bigua
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bigua v Penarol
17 Nov 2025
BIGU69
PENA86
14 Feb 2025
BIGU72
PENA83
04 Jan 2024
BIGU81
PENA87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bigua winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BiguaUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBigua
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
W
87-82
87
82
+5
86avg 80
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
83-92
83
92
-9
77avg 80
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
69avg 80
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
106-80
106
80
+26
108avg 80
A25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
101-94
101
94
+7
98avg 80
H27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
86-91
86
91
-5
85avg 80
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
81-94
81
94
-13
75avg 80
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
67-80
67
80
-13
61avg 80
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
99-90
99
90
+9
93avg 80
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
89-75
89
75
+14
85avg 80
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-26
18-21
23-13
24-22
19-26
28-28
21-22
15-16
13-23
20-17
18-14
20-12
35-14
21-24
34-18
16-24
23-27
22-22
32-27
24-18
27-21
22-23
22-20
15-27
22-32
22-19
19-22
18-21
20-26
11-20
19-11
17-23
26-26
25-31
18-20
30-13
21-24
28-14
20-18
20-19
171.4Avg total
87.0Scored
84.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)84.484.7169.1-0.350%
Season at home (7)82.182.1164.3+0.057%
Season away (7)86.787.3174.0-0.643%
Last 10 (10)87.084.4171.4+2.660%
Last 5 (5)84.486.0170.4-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)90.793.3184.0-2.733%
vs Similar (10)85.084.6169.6+0.460%
vs Weaker (17)88.784.1172.8+4.665%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 75
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 75
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-52
88
52
+36
58avg 75
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
48avg 75
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 75
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 75
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 75
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 75
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 75
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-19
26-16
11-8
29-30
16-20
20-24
21-25
26-14
15-20
25-23
22-21
20-19
30-11
19-8
19-16
20-17
16-19
19-24
26-12
14-12
19-19
14-20
20-18
26-15
20-30
26-17
22-18
29-12
23-11
20-10
30-21
16-22
24-15
27-12
14-14
24-21
31-18
23-14
26-16
10-16
157.5Avg total
87.1Scored
70.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)86.171.0157.1+15.182%
Season at home (4)89.867.0156.8+22.8100%
Season away (7)84.073.3157.3+10.771%
Last 10 (10)87.170.4157.5+16.790%
Last 5 (5)88.867.8156.6+21.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)86.577.0163.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.069.7155.7+16.389%
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: +3.6+3.6Q2Q2: -0.2-0.2Q2: +5.1+5.1Q3Q3: +4.1+4.1Q3: +4.2+4.2Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +3.6+3.6
BiguaPenarol
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BiguaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Defensor
#4
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
33-40
33
40
-7
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
56-38
56
38
+18
A25/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
45-49
45
49
-4
H27/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H05/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H08/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
L
51-57
51
57
-6
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H18/12
Liga Uruguaya
90.9Avg total
44.5Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.343.989.2+1.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.442.385.7+1.138%-
Last 30 away (14)47.545.693.1+1.957%-
Last 10 (10)44.546.490.9-1.930%-
Last 5 (5)44.847.292.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)44.345.389.7-1.033%-
vs Similar (10)42.846.188.9-3.330%-
vs Weaker (17)46.942.389.2+4.659%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
78.7Avg total
43.7Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (11)43.135.378.4+7.845%-
Last 30 at home (4)47.530.578.0+17.075%-
Last 30 away (7)40.638.078.6+2.629%-
Last 10 (10)43.735.078.7+8.750%-
Last 5 (5)45.433.278.6+12.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)41.542.584.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)43.433.777.1+9.856%-
This opponent (Bigua) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Biguatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bigua: 86.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.7 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.022.1
58.2%
51.0%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.110.0
33.2%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws16.912.7
75.1%
71.7%12.7
They take 68.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 84.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.8 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.120.4
52.2%
51.0%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.510.6
33.7%
33.3%31.8
🏀 Free throws15.811.5
72.8%
71.7%11.5
They take 70.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bigua
WWLLLWWWLW
Penarol
WWWWWWWLWW
#7
League position
#2
+3.9
Net rating
+20.8
110.5
Offensive rating
112.2
106.5
Defensive rating
91.4
54.5%
Effective FG%
51.4%
51.6%
Opp. effective FG%
43.9%
18.6%
Turnover %
13.6%
29.8%
Off. rebound %
31.9%
0.25
Free-throw rate
0.22
33.2%
3-point %
33.7%
66.7%
Assist %
60.3%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence110.5 · 112.2Defence106.5 · 91.4Shooting54.5% · 51.4%3-point %33.2% · 33.7%Ball care18.6% · 13.6%Off. rebounds29.8% · 31.9%Free throws0.25 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)60% · 90%
■ Bigua   ■ Penarol
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Bigua wins
1
Penarol wins
DateGameScore
08/11/23Penarol v Bigua92-90 OT
Bigualast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/12/23HMalvin89-75
12/12/23AUrupan99-90
08/12/23HHebraica y Macabi67-80
05/12/23HAguada81-94
01/12/23AGoes86-91
27/11/23HNacional101-94
25/11/23ALarre Borges106-80
21/11/23HCordon71-66
18/11/23ATrouville83-92
14/11/23HDefensor87-82
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/23HUrupan90-64
19/12/23HLarre Borges89-62
16/12/23AUrupan89-64
13/12/23ANacional97-77
07/12/23ADefensor79-72
26/11/23ACordon75-67
23/11/23HTrouville88-52
14/11/23AMalvin82-83
08/11/23HBigua92-90 OT
02/11/23AHebraica y Macabi90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bigua
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW50%
HomeWWLLW57%
AwayLLWLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game84.482.186.7
Allowed / game84.782.187.3
Point differential-0.3+0.0-0.6
Avg total169.1164.3174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%14%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)67% (3)0% (2)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1147
Win %82%100%71%
Points / game86.189.884.0
Allowed / game71.067.073.3
Point differential+15.1+22.8+10.7
Avg total157.1156.8157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%75%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %9%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Penarol119282%86.171.0+15.1
2 Nacional119282%91.283.5+7.7
3 Aguada1310377%85.978.5+7.4
4 Defensor137654%80.177.9+2.2
5 Hebraica y Macabi137654%82.580.5+2.1
6 Malvin147750%83.180.4+2.7
7 Bigua147750%84.484.7-0.3
8 Cordon125742%72.474.9-2.5
9 Trouville125742%81.384.5-3.2
10 Goes135838%81.885.0-3.2
11 Urupan1441029%76.485.6-9.2
12 Larre Borges1421214%76.290.3-14.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bigua1433191581
Penarol2823152187
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