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Lefkadas vs AEK Athens Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 09 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:00
Scheduled
Position#9
Record3-4
FormLWWLW
Points / game78.3
Allowed / game80.4
vs
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
3.9/10
Below normal
Position#10
Record2-5
FormLLWLL
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game79.6
GreeceBasket LeagueRound 14
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Lefkadas v AEK Athens
09 Jan 2027
LEF v AAT
upcoming
01 Apr 2017
LEF64
AAT68
07 Jan 2012
LEF64
AAT52
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Lefkadas win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
AEK Athens win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LefkadasGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLefkadas
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
55-63
55
63
-8
no box
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
87-78
87
78
+9
no box
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
65-54
65
54
+11
no box
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
75-91
75
91
-16
57avg 67
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
61avg 67
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
L
79-80
79
80
-1
74avg 67
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
W
94-86 OT
94
86
+8
78avg 67
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
73-59
73
59
+14
67avg 67
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
77-88
77
88
-11
no box
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
77-73
77
73
+4
no box
A14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-19
11-18
11-11
16-15
30-26
25-21
13-18
19-13
16-20
20-8
22-13
7-13
13-24
24-22
20-21
18-24
18-22
13-20
23-22
19-22
25-17
20-23
18-27
16-13
19-18
22-23
18-26
19-11
23-17
15-11
19-13
16-18
23-32
12-19
19-17
23-20
27-13
18-24
15-22
17-14
151.3Avg total
75.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)78.380.4158.7-2.143%
Season at home (3)83.384.7168.0-1.333%
Season away (4)74.577.2151.8-2.850%
Last 10 (10)75.575.8151.3-0.350%
Last 5 (5)80.077.2157.2+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)81.386.7168.0-5.333%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.175.2152.4+1.971%
vs Weaker (13)74.265.9140.2+8.385%
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensGreeceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormAthens
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
91-70
91
70
+21
88avg 79
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
95-93
95
93
+2
95avg 79
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
58-88
58
88
-30
47avg 79
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
84-79
84
79
+5
83avg 79
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
L
76-103
76
103
-27
65avg 79
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
L
62-65
62
65
-3
59avg 79
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#12
L
84-95
84
95
-11
69avg 79
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
72-66
72
66
+6
no box
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
L
74-83
74
83
-9
no box
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
73-77
73
77
-4
no box
H14/11
Basket League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
28-22
18-16
27-20
24-24
25-20
17-27
29-22
10-23
11-19
14-22
23-24
22-17
25-21
18-21
19-20
25-25
25-23
12-28
14-27
15-20
14-5
15-22
18-18
16-20
27-26
17-25
24-24
18-17
20-10
16-21
18-18
19-14
21-23
15-21
19-25
13-27
24-18
22-15
14-17
158.8Avg total
76.9Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)75.179.6154.7-4.429%
Season at home (4)80.577.2157.8+3.250%
Season away (3)68.082.7150.7-14.70%
Last 10 (10)76.981.9158.8-5.040%
Last 5 (5)73.077.2150.2-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)74.786.3161.0-11.527%
vs Similar ◀ (13)82.281.8163.9+0.454%
vs Weaker (6)89.581.8171.3+7.783%
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +0.3+0.3Q1: -1.9-1.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: -5.4-5.4Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: -1.0-1.0
LefkadasAEK Athens
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LefkadasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Peiramatiko Machites
#12
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H21/03
A2
Psychikou
#7
W
55-47
55
47
+8
H28/03
A2
Dafni
#13
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A04/04
A2
Kolossos Rhodes
#8
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A03/10
Basket League
PAOK
#2
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A10/10
Basket League
Promitheas
#14
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H17/10
Basket League
Iraklis
#7
D
41-41
41
41
+0
H24/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A31/10
Basket League
Aris
#4
L
35-51
35
51
-16
H07/11
Basket League
AEK Athens
#10
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A14/11
Basket League
78.8Avg total
39.1Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.838.076.9+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.740.178.8-1.553%-
