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Penarol vs Defensor Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Jan 2024
Tip-off: 20:45
Final 81-64
18-10 25-16 18-14 20-24
Position#2
Record13-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.1
Allowed / game70.6
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#4
Record10-6
FormLLWWW
Points / game81.8
Allowed / game78.5
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Defensor
05 Nov 2026
PENA v DEFE
upcoming
26 May 2026
PENA93
DEFE81
19 May 2026
PENA101
DEFE51
12 Mar 2026
PENA88
DEFE80
20 Nov 2025
PENA85
DEFE72
24 Apr 2025
PENA78
DEFE84
16 Apr 2025
PENA76
DEFE95
07 Apr 2025
PENA76
DEFE71
13 Mar 2025
PENA80
DEFE74
19 Dec 2024
PENA70
DEFE64
27 May 2024
PENA103
DEFE66
21 May 2024
PENA76
DEFE80
13 May 2024
PENA89
DEFE74
21 Mar 2024
PENA69
DEFE72
20 Jan 2024
PENA81
DEFE64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Defensor winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
48avg 76
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 76
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 76
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 76
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 76
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
90-64
90
64
+26
90avg 76
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
87-81
87
81
+6
77avg 76
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
73-52
73
52
+21
68avg 76
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
82-58
82
58
+24
84avg 76
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
88-87
88
87
+1
85avg 76
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-19
19-24
26-12
14-12
19-19
14-20
20-18
26-15
20-30
26-17
22-18
29-12
23-11
20-10
30-21
16-22
24-15
27-12
14-14
24-21
31-18
23-14
26-16
10-16
28-14
23-33
15-19
21-15
18-16
17-13
18-7
20-16
30-17
24-22
13-13
15-6
31-20
23-22
19-25
15-20
153.3Avg total
84.9Scored
68.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)85.170.6155.7+14.587%
Season at home (7)86.066.4152.4+19.6100%
Season away (8)84.474.2158.6+10.175%
Last 10 (10)84.968.4153.3+16.5100%
Last 5 (5)84.068.4152.4+15.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)87.080.3167.3+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)84.768.2152.8+16.592%
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormDefensor
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
66avg 72
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
85-75
85
75
+10
76avg 72
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
72-79
72
79
-7
62avg 72
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
91-99
91
99
-8
81avg 72
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
92-77
92
77
+15
88avg 72
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
77-92
77
92
-15
59avg 72
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
78-84
78
84
-6
59avg 72
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
88-77
88
77
+11
82avg 72
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
84-80
84
80
+4
76avg 72
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
96-86
96
86
+10
92avg 72
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
25-16
19-20
14-12
10-28
24-12
23-13
28-22
19-19
20-14
18-20
15-26
33-29
28-23
13-18
17-29
27-14
28-26
15-23
22-14
20-28
20-25
20-21
17-18
20-26
15-17
21-18
22-23
20-17
25-21
28-17
15-22
26-24
26-20
23-14
9-22
20-23
25-21
22-18
29-24
165.4Avg total
83.8Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)81.878.5160.3+3.362%
Season at home (8)82.479.0161.4+3.462%
Season away (8)81.278.0159.2+3.262%
Last 10 (10)83.881.6165.4+2.260%
Last 5 (5)84.683.8168.4+0.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)80.884.6165.4-3.820%
vs Similar (18)81.582.1163.6-0.650%
vs Weaker (7)84.173.7157.9+10.4100%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +6.1+6.1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +4.1+4.1Q3Q3: +4.0+4.0Q3: +2.0+2.0Q4Q4: +3.5+3.5Q4: -2.4-2.4
PenarolDefensor
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
54-32
54
32
+22
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
51-47
51
47
+4
A04/01
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
35-29
35
29
+6
H10/01
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H13/01
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H16/01
Liga Uruguaya
82.2Avg total
45.6Scored
36.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (15)44.536.380.9+8.260%-
Last 30 at home (7)47.633.180.7+14.486%-
Last 30 away (8)41.939.181.0+2.838%-
Last 10 (10)45.636.682.2+9.070%-
