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Leuven Bears vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 90-73
19-14 28-17 15-22 28-20
Position#13
Record8-10
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.5
Allowed / game79.7
vs
Position#10
Record12-6
FormLLLWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game79.2
EuropeBNXT LeagueRound 19· Sportoase
Other2025-26
Meetings · Leuven Bears v Leiden
24 Oct 2026
LEUV67
LEI64
14 Feb 2026
LEUV90
LEI73
29 Mar 2025
LEUV98
LEI63
01 Jun 2022
LEUV82
LEI68
23 Apr 2022
LEUV86
LEI57
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leuven Bears winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leiden winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 73
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
L
72-90
72
90
-18
57avg 73
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
93-64
93
64
+29
91avg 73
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
93-63
93
63
+30
96avg 73
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
82-75
82
75
+7
75avg 73
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
90avg 73
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
90-89
90
89
+1
91avg 73
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
L
66-71
66
71
-5
52avg 73
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
84-65
84
65
+19
85avg 73
H07/02
Belgian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
20-22
19-21
21-17
18-23
22-14
19-19
13-34
27-16
21-19
26-16
19-13
16-22
30-10
26-10
21-21
23-20
15-8
16-23
28-24
26-12
28-19
22-21
15-12
25-22
17-24
12-22
16-14
29-18
22-22
20-21
19-28
17-21
24-15
11-17
14-18
22-12
23-13
29-21
10-19
156.0Avg total
81.7Scored
74.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)80.579.7160.2+0.844%
Season at home (9)84.483.4167.9+1.056%
Season away (9)76.675.9152.4+0.733%
Last 10 (10)81.774.3156.0+7.460%
Last 5 (5)80.274.2154.4+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)72.582.5155.0-10.033%
vs Similar ◀ (15)80.179.7159.8+0.547%
vs Weaker (8)89.869.8159.5+20.0100%
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
L
76-82
76
82
-6
69avg 76
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
107-89
107
89
+18
96avg 76
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
80-97
80
97
-17
66avg 76
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
W
90-72
90
72
+18
86avg 76
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
90-81
90
81
+9
85avg 76
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
89-95
89
95
-6
86avg 76
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
L
75-77
75
77
-2
62avg 76
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
61-76
61
76
-15
no box
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
75-73
75
73
+2
75avg 76
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
80-65
80
65
+15
82avg 76
H31/01
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
9-20
25-18
14-28
16-25
27-28
36-22
28-14
22-15
21-25
22-23
15-34
23-18
14-22
19-19
34-13
25-18
24-26
16-18
25-19
27-22
18-35
19-16
25-22
17-11
26-19
13-25
19-22
13-23
23-23
13-13
12-17
23-23
17-18
18-18
17-14
26-17
24-16
13-19
17-13
163.0Avg total
82.3Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.779.2166.9+8.467%
Season at home (9)95.479.7175.1+15.878%
Season away (9)79.978.8158.7+1.156%
Last 10 (10)82.380.7163.0+1.650%
Last 5 (5)76.077.2153.2-1.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)71.384.4155.7-13.110%
vs Similar ◀ (5)88.880.8169.6+8.060%
vs Weaker (15)90.676.4167.0+14.287%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.3+3.3Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: +5.6+5.6Q2: -2.9-2.9Q3Q3: +0.9+0.9Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -2.4-2.4Q4: +1.0+1.0
Leuven BearsLeiden
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oostende
#2
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/12
BNXT League
Leiden
#10
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A20/12
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
W
48-35
48
35
+13
H23/12
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
W
46-32
46
32
+14
A26/12
BNXT League
Okapi Aalst
#7
W
38-28
38
28
+10
A03/01
Belgian Cup
BAL Weert
#18
W
54-31
54
31
+23
H10/01
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/01
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
51-40
51
40
+11
H24/01
BNXT League
Den Helder
#12
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A31/01
BNXT League
Spirou Charleroi
#4
W
45-25
45
25
+20
H07/02
Belgian Cup
79.3Avg total
44.1Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.438.578.9+1.950%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.739.381.0+2.547%-
Last 30 away (15)39.137.776.8+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)44.135.279.3+8.980%-
Last 5 (5)46.635.682.2+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.341.078.3-3.733%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)39.640.179.7-0.547%-
vs Weaker (8)44.934.078.9+10.975%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kortrijk
#4
