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Zwolle vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 23 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 81-90
18-25 26-24 18-16 19-25
Position#14
Record3-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game79.2
Allowed / game84.0
vs
Leiden 🏆
Position#10
Record9-3
FormWLWLW
Points / game92.3
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 13· Landstede Sportcentrum
Other2025-26
Meetings · Zwolle v Leiden
17 Jan 2027
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
23 Dec 2025
ZWO81
LEI90
15 May 2025
ZWO81
LEI83
02 Feb 2025
ZWO75
LEI78
17 May 2024
ZWO58
LEI64
14 Jan 2024
ZWO71
LEI76
12 Mar 2023
ZWO70
LEI72
30 Oct 2022
ZWO84
LEI83
12 May 2022
ZWO79
LEI89
17 Oct 2021
ZWO68
LEI75
18 May 2021
ZWO90
LEI85
22 Apr 2021
ZWO58
LEI79
03 Dec 2020
ZWO v LEI
upcoming
08 Mar 2020
ZWO92
LEI84
17 Nov 2019
ZWO92
LEI75
22 Sep 2019
ZWO78
LEI68
28 Apr 2019
ZWO70
LEI77
31 Mar 2019
ZWO69
LEI87
06 Jan 2019
ZWO71
LEI81
12 May 2018
ZWO73
LEI78
08 May 2018
ZWO79
LEI81
07 Apr 2018
ZWO82
LEI81
07 Jan 2018
ZWO69
LEI65
11 May 2017
ZWO83
LEI56
06 May 2017
ZWO84
LEI78
30 Apr 2017
ZWO78
LEI64
23 Apr 2017
ZWO82
LEI88
08 Apr 2017
ZWO73
LEI80
08 Jan 2017
ZWO81
LEI74
11 Feb 2016
ZWO74
LEI76
25 Oct 2015
ZWO73
LEI58
04 Apr 2015
ZWO73
LEI82
16 Dec 2014
ZWO79
LEI86
27 Apr 2014
ZWO78
LEI77
09 Mar 2014
ZWO75
LEI78
08 Dec 2013
ZWO72
LEI59
10 Feb 2013
ZWO72
LEI78
25 Nov 2012
ZWO78
LEI89
10 May 2012
ZWO43
LEI62
06 May 2012
ZWO72
LEI76
03 Mar 2012
ZWO64
LEI74
26 Nov 2011
ZWO72
LEI68
19 Mar 2011
ZWO62
LEI76
01 Dec 2010
ZWO61
LEI74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zwolle winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZwolleLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZwolle
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
L
66-70
66
70
-4
48avg 73
A11/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
79-91
79
91
-12
70avg 73
H19/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
95-81
95
81
+14
92avg 73
A25/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
83-87 OT
83
87
-4
71avg 73
H02/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
62-94
62
94
-32
47avg 73
A07/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
97-82
97
82
+15
94avg 73
H16/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
64avg 73
A22/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
75-87
75
87
-12
65avg 73
A07/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
94-96 OT
94
96
-2
97avg 73
H14/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
67-87
67
87
-20
65avg 73
A19/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-22
15-12
13-21
16-15
24-23
16-21
14-29
25-18
34-18
17-27
18-18
26-18
16-18
27-22
20-23
12-12
14-25
18-26
15-23
15-20
27-20
30-16
18-23
22-23
16-33
15-19
10-21
32-13
19-14
14-20
14-30
28-23
21-24
28-22
18-23
17-15
20-24
15-18
18-15
14-30
165.2Avg total
79.1Scored
86.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)79.284.0163.2-4.825%
Season at home (5)84.887.0171.8-2.220%
Season away (7)75.181.9157.0-6.729%
Last 10 (10)79.186.1165.2-7.020%
Last 5 (5)81.287.6168.8-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)76.784.9161.7-8.217%
vs Similar (7)82.187.1169.3-5.029%
vs Weaker (5)90.280.4170.6+9.860%
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
87-60
87
60
+27
85avg 75
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
108-89
108
89
+19
110avg 75
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 75
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
83-108
83
108
-25
68avg 75
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
101-72
101
72
+29
95avg 75
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
W
98-90
98
90
+8
93avg 75
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 75
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
96avg 75
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 75
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 75
H20/12
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-12
32-18
15-14
18-16
21-21
28-23
26-23
33-22
20-21
29-13
25-18
10-16
23-23
21-31
26-28
13-26
19-21
31-10
28-22
23-19
21-28
22-27
35-24
20-11
28-16
9-20
25-18
14-28
16-25
27-28
36-22
28-14
22-15
21-25
22-23
15-34
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
174.1Avg total
91.4Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)92.379.9172.2+12.475%
Season at home (6)102.580.0182.5+22.5100%
Season away (6)82.279.8162.0+2.350%
Last 10 (10)91.482.7174.1+8.770%
Last 5 (5)90.286.0176.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)73.485.0158.4-11.618%
vs Similar (6)86.279.7165.8+6.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.977.0169.9+15.985%
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -0.8-0.8Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.7+1.7Q3Q3: -6.8-6.8Q3: +4.6+4.6Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +0.9+0.9
ZwolleLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZwolleLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mechelen
#8
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A11/10
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H19/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
W
51-45
51
45
+6
A25/10
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H02/11
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
32-51
32
51
-19
A07/11
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
57-36
57
36
+21
H16/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
31-52
31
52
-21
A22/11
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#11
