Leiden vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

Leiden host Donar Groningen in the BNXT League. Pythia makes Leiden the favourite at 68% and projects 84-79, about 163 points in all (over 161: 53%). On the market's main spread (Leiden -4.5) Pythia gives Leiden 54% to cover. Overtime chance: 5%. Leiden are 2-2 this season (73.2 scored, 73.0 allowed a game), form WWLWL; Donar Groningen are 2-2 this season (79.8 scored, 89.5 allowed a game), form WWLLW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winLost

67.6%fair 1.48

Best odds1.53

Implied64.3%

Edge+3.3pp

Donar Groningen winWon

32.4%fair 3.09

Best odds2.75

Implied35.7%

Edge-3.3pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 31 Oct 09:03 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormLeiden

Date

Competition

Antwerp Giants

92-96

-4

87avg 76

H17/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

78-97

-19

69avg 76

A20/04

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

85-97

-12

76avg 76

H25/04

BNXT League

Den Bosch

93-75

+18

87avg 76

A01/05

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

100-74

100

+26

99avg 76

A06/05

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

110-102

110

102

119avg 76

H09/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#12

76-71

68avg 76

A02/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

61-77

-16

46avg 76

H10/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

92-77

+15

88avg 76

H17/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

64-67

-3

55avg 76

A24/10

BNXT League

18-25

24-26

23-14

27-31

17-28

17-24

27-21

17-24

31-31

19-27

23-21

12-18

25-21

25-18

22-18

21-18

21-21

19-18

30-14

30-21

30-25

24-22

31-26

25-29

14-23

18-15

18-21

26-12

16-23

20-16

12-25

13-13

25-26

17-15

24-16

26-20

11-11

14-14

22-17

17-25

168.4Avg total

85.1Scored

83.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	73.2	73.0	146.2	+0.2	50%
Season at home (2)	76.5	77.0	153.5	-0.5	50%
Season away (2)	70.0	69.0	139.0	+1.0	50%
Last 10 (10)	85.1	83.3	168.4	+1.8	50%
Last 5 (5)	80.6	78.8	159.4	+1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	75.0	86.1	161.1	-11.1	10%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	84.2	84.0	168.2	+0.2	50%
vs Weaker (10)	83.6	77.5	161.1	+6.1	70%

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Donar GroningenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormGroningen

Date

Competition

Oostende

84-82

85avg 78

H03/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#17

90-76

+14

94avg 78

A06/05

BNXT League

Limburg

71-82

-11

66avg 78

H09/05

BNXT League

Anwil Wloclawek

81-97

-16

69avg 78

A24/09

ENBL

Tal Tech

#10

70-83

-13

54avg 78

A30/09

ENBL

Kortrijk

#14

85-76

80avg 78

A02/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

81-78

70avg 78

H06/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

63-90

-27

42avg 78

H14/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

90-114

114

-24

72avg 78

A25/10

BNXT League

Voluntari

90-71

+19

87avg 78

H27/10

ENBL

16-19

21-22

25-22

22-19

17-19

30-22

26-12

17-23

15-24

27-18

12-22

17-18

23-27

15-19

25-26

18-25

19-20

21-20

14-23

16-20

29-17

25-14

13-23

18-22

11-13

29-17

22-23

19-25

19-27

11-28

13-20

20-15

24-31

29-28

12-30

25-25

23-22

20-13

24-18

23-18

165.4Avg total

80.5Scored

84.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	79.8	89.5	169.2	-9.8	50%
Season at home (2)	72.0	84.0	156.0	-12.0	50%
Season away (2)	87.5	95.0	182.5	-7.5	50%
Last 10 (10)	80.5	84.9	165.4	-4.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	85.8	167.6	-4.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	79.2	92.7	171.8	-13.5	25%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	83.9	79.4	163.2	+4.5	64%
vs Weaker (4)	90.5	83.0	173.5	+7.5	75%

This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 156Actual: Over 156

Over 156

65.0%

Under 156

35.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 161 · main lineActual: Over 161

