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Le Moyne vs Mercyhurst Lakers Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 05 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 00:00
Scheduled
Position#222
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Position#337
Record1-4
FormLLWLL
Points / game63.2
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Le Moyne v Mercyhurst Lakers
04 Jan 2027
LE M v MERC
upcoming
12 Feb 2026
LE M58
MERC57
12 Jan 2025
LE M79
MERC63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Le Moyne win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mercyhurst Lakers win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Le MoyneUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
81-63
81
63
+18
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
77-78
77
78
-1
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
68-77
68
77
-9
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
76-59
76
59
+17
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
59-66
59
66
-7
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
71-81
71
81
-10
H05/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
64-106
64
106
-42
A03/11
NCAA
Creighton
#127
L
55-83
55
83
-28
A06/11
NCAA
Elmira
#536
W
109-39
109
39
+70
H10/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
76-62
76
62
+14
H14/11
NCAA
1H
2H
42-29
39-34
34-39
43-39
24-32
44-45
36-33
40-26
31-31
28-35
32-39
39-42
32-58
32-48
17-54
38-29
53-20
56-19
37-26
39-36
145.0Avg total
73.6Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)76.072.5148.5+3.550%
Season at home (2)92.550.5143.0+42.0100%
Season away (2)59.594.5154.0-35.00%
Last 10 (10)73.671.4145.0+2.240%
Last 5 (5)75.074.2149.2+0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)57.394.7152.0-37.30%
vs Similar (19)70.873.3144.1-2.437%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)79.064.3143.3+14.7100%
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
75-72 OT
75
72
+3
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
70-61
70
61
+9
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
56-51
56
51
+5
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
70-79
70
79
-9
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#188
L
43-78
43
78
-35
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#33
L
56-83
56
83
-27
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
89-50
89
50
+39
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#176
L
57-72
57
72
-15
A12/11
NCAA
James Madison
#232
L
71-80
71
80
-9
A15/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
48-46
30-30
32-32
35-28
35-33
23-19
33-32
40-42
30-37
14-36
29-42
23-38
33-45
44-25
45-25
29-33
28-39
–
–
137.1Avg total
66.5Scored
70.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.272.6135.8-9.420%
Season at home (1)89.050.0139.0+39.0100%
Season away (4)56.878.2135.0-21.50%
Last 10 (10)66.570.6137.1-4.140%
Last 5 (5)63.272.6135.8-9.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)56.878.2135.0-21.50%
vs Similar (16)67.867.6135.4+0.250%
vs Weaker (9)75.367.4142.8+7.967%
This opponent (Le Moyne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -2.0-2.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.3-2.31st half: -1.9-1.92nd half2nd half: +4.5+4.52nd half: -2.0-2.0
Le MoyneMercyhurst Lakers
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Le MoyneLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chicago State
#363
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H14/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
24-32
24
32
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H27/02
NCAA
New Haven Chargers
#250
D
31-31
31
31
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
L
32-39
32
39
-7
H05/03
NCAA
Nebraska
#20
L
32-58
32
58
-26
A03/11
NCAA
Creighton
#127
L
17-54
17
54
-37
A06/11
NCAA
Elmira
#536
W
53-20
53
20
+33
H10/11
NCAA
Manhattan
#319
W
37-26
37
26
+11
H14/11
NCAA
69.9Avg total
33.8Scored
36.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.934.668.5-0.633%-
Last 30 at home (13)34.831.265.9+3.646%-
Last 30 away (17)33.337.270.5-3.924%-
Last 10 (10)33.836.169.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)34.239.473.6-5.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.351.077.3-24.70%-
vs Similar (19)32.933.766.6-0.826%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)37.332.069.3+5.357%-
This opponent (Mercyhurst Lakers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mercyhurst LakersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Central Connecticut State
#114
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
D
30-30
30
30
+0
A28/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
35-28
35
28
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Stonehill
#283
W
23-19
23
19
+4
H07/03
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#59
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A10/03
NCAA
Marquette
#188
L
14-36
14
36
-22
A03/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#33
L
23-38
23
38
-15
A06/11
NCAA
Penn State-Shenango
#449
W
44-25
44
25
+19
H07/11
NCAA
Penn State
#176
L
29-33
29
33
-4
A12/11
NCAA
61.4Avg total
29.8Scored
31.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)32.231.063.2+1.248%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.127.663.8+8.579%-
Last 30 away (15)28.534.162.6-5.520%-
Last 10 (9)29.831.761.4-1.933%-
Last 5 (5)30.034.864.8-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)22.035.757.7-13.70%-
vs Similar (16)30.631.662.2-1.138%-
vs Weaker (9)37.228.966.1+8.378%-
This opponent (Le Moyne) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Le Moyne wins
2
Mercyhurst Lakers wins
Le Moynelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HManhattan76-62
10/11/26HElmira109-39
06/11/26ACreighton55-83
03/11/26ANebraska64-106
05/03/26HStonehill71-81
28/02/26ANew Haven Chargers59-66
27/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson76-59
21/02/26AStonehill68-77
20/02/26ACentral Connecticut State77-78
14/02/26HChicago State81-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/11/26AJames Madison71-80
12/11/26APenn State57-72
07/11/26HPenn State-Shenango89-50
06/11/26ANotre Dame56-83
03/11/26AMarquette43-78
10/03/26ALIU Sharks70-79
07/03/26HStonehill56-51
05/03/26HFairleigh Dickinson70-61
28/02/26AStonehill75-72 OT
27/02/26ACentral Connecticut State78-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Le Moyne
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game76.092.559.5
Allowed / game72.550.594.5
Point differential+3.5+42.0-35.0
Avg total148.5143.0154.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercyhurst Lakers
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL20%
HomeW100%
AwayLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%100%0%
Points / game63.289.056.8
Allowed / game72.650.078.2
Point differential-9.4+39.0-21.5
Avg total135.8139.0135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State53260%66.876.6-9.8
2 Le Moyne42250%76.072.5+3.5
3 Fairleigh Dickinson52340%68.285.0-16.8
4 New Haven Chargers31233%58.370.0-11.7
5 Chicago State62433%64.880.0-15.2
6 Wagner41325%66.273.2-7.0
7 Stonehill41325%59.875.5-15.8
8 Mercyhurst Lakers51420%63.272.6-9.4
9 LIU Sharks5050%60.875.0-14.2
10 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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