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A07/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
49-46
49
46
+3
H14/12
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A19/12
BNXT League
83.2Avg total
40.8Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.941.982.8-1.043%-
Last 30 at home (13)41.941.283.2+0.738%-
Last 30 away (17)40.142.482.5-2.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.842.483.2-1.650%-
Last 5 (5)41.042.083.0-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)38.843.882.6-5.028%-
vs Similar (7)43.339.382.6+4.057%-
vs Weaker (5)45.238.884.0+6.480%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Spirou Charleroi
#11
W
54-30
54
30
+24
A12/10
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#15
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H18/10
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A25/10
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#3
L
44-54
44
54
-10
A01/11
BNXT League
Donar Groningen
#7
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H08/11
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
43-55
43
55
-12
H15/11
BNXT League
Kortrijk
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
86.6Avg total
44.9Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.342.787.0+1.653%-
Last 30 at home (13)45.544.890.2+0.746%-
Last 30 away (17)43.441.184.5+2.459%-
Last 10 (10)44.941.786.6+3.260%-
Last 5 (5)40.644.885.4-4.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)38.746.485.1-7.627%-
vs Similar (6)44.339.784.0+4.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)49.040.989.9+8.169%-
This opponent (Zwolle) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zwolletheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zwolle: 78.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.0 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.718.8
51.2%
54.3%37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.68.5
32.0%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws20.215.0
74.3%
72.4%15.0
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 90.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.323.0
55.7%
54.3%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.59.6
37.6%
34.6%28.8
🏀 Free throws21.215.8
74.5%
72.4%15.8
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zwolle
LLLLWLLWLL
Leiden
WLWLWWLWWW
#14
League position
#10
-9.0
Net rating
+11.3
100.6
Offensive rating
114.7
109.6
Defensive rating
103.4
49.8%
Effective FG%
56.0%
52.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.2%
23.4%
Off. rebound %
29.9%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.32
32.0%
3-point %
37.6%
64.5%
Assist %
59.2%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence100.6 · 114.7Defence109.6 · 103.4Shooting49.8% · 56.0%3-point %32.0% · 37.6%Ball care18.1% · 17.2%Off. rebounds23.4% · 29.9%Free throws0.32 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Zwolle   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zwolle wins
9
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
15/05/25Zwolle v Leiden81-83
13/05/25Leiden v Zwolle103-71
02/02/25Zwolle v Leiden75-78
18/10/24Leiden v Zwolle87-94
19/05/24Leiden v Zwolle79-71
17/05/24Zwolle v Leiden58-64
15/05/24Leiden v Zwolle68-60
14/01/24Zwolle v Leiden71-76
28/10/23Leiden v Zwolle74-65
17/09/23Leiden v Zwolle62-57
Zwollelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/12/25AKortrijk67-87
14/12/25HBelfius Mons94-96 OT
07/12/25ASpirou Charleroi75-87
22/11/25AOostende73-86
16/11/25HDen Helder97-82
07/11/25ALimburg62-94
02/11/25HLeuven Bears83-87 OT
25/10/25AOkapi Aalst95-81
19/10/25HBrussels Basketball79-91
11/10/25AMechelen66-70
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
12/12/25ABrussels Basketball80-97
06/12/25HBelfius Mons107-89
21/11/25AKortrijk76-82
15/11/25HOostende98-90
08/11/25HDonar Groningen101-72
01/11/25AOkapi Aalst83-108
25/10/25ADen Helder84-68
18/10/25HLWD Basket108-89
12/10/25ASpirou Charleroi87-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zwolle
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL25%
HomeLLLWL20%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %25%20%29%
Points / game79.284.875.1
Allowed / game84.087.081.9
Point differential-4.8-2.2-6.7
Avg total163.2171.8157.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%20%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %17%40%0%
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWLLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1266
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game92.3102.582.2
Allowed / game79.980.079.8
Point differential+12.4+22.5+2.3
Avg total172.2182.5162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%83%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1211192%98.176.8+21.2
2 Oostende1211192%89.880.1+9.8
3 Mechelen119282%82.876.2+6.6
4 Leiden129375%92.379.9+12.4
5 Brussels Basketball129375%87.981.8+6.1
6 Okapi Aalst128467%93.986.8+7.2
7 Den Bosch117464%87.582.2+5.3
8 Kortrijk127558%85.581.2+4.2
9 Limburg126650%86.479.0+7.4
10 Donar Groningen126650%80.982.1-1.2
11 Belfius Mons125742%91.095.1-4.1
12 Spirou Charleroi125742%81.089.5-8.5
13 Leuven Bears124833%78.883.4-4.6
14 Zwolle123925%79.284.0-4.8
15 LWD Basket123925%88.797.2-8.5
16 Den Helder1221017%78.886.5-7.7
17 Rotterdam121118%78.894.8-16.0
18 BAL Weert121118%67.991.8-23.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zwolle1826181981
Leiden2524162590
← all games of the day
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