Over 161

53.0%

@ 1.86+3.0pp

Under 161

47.0%

@ 1.83-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.86

1xBet

1.83

Pinnacle

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Under

Pinnacle

1.83

1xBet

1.82

Marathon Be

1.82

Bet365

1.80

Over/Under 166Actual: Over 166

Over 166

40.7%

Under 166

59.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Leiden total 78.5Actual: Leiden over 78.5

Over 78.5

69.9%

@ 1.57+7.1pp

Under 78.5

30.1%

@ 2.62-7.1pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.39

Under

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.35

Bet365

2.25

Leiden total 82.5 · main lineActual: Leiden over 82.5

Over 82.5

55.2%

@ 1.83+5.2pp

Under 82.5

44.8%

@ 1.87-5.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.74

Under

Betano

1.87

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.70

Leiden total 86.5Actual: Leiden under 86.5

Over 86.5

39.6%

@ 2.85+3.4pp

Under 86.5

60.4%

@ 1.45-3.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.85

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.42

Under

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.37

Bet365

1.37

Donar Groningen total 73.5Actual: Donar Groningen over 73.5

Over 73.5

68.8%

@ 1.42+2.3pp

Under 73.5

31.2%

@ 2.90-2.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

Bet365

1.36

Under

Bet365

2.90

Betano

2.62

Donar Groningen total 77.5 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen over 77.5

Over 77.5

54.0%

@ 1.83+0.7pp

Under 77.5

46.0%

@ 1.98-0.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.72

1xBet

1.62

Under

Betano

1.98

1xBet

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Donar Groningen total 81.5Actual: Donar Groningen over 81.5

Over 81.5

38.8%

@ 2.35-1.4pp

Under 81.5

61.2%

@ 1.57+1.4pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.35

Bet365

2.25

1xBet

2.16

Under

Bet365

1.57

Betano

1.50

1xBet

1.45

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Leiden -7.5Actual: Donar Groningen +7.5

