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Olympiacos vs PAOK Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 May 2023
Tip-off: 16:05
Final 75-54
24-12 15-22 22-11 14-9
Position#1
Record26-0
FormWWWLW
Points / game91.8
Allowed / game70.8
vs
Position#6
Record15-12
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.8
Allowed / game78.2
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Olympiacos v PAOK
13 Dec 2026
OLY v PAK
upcoming
08 Mar 2026
OLY100
PAK73
10 Feb 2025
OLY86
PAK60
27 Jan 2024
OLY77
PAK62
28 May 2023
OLY75
PAK54
13 May 2023
OLY83
PAK65
26 Mar 2023
OLY100
PAK70
14 Nov 2021
OLY86
PAK68
13 Apr 2019
OLY80
PAK59
05 May 2018
OLY96
PAK77
02 Apr 2017
OLY84
PAK59
23 Nov 2014
OLY80
PAK55
11 Nov 2013
OLY78
PAK70
14 Oct 2012
OLY89
PAK64
19 Apr 2012
OLY81
PAK53
18 Feb 2012
OLY87
PAK52
14 Jan 2012
OLY90
PAK60
09 Feb 2011
OLY89
PAK61
05 Dec 2010
OLY89
PAK82
17 Feb 2010
OLY92
PAK72
02 Nov 2008
OLY80
PAK71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
PAOK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
82-58
82
58
+24
no box
A22/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
79-68
79
68
+11
73avg 87
H26/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
78-82
78
82
-4
76avg 87
H28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
72-71
72
71
+1
67avg 87
A03/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
L
69-73
69
73
-4
58avg 87
A05/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
83avg 87
H09/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
83-65
83
65
+18
90avg 87
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
W
76-62
76
62
+14
80avg 87
H19/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
L
78-79
78
79
-1
70avg 87
H21/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
97-77
97
77
+20
104avg 87
A25/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-9
24-18
18-14
22-17
19-21
18-14
26-16
16-17
24-10
13-24
19-17
22-31
15-21
23-14
7-16
27-20
17-18
16-14
16-16
20-25
20-15
24-18
21-19
19-20
17-19
25-26
21-7
20-13
14-20
15-21
27-2
20-19
24-17
21-28
18-14
15-20
24-21
32-20
23-20
18-16
150.5Avg total
79.8Scored
70.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)91.870.8162.6+21.1100%
Season at home (13)94.268.5162.6+25.7100%
Season away (13)89.573.1162.6+16.5100%
Last 10 (10)79.870.7150.5+9.170%
Last 5 (5)83.671.0154.6+12.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)77.574.5152.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (28)83.672.6156.2+10.982%
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPAOK
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
W
81-73
81
73
+8
75avg 71
H13/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
87-79
87
79
+8
93avg 71
H19/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
70-100
70
100
-30
59avg 71
A26/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
78-72
78
72
+6
74avg 71
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
88-65
88
65
+23
90avg 71
A09/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
78-75
78
75
+3
79avg 71
H23/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
63-77
63
77
-14
52avg 71
A26/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
81-78
81
78
+3
84avg 71
H30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
65-83
65
83
-18
53avg 71
A13/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-97
77
97
-20
70avg 71
H25/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-18
25-22
23-21
20-12
21-19
26-16
23-22
17-22
22-30
8-19
22-17
18-34
23-18
17-21
12-16
26-17
25-13
20-21
27-22
16-9
17-13
21-19
20-29
20-14
13-20
16-21
15-16
19-20
23-21
24-21
17-15
17-21
19-17
26-25
7-21
13-20
21-24
20-32
20-23
16-18
156.7Avg total
76.8Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.878.2157.0+0.656%
Season at home (14)83.377.8161.1+5.579%
Season away (13)74.078.6152.6-4.631%
Last 10 (10)76.879.9156.7-3.160%
Last 5 (5)72.882.0154.8-9.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)71.485.6157.0-14.318%
vs Similar (12)78.078.8156.8-0.858%
vs Weaker (6)88.068.2156.2+19.883%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: +1.4+1.4Q2: -1.4-1.4Q3Q3: +5.5+5.5Q3: -1.6-1.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: -0.5-0.5
OlympiacosPAOK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#7
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A22/04
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H26/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H28/04
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A03/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A05/05
Euroleague
Fenerbahce
#7
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H09/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H13/05
Basket League
Monaco
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
H19/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H21/05
Euroleague
PAOK
#6
W
56-41
56
41
+15
A25/05
Basket League
77.1Avg total
40.3Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.836.277.0+4.670%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.635.275.8+5.469%-
Last 30 away (14)41.037.378.3+3.771%-
