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Penarol vs Urupan Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 22 Dec 2023
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 90-64
31-18 23-14 26-16 10-16
Position#2
Record8-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game85.7
Allowed / game71.7
Penarol 🏆
Uruguay
vs
Position#9
Record4-9
FormLLWLL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game85.3
UruguayLiga Uruguaya· Palacio Penarol
Other2023-24
Meetings · Penarol v Urupan
25 Oct 2024
PENA71
URUP78
21 Dec 2023
PENA90
URUP64
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Penarol winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Urupan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PenarolUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPenarol
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
76-77
76
77
-1
63avg 73
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
90-73
90
73
+17
88avg 73
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
92-90 OT
92
90
+2
no box
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
82-83
82
83
-1
72avg 73
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
88-52
88
52
+36
58avg 73
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
W
75-67
75
67
+8
48avg 73
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
W
79-72
79
72
+7
67avg 73
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
W
97-77
97
77
+20
94avg 73
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
89-64
89
64
+25
87avg 73
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
89-62
89
62
+27
83avg 73
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-19
23-19
16-17
23-22
24-19
26-16
11-8
29-30
16-20
20-24
21-25
26-14
15-20
25-23
22-21
20-19
30-11
19-8
19-16
20-17
16-19
19-24
26-12
14-12
19-19
14-20
20-18
26-15
20-30
26-17
22-18
29-12
23-11
20-10
30-21
16-22
24-15
27-12
14-14
24-21
157.4Avg total
85.7Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)85.771.7157.4+14.080%
Season at home (3)89.768.0157.7+21.7100%
Season away (7)84.073.3157.3+10.771%
Last 10 (10)85.771.7157.4+14.080%
Last 5 (5)85.868.4154.2+17.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)86.577.0163.5+9.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)85.570.4155.9+15.188%
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanUruguayLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormUrupan
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
88-84
88
84
+4
90avg 68
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
63-82
63
82
-19
45avg 68
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
97-82
97
82
+15
97avg 68
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
78-91
78
91
-13
68avg 68
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
85-87
85
87
-2
76avg 68
H28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
58-91
58
91
-33
43avg 68
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
80-98
80
98
-18
73avg 68
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
79-61
79
61
+18
66avg 68
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
90-99
90
99
-9
90avg 68
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
64-89
64
89
-25
50avg 68
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-19
23-12
23-22
20-31
10-19
14-24
21-16
18-23
34-28
17-13
23-16
23-25
21-24
19-26
18-22
20-19
19-28
19-22
32-14
15-23
10-23
23-23
17-20
8-25
17-16
22-30
17-25
24-27
15-15
23-19
18-16
23-11
26-26
31-25
20-18
13-30
11-23
10-20
21-30
22-16
164.6Avg total
78.2Scored
86.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)77.485.3162.7-7.931%
Season at home (8)80.885.2166.0-4.538%
Season away (5)72.085.4157.4-13.420%
Last 10 (10)78.286.4164.6-8.230%
Last 5 (5)74.287.6161.8-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)73.984.0157.9-10.129%
vs Similar (16)79.683.2162.8-3.638%
vs Weaker (7)78.669.7148.3+8.971%
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.8+1.8Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: +4.6+4.6Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: +4.3+4.3Q4: -4.4-4.4
PenarolUrupan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PenarolLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aguada
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A28/10
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A02/11
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H08/11
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Trouville
#8
W
49-19
49
19
+30
H23/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/11
Liga Uruguaya
Defensor
#4
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A07/12
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A13/12
Liga Uruguaya
Urupan
#9
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A16/12
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-27
51
27
+24
H19/12
Liga Uruguaya
77.6Avg total
42.0Scored
35.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)42.035.677.6+6.440%-
Last 30 at home (3)45.330.075.3+15.367%-
Last 30 away (7)40.638.078.6+2.629%-