LEI -7.5

42.1%

@ 2.60+4.4pp

DGR +7.5

57.9%

@ 1.55-4.4pp

Best 5 market prices

LEI

Bet365

2.60

1xBet

2.34

Betano

2.27

DGR

Betano

1.55

Marathon Be

1.50

Bet365

1.47

1xBet

1.42

Spread Leiden -4.5 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen +4.5

LEI -4.5

53.5%

@ 2.25+3.0pp

DGR +4.5

46.5%

@ 1.85-3.0pp

Best 5 market prices

LEI

Bet365

2.25

Betfair

1.91

Marathon Be

1.87

Betano

1.83

1xBet

1.82

DGR

Pinnacle

1.85

Betano

1.83

Marathon Be

1.80

Betfair

1.80

1xBet

1.71

Spread Leiden -1.5Actual: Donar Groningen +1.5

LEI -1.5

64.9%

@ 1.83+9.4pp

DGR +1.5

35.1%

@ 2.27-9.4pp

Best 5 market prices

LEI

Bet365

1.83

Pinnacle

1.64

Marathon Be

1.54

Betano

1.53

1xBet

1.51

DGR

Betano

2.27

1xBet

2.13

Pinnacle

2.05

Marathon Be

1.99

Bet365

1.86

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

LeidenDonar Groningen

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.3	22.4	43.7	-1.1	47%	73%
Last 30 away (15)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	33%	40%
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.4	44.2	-2.6	20%	70%
Last 5 (5)	19.2	21.6	40.8	-2.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	22.5	41.8	-3.2	20%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.8	19.3	39.1	+0.5	60%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	19.6	21.2	40.8	-1.6	40%	70%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.5
Last 30 (30)	20.3	20.6	40.8	-0.3	40%	50%
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	18.5	39.0	+2.1	53%	41%
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	23.3	43.2	-3.4	23%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.6	21.9	41.5	-2.3	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	21.2	22.0	43.2	-0.8	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	17.6	24.4	42.0	-6.8	8%	58%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.8	17.4	40.2	+5.4	71%	43%
vs Weaker (4)	19.5	20.0	39.5	-0.5	25%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.1	41.0	-1.3	43%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.4	21.7	42.1	-1.3	53%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.6	39.9	-1.3	33%	53%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	19.5	39.2	+0.2	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	18.6	16.4	35.0	+2.2	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.3	21.2	40.5	-1.9	40%	60%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.0	22.6	42.6	-2.6	40%	70%
vs Weaker (10)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	50%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	22.5	20.4	42.9	+2.1	63%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	22.1	19.9	42.0	+2.2	59%	76%
Last 30 away (13)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	69%	54%
Last 10 (10)	22.8	20.1	42.9	+2.7	70%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	23.3	21.8	45.2	+1.5	58%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.9	19.0	38.9	+0.9	57%	50%
vs Weaker (4)	29.2	21.0	50.2	+8.2	100%	100%

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Antwerp Giants

42-51

-9

H17/04

BNXT League

Antwerp Giants

34-52

-18

A20/04

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

50-58

-8

H25/04

BNXT League

Den Bosch

50-39

+11

A01/05

BNXT League

LWD Basket

#15

40-39

A06/05

BNXT League

Den Helder

#12

54-47

H09/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#12

32-38

-6

A02/10

BNXT League

Brussels Basketball

36-39

-3

H10/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

42-41

H17/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

25-25

A24/10

BNXT League

83.4Avg total

40.5Scored

42.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	39.4	42.1	81.5	-2.7	43%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	41.7	44.1	85.8	-2.3	40%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	40.2	77.3	-3.1	47%	40%
Last 10 (10)	40.5	42.9	83.4	-2.4	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	38.0	75.8	-0.2	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.6	43.7	82.3	-5.1	30%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.8	41.9	81.7	-2.1	40%	50%
vs Weaker (10)	39.8	40.8	80.6	-1.0	60%	60%

This opponent (Donar Groningen) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Donar GroningenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Oostende

37-41

-4

H03/05

BNXT League

Rotterdam

#17

47-41

A06/05

BNXT League

Limburg

42-42

H09/05

BNXT League

Anwil Wloclawek

38-46

-8

A24/09

ENBL

Tal Tech

#10

40-40

A30/09

ENBL

Kortrijk

#14

54-31

+23

A02/10

BNXT League

Leuven Bears

40-30

+10

H06/10

BNXT League

Spirou Charleroi

30-55

-25

H14/10

BNXT League

Okapi Aalst

53-59

-6

A25/10

BNXT League

Voluntari

43-35

H27/10

ENBL

84.4Avg total

42.4Scored

42.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 80.5
Last 30 (30)	42.8	41.0	83.7	+1.8	53%	57%
Last 30 at home (17)	42.6	38.4	81.0	+4.3	71%	53%
Last 30 away (13)	42.9	44.4	87.3	-1.5	31%	62%
Last 10 (10)	42.4	42.0	84.4	+0.4	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.0	86.0	+2.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	40.9	46.2	87.2	-5.3	25%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	42.6	36.4	79.1	+6.2	71%	29%
vs Weaker (4)	48.8	41.0	89.8	+7.8	75%	100%

This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Donar Groningen win

LEI win

no forecast

@ 1.67

DGR win

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Spread Leiden -1.5 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen +1.5

LEI -1.5

no forecast

@ 1.83

DGR +1.5

no forecast

@ 2.02

1st half Over/Under 80.5 · main lineActual: Over 80.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.87

Under

no forecast

@ 2.00

Leiden 1st half total 40.5 · main lineActual: Leiden under 40.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 2.07

Donar Groningen 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Donar Groningen over 39.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.95

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: LEI + total 80.5

LEI & over

no forecast

@ 3.60

LEI & under

no forecast

@ 3.40

1st half: Draw + total 80.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 31.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 29.00