Last 5 (5)49.637.887.4+11.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)45.742.388.0+3.333%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)44.234.879.1+9.467%-
This opponent (Defensor) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
DefensorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cordon
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
L
34-40
34
40
-6
A03/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
W
39-33
39
33
+6
H07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
55-40
55
40
+15
A12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
40-53
40
53
-13
A15/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H22/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
A05/01
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
W
52-44
52
44
+8
H09/01
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H12/01
Liga Uruguaya
87.0Avg total
44.8Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.341.883.1-0.553%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.241.084.2+2.257%-
Last 30 away (16)39.642.582.1-2.950%-
Last 10 (10)44.842.287.0+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)43.444.487.8-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)41.044.485.4-3.440%-
vs Similar (18)39.742.281.9-2.444%-
vs Weaker (7)45.439.084.4+6.486%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers33.0 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.819.8
53.8%
51.0%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.511.0
33.8%
33.3%33.0
🏀 Free throws15.611.3
72.4%
71.7%11.3
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defensortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Defensor: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.118.2
47.8%
51.0%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.710.3
34.7%
33.3%30.9
🏀 Free throws21.515.5
72.1%
71.7%15.5
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Jan 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWWWWWWWW
Defensor
WWWLLWLLWW
#2
League position
#4
+22.0
Net rating
+5.8
113.2
Offensive rating
111.6
91.2
Defensive rating
105.8
52.4%
Effective FG%
49.6%
43.6%
Opp. effective FG%
52.3%
14.3%
Turnover %
12.5%
32.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
34.7%
59.1%
Assist %
57.9%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence113.2 · 111.6Defence91.2 · 105.8Shooting52.4% · 49.6%3-point %33.8% · 34.7%Ball care14.3% · 12.5%Off. rebounds32.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.23 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Penarol   ■ Defensor
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
0
Defensor wins
DateGameScore
07/12/23Defensor v Penarol72-79
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/24HAguada88-87
13/01/24HMalvin82-58
10/01/24HHebraica y Macabi73-52
04/01/24ABigua87-81
22/12/23HUrupan90-64
19/12/23HLarre Borges89-62
16/12/23AUrupan89-64
13/12/23ANacional97-77
07/12/23ADefensor79-72
26/11/23ACordon75-67
Defensorlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/01/24HBigua96-86
09/01/24HGoes84-80
05/01/24AUrupan88-77
22/12/23HHebraica y Macabi78-84
15/12/23AAguada77-92
12/12/23ATrouville92-77
09/12/23HNacional91-99
07/12/23HPenarol72-79
03/12/23ALarre Borges85-75
29/11/23HCordon75-67

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW87%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %87%100%75%
Points / game85.186.084.4
Allowed / game70.666.474.2
Point differential+14.5+19.6+10.1
Avg total155.7152.4158.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+53%71%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)100% (2)0% (2)
Overtime %7%14%0%
Defensor
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW62%
HomeLLLWW62%
AwayWWWLW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1688
Win %62%62%62%
Points / game81.882.481.2
Allowed / game78.579.078.0
Point differential+3.3+3.4+3.2
Avg total160.3161.4159.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%38%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional1614288%93.983.0+10.9
2 Penarol1513287%85.170.6+14.5
3 Aguada1712571%87.781.1+6.6
4 Defensor1610662%81.878.5+3.3
5 Hebraica y Macabi169756%82.179.6+2.5
6 Malvin178947%82.180.4+1.7
7 Bigua178947%85.185.4-0.3
8 Cordon1661038%72.676.1-3.6
9 Trouville1761135%80.787.1-6.4
10 Goes1651131%80.087.0-7.0
11 Urupan1751229%75.882.6-6.8
12 Larre Borges1621412%77.091.4-14.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol1825182081
Defensor1016142464
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