Last 10 (10)40.336.877.1+3.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.241.084.2+2.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)37.036.073.0+1.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (28)41.136.277.2+4.971%-
This opponent (PAOK) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PAOKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panathinaikos
#2
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H13/03
Basket League
AS Karditsas
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H19/03
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-49
30
49
-19
A26/03
Basket League
AEK Athens
#5
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H01/04
Basket League
Apollon Patras
#10
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A09/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H23/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A26/04
Basket League
Promitheas
#4
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H30/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A13/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
41-56
41
56
-15
H25/05
Basket League
81.0Avg total
40.0Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.339.478.7-0.050%-
Last 30 at home (14)43.539.182.6+4.464%-
Last 30 away (16)35.739.675.3-3.938%-
Last 10 (10)40.041.081.0-1.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)36.743.880.5-7.127%-
vs Similar (12)38.738.877.4-0.150%-
vs Weaker (6)47.232.779.8+14.5100%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 79.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.4 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.419.2
59.3%
53.1%38.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.5
33.2%
33.3%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.515.4
75.1%
71.9%15.4
They take 58.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
PAOKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

PAOK: 76.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.6 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.915.7
49.2%
53.1%31.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.210.7
35.4%
33.3%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.512.5
75.8%
71.9%12.5
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WLWWWLWLWW
PAOK
LLWLWWWLWW
#1
League position
#6
+13.8
Net rating
-3.9
114.3
Offensive rating
102.9
100.5
Defensive rating
106.8
55.1%
Effective FG%
51.1%
49.5%
Opp. effective FG%
53.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
19.6%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
27.0%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.27
33.2%
3-point %
35.4%
71.8%
Assist %
72.3%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence114.3 · 102.9Defence100.5 · 106.8Shooting55.1% · 51.1%3-point %33.2% · 35.4%Ball care17.5% · 19.6%Off. rebounds30.1% · 27.0%Free throws0.35 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)70% · 60%
■ Olympiacos   ■ PAOK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Olympiacos wins
1
PAOK wins
DateGameScore
25/05/23PAOK v Olympiacos77-97
13/05/23Olympiacos v PAOK83-65
26/03/23Olympiacos v PAOK100-70
11/12/22PAOK v Olympiacos68-88
04/04/22PAOK v Olympiacos73-84
14/11/21Olympiacos v PAOK86-68
13/04/19Olympiacos v PAOK80-59
30/12/18PAOK v Olympiacos68-78
05/05/18Olympiacos v PAOK96-77
07/01/18PAOK v Olympiacos78-71
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/23APAOK97-77
21/05/23HReal Madrid78-79
19/05/23HMonaco76-62
13/05/23HPAOK83-65
09/05/23HFenerbahce84-72
05/05/23AFenerbahce69-73
03/05/23AFenerbahce72-71
28/04/23HFenerbahce78-82
26/04/23HFenerbahce79-68
22/04/23AAris82-58
PAOKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/23HOlympiacos77-97
13/05/23AOlympiacos65-83
30/04/23HPromitheas81-78
26/04/23APromitheas63-77
23/04/23HPromitheas78-75
09/04/23AApollon Patras88-65
01/04/23HAEK Athens78-72
26/03/23AOlympiacos70-100
19/03/23HAS Karditsas87-79
13/03/23HPanathinaikos81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game91.894.289.5
Allowed / game70.868.573.1
Point differential+21.1+25.7+16.5
Avg total162.6162.6162.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+81%92%69%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (1)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
PAOK
Basket League 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL56%
HomeWWWWL79%
AwayLLWLL31%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%79%31%
Points / game78.883.374.0
Allowed / game78.277.878.6
Point differential+0.6+5.5-4.6
Avg total157.0161.1152.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+22%21%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)100% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos26260100%91.870.8+21.1
2 Panathinaikos2820871%84.170.7+13.4
3 Peristeri28181064%83.579.4+4.1
4 PAOK27151256%78.878.2+0.6
5 Promitheas25131252%76.777.2-0.5
6 AEK Athens24121250%76.778.6-1.9
7 Aris24111346%77.877.4+0.3
8 Kolossos Rhodes24111346%76.779.5-2.8
9 Lavrio2271532%76.282.6-6.4
10 Apollon Patras2251723%69.579.3-9.8
11 AS Karditsas2251723%72.081.8-9.8
12 Ionikos2241818%73.890.4-16.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2415221475
PAOK122211954
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