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Lefkadas vs AEK Athens Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#11
Record1-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game80.2
Allowed / game85.8
vs
Position#7
Record2-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.8
Allowed / game75.5
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 14
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lefkadas v AEK Athens
09 Jan 2027
LEF v AAT
upcoming
01 Apr 2017
LEF64
AAT68
07 Jan 2012
LEF64
AAT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lefkadas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
W
80-79
80
79
+1
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
64-53
64
53
+11
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
W
73-68
73
68
+5
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
75-91
75
91
-16
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#12
L
79-80
79
80
-1
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#9
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
H24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-24
21-19
29-16
14-20
9-8
19-15
13-20
23-10
13-23
19-17
27-18
14-10
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
148.3Avg total
74.5Scored
73.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)80.285.8166.0-5.525%
Season at home (2)86.583.0169.5+3.550%
Season away (2)74.088.5162.5-14.50%
Last 10 (10)74.573.8148.3+0.760%
Last 5 (5)77.279.4156.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)80.787.7168.3-7.033%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.073.2150.2+3.879%
vs Weaker (13)74.566.5141.1+8.085%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
77-94
77
94
-17
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
68-95
68
95
-27
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#13
W
91-70
91
70
+21
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#17
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#10
W
84-79
84
79
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#2
L
76-103
76
103
-27
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#3
L
62-65
62
65
-3
A24/10
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
19-26
19-20
19-25
20-23
10-20
20-24
16-22
22-29
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
167.0Avg total
79.4Scored
87.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.875.5149.2-1.850%
Season at home (2)87.574.5162.0+13.0100%
Season away (2)60.076.5136.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)79.487.6167.0-8.240%
Last 5 (5)75.085.6160.6-10.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)75.188.9164.0-13.822%
vs Similar ◀ (12)82.382.9165.2-0.658%
vs Weaker (9)91.377.3168.7+14.0100%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.5-2.5Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: +0.8+0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +0.2+0.2Q3: -5.2-5.2Q4Q4: +1.4+1.4Q4: -2.2-2.2
LefkadasAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Panerythraikos
#11
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A07/03
A2
Volos
#14
W
28-23
28
23
+5
H14/03
A2
Koroivos
#9
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A18/03
A2
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#3
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#12
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#9
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
75.7Avg total
37.0Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.137.276.3+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.338.477.8+0.962%-
Last 30 away (14)38.835.874.6+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.775.7-1.740%-
Last 5 (5)38.039.477.4-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)36.343.079.3-6.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.838.979.7+1.964%-
vs Weaker (13)37.834.071.8+3.862%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
38-46
38
46
-8
A28/05
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
30-44
30
44
-14
H30/05
Basket League
Maroussi
#13
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#17
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#2
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#3
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
83.0Avg total
41.1Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.941.183.0+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.542.085.5+1.553%-
Last 30 away (13)39.840.079.8-0.246%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.983.0-0.860%-
Last 5 (5)39.239.478.6-0.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)38.441.279.7-2.844%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)40.941.882.7-0.850%-
vs Weaker (9)46.740.286.9+6.456%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 77.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.5 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.3%
51.0%40.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.27.2
32.6%
34.2%21.8
🏀 Free throws22.515.0
66.7%
70.8%15.0
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 79.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.420.8
54.2%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.56.9
32.1%
34.2%20.7
🏀 Free throws23.216.8
72.4%
70.8%16.8
They take 59.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lefkadas
WLLLWWLWWW
AEK Athens
LLWLWWLLWL
#11
League position
#7
-10.1
Net rating
-9.8
91.6
Offensive rating
93.3
101.6
Defensive rating
103.1
50.4%
Effective FG%
52.0%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
54.4%
14.1%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.39
32.6%
3-point %
32.1%
48.2%
Assist %
72.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.6 · 93.3Defence101.6 · 103.1Shooting50.4% · 52.0%3-point %32.6% · 32.1%Ball care14.1% · 15.5%Free throws0.36 · 0.39Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Lefkadas   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Lefkadas wins
3
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
01/04/17Lefkadas v AEK Athens64-68
17/12/16AEK Athens v Lefkadas84-60
28/04/12AEK Athens v Lefkadas73-54
07/01/12Lefkadas v AEK Athens64-52
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
18/03/26AKoroivos73-68
14/03/26HVolos64-53
07/03/26APanerythraikos80-79
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70
30/05/26HOlympiacos68-95
28/05/26AOlympiacos77-94
25/05/26HAris102-99
17/05/26AAris81-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game80.286.574.0
Allowed / game85.883.088.5
Point differential-5.5+3.5-14.5
Avg total166.0169.5162.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %25%50%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game73.887.560.0
Allowed / game75.574.576.5
Point differential-1.8+13.0-16.5
Avg total149.2162.0136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos440100%90.068.0+22.0
2 Olympiacos440100%85.266.0+19.2
3 PAOK440100%81.876.0+5.8
4 Aris43175%79.565.2+14.2
5 Peristeri43175%85.888.2-2.5
6 Kolossos Rhodes42250%84.583.0+1.5
7 AEK Athens42250%73.875.5-1.8
8 AS Karditsas42250%69.072.8-3.8
9 Iraklis41325%78.579.0-0.5
10 Mykonos41325%79.584.8-5.2
11 Lefkadas41325%80.285.8-5.5
12 Promitheas41325%68.085.5-17.5
13 Maroussi4040%71.882.5-10.8
14 Vikos4040%71.586.8-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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