1st half: DGR + total 80.5

DGR & over

no forecast

@ 4.00

DGR & under

no forecast

@ 3.80

1st half Over/Under 79.25Actual: Over 79.25

Over

no forecast

@ 1.72

Under

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Spread Leiden -2.5Actual: Donar Groningen +2.5

LEI -2.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

DGR +2.5

no forecast

@ 1.95

1st half Spread Leiden -0.5Actual: Donar Groningen +0.5

LEI -0.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

DGR +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.91

1st half Over/Under 82.5Actual: Under 82.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.22

Under

no forecast

@ 1.65

1st half Spread Leiden -3.5Actual: Donar Groningen +3.5

LEI -3.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

DGR +3.5

no forecast

@ 1.75

1st half Spread Leiden +0.5Actual: Donar Groningen -0.5

LEI +0.5

no forecast

@ 1.62

DGR -0.5

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 76.5Actual: Over 76.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.47

Under

no forecast

@ 2.55

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Donar Groningen (regulation)

LEI

no forecast

@ 1.80

Draw

no forecast

@ 17.50

DGR

no forecast

@ 2.40

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.9	19.7	40.6	+1.2	50%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	21.9	20.8	42.7	+1.1	53%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	19.9	18.5	38.4	+1.3	47%	33%
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.3	42.5	+3.9	80%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	21.0	42.4	+0.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.4	20.5	39.9	-1.1	50%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	21.5	19.8	41.3	+1.7	50%	40%
vs Weaker (10)	21.8	18.7	40.5	+3.1	50%	50%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.5
Last 30 (30)	20.0	22.4	42.4	-2.4	40%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	20.5	22.6	43.2	-2.1	41%	76%
Last 30 away (13)	19.3	22.0	41.3	-2.7	38%	54%
Last 10 (10)	18.6	21.9	40.5	-3.3	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.8	39.6	-6.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	18.5	24.5	43.0	-6.0	17%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.4	21.3	41.6	-0.9	57%	64%
vs Weaker (4)	23.2	19.8	43.0	+3.5	50%	50%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	20.6	20.7	41.4	-0.1	47%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	20.7	42.8	+1.3	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	19.2	20.7	39.9	-1.5	47%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.3	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	21.4	19.8	41.2	+1.6	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	17.0	21.9	38.9	-4.9	10%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	22.9	22.3	45.2	+0.6	50%	70%
vs Weaker (10)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	80%	60%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	19.8	21.4	41.2	-1.6	40%	70%
Last 30 at home (17)	20.0	20.0	40.0	+0.0	59%	59%
Last 30 away (13)	19.5	23.3	42.8	-3.8	15%	85%
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.0	40.5	-1.5	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	21.0	21.0	42.0	+0.0	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	19.8	21.9	41.7	-2.2	33%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	20.2	20.8	41.0	-0.6	50%	64%
vs Weaker (4)	18.5	22.2	40.8	-3.8	25%	75%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	41.5	40.4	81.9	+1.1	47%	53%
Last 30 at home (15)	44.0	41.5	85.5	+2.5	53%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	39.1	39.3	78.3	-0.2	40%	40%
Last 10 (10)	44.6	40.4	85.0	+4.2	60%	60%
Last 5 (5)	42.8	40.8	83.6	+2.0	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	36.4	42.4	78.8	-6.0	20%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	44.4	42.1	86.5	+2.3	60%	70%
vs Weaker (10)	43.8	36.7	80.5	+7.1	60%	40%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 79.5
Last 30 (30)	39.8	43.8	83.6	-4.0	30%	67%
Last 30 at home (17)	40.5	42.6	83.2	-2.1	35%	65%
Last 30 away (13)	38.8	45.3	84.2	-6.5	23%	69%
Last 10 (10)	38.1	42.9	81.0	-4.8	30%	50%
Last 5 (5)	37.8	43.8	81.6	-6.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)	38.2	46.4	84.7	-8.2	17%	75%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	40.6	42.1	82.6	-1.5	36%	57%
vs Weaker (4)	41.8	42.0	83.8	-0.2	50%	75%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

