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Olympiacos vs AEK Athens Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 28 May 2026
Tip-off: 17:15
Final 94-77
26-19 20-19 25-19 23-20
Position#1
Record26-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game98.0
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#4
Record18-9
FormWLWLW
Points / game84.3
Allowed / game80.6
GreeceBasket LeagueBasket League - Semi-finals· Peace and Friendship Stadium
Domestic2025-26
Meetings · Olympiacos v AEK Athens
14 Feb 2027
OLY v AAT
upcoming
28 May 2026
OLY94
AAT77
07 Dec 2025
OLY100
AAT93
04 May 2025
OLY87
AAT85
26 Jan 2025
OLY89
AAT70
15 May 2024
OLY92
AAT75
15 Oct 2023
OLY79
AAT71
08 Jan 2023
OLY111
AAT71
18 Feb 2022
OLY76
AAT70
03 Oct 2021
OLY103
AAT78
06 Jan 2019
OLY101
AAT75
01 Apr 2018
OLY100
AAT86
17 Feb 2018
OLY83
AAT88
26 Nov 2016
OLY78
AAT67
19 Feb 2015
OLY83
AAT77
31 Oct 2010
OLY82
AAT50
11 Apr 2010
OLY84
AAT53
19 Nov 2008
OLY81
AAT66
16 Nov 2008
OLY101
AAT84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Olympiacos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OlympiacosGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympiacos
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
85-76
85
76
+9
83avg 92
H16/04
Euroleague
Aris
#5
W
92-81
92
81
+11
99avg 92
H19/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
94-84
94
84
+10
96avg 92
A25/04
Basket League
Monaco
#10
W
91-70
91
70
+21
90avg 92
H28/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
94-64
94
64
+30
96avg 92
H30/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
105-82
105
82
+23
111avg 92
A05/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
117-76
117
76
+41
126avg 92
H13/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
97-58
97
58
+39
103avg 92
A16/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
79-61
79
61
+18
80avg 92
H22/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
92-85
92
85
+7
95avg 92
H24/05
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
21-22
21-10
17-21
15-23
25-17
31-18
21-23
22-21
24-19
22-24
26-20
19-20
26-16
21-15
25-19
28-23
31-8
13-22
22-11
26-17
35-23
21-24
23-18
35-15
35-20
23-20
24-21
28-14
27-13
22-12
20-19
18-12
15-12
23-17
23-20
19-26
27-18
15-21
31-20
168.3Avg total
94.6Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)98.078.4176.5+19.6100%
Season at home (13)99.581.5181.1+18.0100%
Season away (13)96.575.3171.8+21.2100%
Last 10 (10)94.673.7168.3+20.9100%
Last 5 (5)98.072.4170.4+25.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)92.786.0178.7+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)94.979.4174.3+15.489%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
L
78-82
78
82
-4
73avg 80
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
66-88
66
88
-22
58avg 80
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
W
72-67
72
67
+5
66avg 80
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
71-57
71
57
+14
72avg 80
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
84-94
84
94
-10
77avg 80
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
78-65
78
65
+13
79avg 80
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
L
86-92 OT
86
92
-6
71avg 80
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
87-81
87
81
+6
94avg 80
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
81-90
81
90
-9
80avg 80
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
102-99
102
99
+3
102avg 80
H25/05
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
18-22
18-24
21-14
13-27
18-26
24-19
11-16
20-18
14-22
16-15
22-12
21-7
17-22
21-13
12-15
21-22
19-24
24-22
20-26
14-9
23-12
19-22
22-22
25-15
17-10
21-20
17-35
17-17
29-23
20-14
21-27
23-25
26-27
19-19
13-19
32-25
20-21
24-22
26-31
162.0Avg total
80.5Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)84.380.6164.9+3.767%
Season at home (14)85.680.9166.5+4.871%
Season away (13)82.880.2163.1+2.662%
Last 10 (10)80.581.5162.0-1.050%
Last 5 (5)86.885.4172.2+1.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)80.087.3167.3-7.333%
vs Similar (13)82.682.5165.1+0.262%
vs Weaker (14)87.776.9164.6+10.893%
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +9.8+9.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
-12-6+0+6+12Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +2.0+2.0Q2Q2: +9.8+9.8Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +2.9+2.9Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +4.0+4.0Q4: -3.2-3.2
OlympiacosAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OlympiacosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Olimpia Milano
#13
W
47-45
47
45
+2
H16/04
Euroleague
Aris
#5
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H19/04
Basket League
AEK Athens
#4
W
46-40
46
40
+6
A25/04
Basket League
Monaco
#10
W
45-36
45
36
+9
H28/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
59-31
59
31
+28
H30/04
Euroleague
Monaco
#10
W
61-40
61
40
+21
A05/05
Euroleague
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
70-35
70
35
+35
H13/05
Basket League
Kolossos Rhodes
#10
W
55-27
55
27
+28
A16/05
Basket League
Fenerbahce