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A21/11
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#16
L
43-53
43
53
-10
H06/12
BNXT League
Brussels Basketball
#9
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A12/12
BNXT League
Leuven Bears
#13
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H20/12
BNXT League
Zwolle
#14
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/12
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#6
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/12
BNXT League
Limburg
#5
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/01
BNXT League
Oostende
#2
L
36-46
36
46
-10
A17/01
BNXT League
Rotterdam
#17
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A23/01
BNXT League
BAL Weert
#18
W
50-33
50
33
+17
H31/01
BNXT League
84.3Avg total
42.3Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.141.986.1+2.253%-
Last 30 at home (13)46.542.488.8+4.154%-
Last 30 away (17)42.441.683.9+0.853%-
Last 10 (10)42.342.084.3+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.841.484.2+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)38.344.582.8-6.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)44.840.485.2+4.460%-
vs Weaker (15)47.840.788.5+7.167%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 82.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.020.2
57.7%
54.3%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.47.9
33.8%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws24.518.6
75.9%
72.4%18.6
They take 58.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.5 points a game
49%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.223.2
57.7%
54.3%46.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.9
33.2%
34.6%23.7
🏀 Free throws20.615.3
74.3%
72.4%15.3
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Feb 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leuven Bears
WLWLWWWWLL
Leiden
WWLLLWWLWL
#13
League position
#10
+15.9
Net rating
+5.2
107.1
Offensive rating
107.3
91.1
Defensive rating
102.2
54.9%
Effective FG%
54.8%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
54.5%
17.7%
Turnover %
17.4%
27.2%
Off. rebound %
28.8%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.32
33.8%
3-point %
33.2%
56.9%
Assist %
60.1%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence107.1 · 107.3Defence91.1 · 102.2Shooting54.9% · 54.8%3-point %33.8% · 33.2%Ball care17.7% · 17.4%Off. rebounds27.2% · 28.8%Free throws0.42 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Leuven Bears   ■ Leiden
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Leuven Bears wins
4
Leiden wins
DateGameScore
20/12/25Leiden v Leuven Bears90-72
29/03/25Leuven Bears v Leiden98-63
28/09/24Leiden v Leuven Bears78-77
03/06/22Leiden v Leuven Bears81-59
01/06/22Leuven Bears v Leiden82-68
23/04/22Leuven Bears v Leiden86-57
19/03/22Leiden v Leuven Bears95-66
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/26HSpirou Charleroi84-65
31/01/26ADen Helder66-71
24/01/26HLimburg90-89
18/01/26ABrussels Basketball70-82
10/01/26HBAL Weert91-64
03/01/26AOkapi Aalst82-75
26/12/25ABelfius Mons93-63
23/12/25HRotterdam93-64
20/12/25ALeiden72-90
13/12/25HOostende76-80
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/01/26HBAL Weert80-65
23/01/26ARotterdam75-73
17/01/26AOostende61-76
10/01/26HLimburg75-77
27/12/25HDen Bosch89-95
23/12/25AZwolle90-81
20/12/25HLeuven Bears90-72
12/12/25ABrussels Basketball80-97
06/12/25HBelfius Mons107-89
21/11/25AKortrijk76-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWL44%
HomeWLWWW56%
AwayWLWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%56%33%
Points / game80.584.476.6
Allowed / game79.783.475.9
Point differential+0.8+1.0+0.7
Avg total160.2167.9152.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%33%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)40% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %17%22%11%
Leiden
BNXT League 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW67%
HomeWWLLW78%
AwayLLWLW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %67%78%56%
Points / game87.795.479.9
Allowed / game79.279.778.8
Point differential+8.4+15.8+1.1
Avg total166.9175.1158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Antwerp Giants1916384%96.577.1+19.4
2 Oostende1916384%90.080.4+9.6
3 Okapi Aalst1913668%94.786.7+8.0
4 Kortrijk1913668%88.480.5+7.9
5 Leiden1812667%87.779.2+8.4
6 Den Bosch1912763%86.882.8+3.9
7 Brussels Basketball1811761%85.880.7+5.1
8 Mechelen1811761%78.080.7-2.7
9 Donar Groningen1710759%82.383.4-1.1
10 Limburg1910953%89.781.2+8.5
11 Spirou Charleroi178947%82.987.8-4.9
12 Leuven Bears1881044%80.579.7+0.8
13 Belfius Mons1861233%86.293.7-7.5
14 Zwolle1851328%78.884.3-5.5
15 LWD Basket1851328%84.895.8-10.9
16 Den Helder1741324%78.586.4-7.9
17 Rotterdam1821611%77.292.1-14.9
18 BAL Weert1921711%68.587.6-19.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leuven Bears1928152890
Leiden1417222073
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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