Last 30 away (15)39.035.974.9+3.153%-
Last 10 (10)39.139.778.8-0.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.480.2+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)35.744.780.3-9.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)40.640.881.4-0.257%-
vs Weaker (13)37.733.571.2+4.262%-
This opponent (AEK Athens) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
AEK AthensLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Maroussi
#11
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H03/10
Basket League
Salon Vilpas
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/10
Champions League
Aris
#4
L
21-42
21
42
-21
A10/10
Basket League
Mykonos
#13
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H17/10
Basket League
Antwerp Giants
#12
W
50-48
50
48
+2
H21/10
Champions League
PAOK
#2
W
29-25
29
25
+4
A24/10
Basket League
Vikos
#12
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A31/10
Basket League
Szombathely
#33
W
38-27
38
27
+11
A04/11
Champions League
Panathinaikos
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/11
Basket League
Lefkadas
#9
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H14/11
Basket League
78.6Avg total
40.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.141.182.3+0.050%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.941.984.9+1.053%-
Last 30 away (13)38.840.178.8-1.346%-
Last 10 (10)40.038.678.6+1.470%-
Last 5 (5)37.436.073.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.539.578.1-1.055%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)40.541.782.2-1.246%-
vs Weaker (6)47.242.890.0+4.350%-
This opponent (Lefkadas) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Lefkadastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lefkadas: 76.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.2 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.020.0
51.3%
50.6%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.07.4
32.2%
34.4%22.2
🏀 Free throws21.014.2
67.6%
71.8%14.2
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
AEK Athenstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

AEK Athens: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.6 points a game
46%
34%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.621.0
53.0%
50.6%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.07.3
33.2%
34.4%21.9
🏀 Free throws22.216.1
72.5%
71.8%16.1
They take 61.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 5/10 games with a box score before 09 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Lefkadas
WLWWLLLWWL
AEK Athens
LLWLLLWLWW
#9
League position
#10
-4.8
Net rating
-9.2
91.2
Offensive rating
93.6
96.0
Defensive rating
102.8
50.2%
Effective FG%
51.9%
52.7%
Opp. effective FG%
54.9%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
32.2%
3-point %
33.2%
48.2%
Assist %
67.5%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence91.2 · 93.6Defence96.0 · 102.8Shooting50.2% · 51.9%3-point %32.2% · 33.2%Ball care14.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Lefkadas   ■ AEK Athens
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Lefkadas wins
3
AEK Athens wins
DateGameScore
14/11/26AEK Athens v Lefkadas73-77
01/04/17Lefkadas v AEK Athens64-68
17/12/16AEK Athens v Lefkadas84-60
28/04/12AEK Athens v Lefkadas73-54
07/01/12Lefkadas v AEK Athens64-52
Lefkadaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26AAEK Athens77-73
07/11/26HAris77-88
31/10/26AMykonos73-59
24/10/26HIraklis94-86 OT
17/10/26HPromitheas79-80
10/10/26APAOK73-86
03/10/26AKolossos Rhodes75-91
04/04/26ADafni65-54
28/03/26HPsychikou87-78
21/03/26HPeiramatiko Machites55-63
AEK Athenslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26HLefkadas73-77
08/11/26HPanathinaikos74-83
04/11/26ASzombathely72-66
31/10/26AVikos84-95
24/10/26APAOK62-65
21/10/26HAntwerp Giants76-103
17/10/26HMykonos84-79
10/10/26AAris58-88
07/10/26HSalon Vilpas95-93
03/10/26HMaroussi91-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Lefkadas
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW43%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %43%33%50%
Points / game78.383.374.5
Allowed / game80.484.777.2
Point differential-2.1-1.3-2.8
Avg total158.7168.0151.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
AEK Athens
Basket League 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL29%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %29%50%0%
Points / game75.180.568.0
Allowed / game79.677.282.7
Point differential-4.4+3.2-14.7
Avg total154.7157.8150.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Olympiacos660100%85.867.8+18.0
2 PAOK770100%79.670.4+9.1
3 Panathinaikos76186%87.474.3+13.1
4 Aris65183%84.571.5+13.0
5 AS Karditsas74357%73.771.9+1.9
6 Peristeri74357%81.084.6-3.6
7 Iraklis73443%80.176.4+3.7
8 Kolossos Rhodes73443%79.681.3-1.7
9 Lefkadas73443%78.380.4-2.1
10 AEK Athens72529%75.179.6-4.4
11 Maroussi61517%75.881.5-5.7
12 Vikos61517%74.787.3-12.7
13 Mykonos71614%72.684.4-11.9
14 Promitheas71614%73.388.3-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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