LEI win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

DGR win + total 160.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: LEI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: DGR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (LEI:DGR): LEI wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Leiden +2	72.6%	1.52	Pinnacle 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.43	-	-	-	+15.7pp	Lost
Leiden +2.5	73.6%	1.45	Pinnacle 1.55	1xBet 1.46	Betano 1.35	-	-	+15.1pp	Lost
Leiden +1.5	70.0%	1.51	Pinnacle 1.64	Bet365 1.60	Marathon Bet 1.48	1xBet 1.44	Betano 1.40	+14.5pp	Lost
Leiden +7.5	85.8%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Lost
Leiden +3.5	76.2%	1.38	Bet365 1.45	1xBet 1.38	Betano 1.30	-	-	+12.0pp	Lost
Leiden +8.5	87.7%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+11.5pp	Lost
Leiden over 76.5	76.4%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.40	-	-	-	+10.8pp	Won
Leiden over 74.5	82.0%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Leiden over 72.5	86.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Won
Leiden over 71.5	88.6%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+9.8pp	Won
Leiden +6.5	83.8%	1.24	Betano 1.24	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Lost
Leiden +5.5	81.5%	1.27	Betano 1.27	-	-	-	-	+9.3pp	Lost
Leiden +13.5	94.1%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+9.1pp	Won
Leiden over 70.5	90.4%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+9.0pp	Won
Leiden +18.5	97.4%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Leiden over 77.5	73.3%	1.38	Betano 1.40	1xBet 1.36	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Leiden over 68.5	93.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.8pp	Won
Leiden over 64.5	97.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.4pp	Won
Leiden +23.5	98.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.3pp	Won
Leiden over 66.5	95.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.2pp	Won
Leiden +15.5	95.7%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Leiden +10.5	90.8%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Lost
Leiden over 62.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Leiden over 65.5	96.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Leiden +4.5	78.9%	1.27	Bet365 1.29	Betano 1.26	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
Donar Groningen +25.5	95.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Leiden +20.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Donar Groningen +30.5	98.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.6pp	Won
Leiden over 63.5	97.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Leiden over 69.5	91.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+6.4pp	Won
Donar Groningen +20.5	90.7%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Leiden over 61.5	98.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Leiden +19.5	97.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen +29.5	97.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Leiden over 67.5	94.5%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 84.5	71.6%	1.38	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.36	-	-	+6.2pp	Lost
Leiden over 60.5	98.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Leiden +14.5	95.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Over 152.5	72.3%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+5.9pp	Won
Donar Groningen +15.5	81.9%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+5.7pp	Won
Leiden over 73.5	84.4%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+5.6pp	Won
Donar Groningen +24.5	94.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 89.5	85.0%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.5pp	Lost
Donar Groningen under 98.5	96.7%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 99.5	97.3%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.1pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 100.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 96.5	95.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 88.5	82.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Lost
Leiden under 103.5	97.2%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Leiden under 104.5	97.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+5.0pp	Won
Leiden +9.5	89.3%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Donar Groningen under 97.5	96.0%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 94.5	93.2%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.9pp	Lost
Donar Groningen under 86.5	77.6%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Donar Groningen +26.5	96.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 90.5	87.1%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Lost
Donar Groningen over 56.5	98.4%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.8pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 59.5	96.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.7pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 95.5	94.3%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Lost
Donar Groningen over 60.5	96.1%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.6pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 61.5	95.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Over 135.5	95.0%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+4.5pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 92.5	90.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+4.4pp	Lost
Over 150.5	76.2%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 57.5	98.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+4.3pp	Won
Over 145.5	84.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 87.5	80.3%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+4.1pp	Lost
Donar Groningen over 63.5	93.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 93.5	91.9%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+4.0pp	Lost
Overtime: no	95.1%	1.03	Betano 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.9pp	-
Donar Groningen over 58.5	97.5%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Donar Groningen +19.5	89.3%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Leiden under 102.5	96.6%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 62.5	94.2%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+3.8pp	Won
Over 140.5	90.8%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+3.7pp	Won
Over 153.5	70.2%	1.38	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	-	+3.6pp	Won
Leiden under 101.5	95.8%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+3.5pp	Won
Donar Groningen +14.5	79.6%	1.22	Bet365 1.22	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 91.5	88.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+3.4pp	Lost
Leiden under 100.5	94.8%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Won
Donar Groningen under 85.5	74.7%	1.30	Bet365 1.30	-	-	-	-	+3.3pp	Lost
Donar Groningen +21.5	92.0%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+3.0pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 67.5	86.0%	1.12	Bet365 1.12	-	-	-	-	+2.9pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 64.5	91.6%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 65.5	89.9%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+2.8pp	Won
Leiden under 93.5	82.9%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	+2.4pp	Won
Leiden under 98.5	92.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 66.5	88.1%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+2.0pp	Won
Under 185.5	91.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+1.8pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 69.5	81.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+1.6pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 68.5	83.7%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+1.4pp	Won
Donar Groningen +12.5	74.3%	1.25	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	-	+1.2pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 71.5	75.4%	1.25	Bet365 1.25	-	-	-	-	+0.9pp	Won
Leiden under 96.5	89.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 70.5	78.4%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Donar Groningen +16.5	84.0%	1.11	Bet365 1.11	-	-	-	-	-0.4pp	Won
Under 180.5	86.1%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	-0.5pp	Won
Donar Groningen over 72.5	72.2%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	-0.6pp	Won
Leiden under 94.5	85.3%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Won
Under 175.5	78.7%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Lost
Donar Groningen +11.5	71.3%	1.27	Betano 1.30	Bet365 1.23	-	-	-	-1.7pp	Won
Leiden under 92.5	80.3%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	-2.0pp	Won
Leiden under 91.5	77.5%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-3.0pp	Won
Leiden under 90.5	74.5%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	-4.4pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 85.1 points a game scored