Last 10 (10)42.035.677.6+6.440%-
Last 5 (5)41.635.477.0+6.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)41.542.584.0-1.00%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)42.133.976.0+8.250%-
This opponent (Urupan) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UrupanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trouville
#8
W
45-31
45
31
+14
H14/11
Liga Uruguaya
Cordon
#10
L
24-43
24
43
-19
H18/11
Liga Uruguaya
Larre Borges
#13
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H21/11
Liga Uruguaya
Nacional
#3
L
40-50
40
50
-10
A24/11
Liga Uruguaya
Goes
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
H28/11
Liga Uruguaya
Aguada
#1
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A01/12
Liga Uruguaya
Hebraica y Macabi
#6
L
39-46
39
46
-7
H06/12
Liga Uruguaya
Malvin
#5
W
38-34
38
34
+4
H09/12
Liga Uruguaya
Bigua
#7
W
57-51
57
51
+6
H12/12
Liga Uruguaya
Penarol
#2
L
21-43
21
43
-22
H16/12
Liga Uruguaya
82.1Avg total
38.6Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (28)41.644.185.7-2.546%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.943.485.3-1.657%-
Last 30 away (14)41.344.886.1-3.536%-
Last 10 (10)38.643.582.1-4.940%-
Last 5 (5)37.644.081.6-6.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)36.445.782.1-9.329%-
vs Similar (15)42.644.286.8-1.647%-
vs Weaker (6)45.042.087.0+3.067%-
This opponent (Penarol) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Penaroltheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Penarol: 83.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.7 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.320.9
51.8%
51.0%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.710.0
32.6%
33.3%30.0
🏀 Free throws15.411.7
75.5%
71.7%11.7
They take 71.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Urupantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Urupan: 77.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.7 points a game
49%
35%
16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.819.6
49.2%
51.0%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.19.5
35.1%
33.3%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.910.1
67.8%
71.7%10.1
They take 66.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 9/10 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Penarol
WWWWWWLWWL
Urupan
LLWLLLLWLW
#2
League position
#9
+19.0
Net rating
-9.5
111.6
Offensive rating
102.2
92.6
Defensive rating
111.7
50.5%
Effective FG%
50.6%
44.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.7%
12.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
24.0%
0.22
Free-throw rate
0.22
32.6%
3-point %
35.1%
60.1%
Assist %
63.9%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence111.6 · 102.2Defence92.6 · 111.7Shooting50.5% · 50.6%3-point %32.6% · 35.1%Ball care12.6% · 15.9%Off. rebounds31.1% · 24.0%Free throws0.22 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)80% · 30%
■ Penarol   ■ Urupan
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Penarol wins
0
Urupan wins
DateGameScore
16/12/23Urupan v Penarol64-89
Penarollast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/23HLarre Borges89-62
16/12/23AUrupan89-64
13/12/23ANacional97-77
07/12/23ADefensor79-72
26/11/23ACordon75-67
23/11/23HTrouville88-52
14/11/23AMalvin82-83
08/11/23HBigua92-90 OT
02/11/23AHebraica y Macabi90-73
28/10/23AAguada76-77
Urupanlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/23HPenarol64-89
12/12/23HBigua90-99
09/12/23HMalvin79-61
06/12/23HHebraica y Macabi80-98
01/12/23AAguada58-91
28/11/23HGoes85-87
24/11/23ANacional78-91
21/11/23HLarre Borges97-82
18/11/23HCordon63-82
14/11/23HTrouville88-84

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Penarol
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW80%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLWWWW71%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %80%100%71%
Points / game85.789.784.0
Allowed / game71.768.073.3
Point differential+14.0+21.7+10.7
Avg total157.4157.7157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%43%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %10%33%0%
Urupan
Liga Uruguaya 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL31%
HomeLLWLL38%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1385
Win %31%38%20%
Points / game77.480.872.0
Allowed / game85.385.285.4
Point differential-7.9-4.5-13.4
Avg total162.7166.0157.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)50% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nacional119282%91.283.5+7.7
2 Penarol108280%85.771.7+14.0
3 Aguada1310377%85.978.5+7.4
4 Defensor127558%80.277.4+2.8
5 Malvin147750%83.180.4+2.7
6 Hebraica y Macabi126650%82.480.7+1.8
7 Bigua147750%84.484.7-0.3
8 Cordon125742%72.474.9-2.5
9 Trouville125742%81.384.5-3.2
10 Goes124833%81.986.8-4.8
11 Urupan134931%77.485.3-7.9
12 Larre Borges1321115%77.291.1-13.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Penarol3123261090
Urupan1814161664
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