#4
W
33-24
33
24
+9
H22/05
Euroleague
Real Madrid
#2
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H24/05
Euroleague
86.4Avg total
50.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)48.539.588.0+9.090%-
Last 30 at home (17)48.538.186.5+10.494%-
Last 30 away (13)48.541.489.8+7.185%-
Last 10 (10)50.236.286.4+14.090%-
Last 5 (5)53.034.087.0+19.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)48.342.791.0+5.7100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)48.539.187.6+9.389%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Aris
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A04/04
Basket League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A07/04
Champions League
Joventut Badalona
#5
L
34-40
34
40
-6
H15/04
Champions League
Panionios
#13
W
38-29
38
29
+9
A19/04
Basket League
Olympiacos
#1
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H25/04
Basket League
Unicaja
#2
W
37-21
37
21
+16
A07/05
Champions League
Rytas
#4
W
42-25
42
25
+17
H09/05
Champions League
Aris
#5
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H14/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
L
49-52
49
52
-3
A17/05
Basket League
Aris
#5
W
52-46
52
46
+6
H25/05
Basket League
80.4Avg total
40.8Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.983.8+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.141.883.9+0.444%-
Last 30 away (14)43.739.983.6+3.864%-
Last 10 (10)40.839.680.4+1.250%-
Last 5 (5)45.236.882.0+8.480%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)43.040.783.7+2.333%-
vs Similar (13)40.241.982.2-1.746%-
vs Weaker (14)45.340.085.3+5.364%-
This opponent (Olympiacos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Olympiacostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Olympiacos: 72.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀49%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀 Free throws6.1 pts a game · 8% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers19.615.5
79.1%
54.1%31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.711.7
42.2%
34.9%35.1
🏀 Free throws7.96.1
77.2%
74.4%6.1
They take 47.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 59% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.3 points a game
48%
33%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.718.6
55.2%
54.1%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.98.3
36.2%
34.9%24.9
🏀 Free throws25.018.1
72.4%
74.4%18.1
They take 56.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 May 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Olympiacos
WWWWWWWWWW
AEK Athens
WLWLWLWWLL
#1
League position
#4
+16.3
Net rating
-1.6
64.4
Offensive rating
96.2
48.1
Defensive rating
97.7
69.9%
Effective FG%
54.9%
56.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.3%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.9%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.44
42.2%
3-point %
36.2%
84.2%
Assist %
68.4%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence64.4 · 96.2Defence48.1 · 97.7Shooting69.9% · 54.9%3-point %42.2% · 36.2%Ball care19.6% · 15.9%Free throws0.17 · 0.44Form (last 10/10)100% · 50%
■ Olympiacos   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Olympiacos wins
0
AEK Athens wins
Olympiacoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/05/26HReal Madrid92-85
22/05/26HFenerbahce79-61
16/05/26AKolossos Rhodes97-58
13/05/26HKolossos Rhodes117-76
05/05/26AMonaco105-82
30/04/26HMonaco94-64
28/04/26HMonaco91-70
25/04/26AAEK Athens94-84
19/04/26HAris92-81
16/04/26HOlimpia Milano85-76
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/05/26HAris102-99
17/05/26AAris81-90
14/05/26HAris87-81
09/05/26HRytas86-92 OT
07/05/26AUnicaja78-65
25/04/26HOlympiacos84-94
19/04/26APanionios71-57
15/04/26HJoventut Badalona72-67
07/04/26AJoventut Badalona66-88
04/04/26AAris78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Olympiacos
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game98.099.596.5
Allowed / game78.481.575.3
Point differential+19.6+18.0+21.2
Avg total176.5181.1171.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+85%85%85%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW67%
HomeWLLWW71%
AwayWLLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %67%71%62%
Points / game84.385.682.8
Allowed / game80.680.980.2
Point differential+3.7+4.8+2.6
Avg total164.9166.5163.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+37%43%31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos26260100%98.078.4+19.6
2 Panathinaikos2722581%92.278.4+13.8
3 PAOK2719870%84.781.6+3.1
4 AEK Athens2718967%84.380.6+3.7
5 Aris27151256%84.682.0+2.6
6 Peristeri26141254%78.779.6-1.0
7 Mykonos2691735%79.787.9-8.2
8 Iraklis2481633%80.084.6-4.6
9 Promitheas2481633%84.090.2-6.2
10 Kolossos Rhodes2681831%81.287.3-6.1
11 AS Karditsas2471729%79.084.8-5.7
12 Maroussi2461825%85.892.1-6.3
13 Panionios2461825%77.585.6-8.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Olympiacos2620252394
AEK Athens1919192077
← all games of the day
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