🏀🏀55%

🏀🏀🏀29%

🏀16%

🏀🏀 2-pointers46.6 pts a game · 55% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 29% of the points

🏀 Free throws13.6 pts a game · 16% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.8	23.3	55.7%	53.3%	46.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	8.3	33.2%	32.2%	24.9
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.6	75.1%	71.3%	13.6

They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Donar Groningentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Donar Groningen: 80.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀47%

🏀🏀🏀39%

🏀14%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.6 pts a game · 47% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.5 pts a game · 39% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 14% of the points

League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game

49%

33%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.9	18.8	53.9%	53.3%	37.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.4	10.5	35.7%	32.2%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	17.0	11.4	67.1%	71.3%	11.4

They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.2	18.5	52.6%	53.3%	37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.9	10.6	39.4%	32.2%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	18.7	13.3	71.1%	71.3%	13.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.3	20.1	55.4%	53.3%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.4	9.6	33.8%	32.2%	28.8
🏀 Free throws	20.1	14.0	69.7%	71.3%	14.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	22.1	55.6%	53.3%	44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.9	32.9%	32.2%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	19.6	14.1	71.6%	71.3%	14.1

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	35.6	20.1	56.5%	53.3%	40.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	9.9	33.6%	32.2%	29.7
🏀 Free throws	18.2	12.8	70.6%	71.3%	12.8

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	19.2	55.1%	53.3%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.3	9.8	37.4%	32.2%	29.5
🏀 Free throws	19.4	14.4	74.5%	71.3%	14.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.6	20.4	54.2%	53.3%	40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.5	9.9	33.7%	32.2%	29.8
🏀 Free throws	19.4	13.7	70.7%	71.3%	13.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Leiden

LWLWWWWLLL

Donar Groningen

WLLWWLLLWW

#11

League position

#10

+3.5

Net rating

-2.9

97.9

Offensive rating

94.5

94.4

Defensive rating

97.5

53.5%

Effective FG%

53.7%

55.4%

Opp. effective FG%

53.3%

15.6%

Turnover %

14.5%

0.27

Free-throw rate

0.26

33.2%

3-point %

35.7%

63.0%

Assist %

56.0%

50%

Form (last 10/10)

50%

Profile

■ Leiden ■ Donar Groningen

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Leiden wins

Donar Groningen wins

Date	Game	Score
04/04/26	Donar Groningen v Leiden	75-65
08/11/25	Leiden v Donar Groningen	101-72
20/04/25	Leiden v Donar Groningen	79-81
21/03/25	Donar Groningen v Leiden	77-69
12/03/25	Donar Groningen v Leiden	65-74
28/11/23	Donar Groningen v Leiden	70-72
19/11/23	Leiden v Donar Groningen	85-77
29/05/23	Leiden v Donar Groningen	82-81
27/05/23	Donar Groningen v Leiden	45-68
25/05/23	Leiden v Donar Groningen	55-64

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
24/10/26	A	Leuven Bears	64-67
17/10/26	H	Okapi Aalst	92-77
10/10/26	H	Brussels Basketball	61-77
02/10/26	A	Rotterdam	76-71
09/05/26	H	Den Helder	110-102
06/05/26	A	LWD Basket	100-74
01/05/26	A	Den Bosch	93-75
25/04/26	H	Okapi Aalst	85-97
20/04/26	A	Antwerp Giants	78-97
17/04/26	H	Antwerp Giants	92-96

Donar Groningenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
27/10/26	H	Voluntari	90-71
25/10/26	A	Okapi Aalst	90-114
14/10/26	H	Spirou Charleroi	63-90
06/10/26	H	Leuven Bears	81-78
02/10/26	A	Kortrijk	85-76
30/09/26	A	Tal Tech	70-83
24/09/26	A	Anwil Wloclawek	81-97
09/05/26	H	Limburg	71-82
06/05/26	A	Rotterdam	90-76
03/05/26	H	Oostende	84-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWL	50%
Home	LW	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	73.2	76.5	70.0
Allowed / game	73.0	77.0	69.0
Point differential	+0.2	-0.5	+1.0
Avg total	146.2	153.5	139.0
Over 161	25%	50%	0%
Win by 10+	25%	50%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Donar Groningen

BNXT League 2026-27

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLL	50%
Home	WL	50%
Away	WL	50%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	2	2
Win %	50%	50%	50%
Points / game	79.8	72.0	87.5
Allowed / game	89.5	84.0	95.0
Point differential	-9.8	-12.0	-7.5
Avg total	169.2	156.0	182.5
Over 161	25%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Antwerp Giants	4	4	0	100%	111.8	82.5	+29.2
2	Brussels Basketball	5	4	1	80%	81.4	68.2	+13.2
3	Okapi Aalst	4	3	1	75%	95.0	87.0	+8.0
4	Limburg	4	3	1	75%	94.0	86.2	+7.8
5	Leuven Bears	4	3	1	75%	71.5	69.8	+1.8
6	Spirou Charleroi	5	3	2	60%	79.8	65.6	+14.2
7	Den Bosch	5	3	2	60%	79.8	80.4	-0.6
8	Oostende	4	2	2	50%	79.8	77.8	+2.0
9	Leiden	4	2	2	50%	73.2	73.0	+0.2
10	Zwolle	4	2	2	50%	69.8	75.8	-6.0
11	Donar Groningen	4	2	2	50%	79.8	89.5	-9.8
12	Rotterdam	5	2	3	40%	76.2	80.8	-4.6
13	Mechelen	5	2	3	40%	89.0	95.2	-6.2
14	Kortrijk	4	0	4	0%	83.5	89.5	-6.0
15	CB Liege	5	0	5	0%	75.4	92.4	-17.0
16	Belfius Mons	4	0	4	0%	64.2	90.2	-26.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Leiden	17	22	26	18	83
Donar Groningen	24	19	25	28	96

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Leiden vs Donar Groningen Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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