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Leiden vs Leuven Bears Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Sep 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-77
13-19 29-16 16-18 20-24
Position#12
Record1-1
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.0
Allowed / game82.5
Leiden 🏆
vs
Leuven Bears
Position#7
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game64.0
Allowed / game51.0
EuropeBNXT League· Sportcomplex
Other2024-25
Meetings · Leiden v Leuven Bears
20 Feb 2027
LEI v LEUV
upcoming
20 Dec 2025
LEI90
LEUV72
28 Sep 2024
LEI78
LEUV77
03 Jun 2022
LEI81
LEUV59
19 Mar 2022
LEI95
LEUV66
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leiden winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Leuven Bears winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLeiden
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#4
W
79-71
79
71
+8
74avg 69
H19/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
96-89
96
89
+7
97avg 69
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
83-65
83
65
+18
84avg 69
H30/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
65-79
65
79
-14
63avg 69
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
92-81
92
81
+11
87avg 69
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
58-85
58
85
-27
50avg 69
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
66-79
66
79
-13
61avg 69
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
87-58
87
58
+29
no box
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
84-86
84
86
-2
84avg 69
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
W
80-79 OT
80
79
+1
66avg 69
A21/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-14
24-14
18-18
23-25
27-24
20-16
24-15
25-34
20-20
23-13
19-12
21-20
9-10
16-23
23-15
17-31
26-16
22-29
22-17
22-19
21-27
11-13
15-28
11-17
18-27
15-20
18-15
15-17
22-10
29-6
14-25
22-17
19-29
18-15
22-19
25-23
13-18
8-20
24-7
16-16
156.2Avg total
79.0Scored
77.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)82.082.5164.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)84.086.0170.0-2.00%
Season away (1)80.079.0159.0+1.0100%
Last 10 (10)79.077.2156.2+1.860%
Last 5 (5)75.077.4152.4-2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)68.484.4152.8-16.010%
vs Similar (10)77.672.3149.9+5.380%
vs Weaker (9)77.969.7147.6+8.289%
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBears
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
79-76 OT
79
76
+3
71avg 67
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
76-90
76
90
-14
64avg 67
A10/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
91-64
91
64
+27
91avg 67
H12/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
82-65
82
65
+17
76avg 67
A20/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
81-60
81
60
+21
76avg 67
H26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
81-60
81
60
+21
76avg 67
A01/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
70-85
70
85
-15
66avg 67
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
64-83
64
83
-19
52avg 67
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
69-80
69
80
-11
58avg 67
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
64-51
64
51
+13
50avg 67
A14/09
BNXT League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
20-11
14-21
15-16
12-21
19-26
25-19
20-24
25-18
29-18
16-11
21-17
24-12
22-17
15-15
21-21
19-18
20-14
25-17
17-11
22-18
21-12
15-13
23-17
15-23
16-24
15-21
24-17
15-26
20-26
15-18
14-13
20-25
17-18
21-20
11-17
15-16
16-12
15-8
18-15
147.1Avg total
75.7Scored
71.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)64.051.0115.0+13.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)64.051.0115.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)75.771.4147.1+4.360%
Last 5 (5)69.671.8141.4-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)62.982.4145.3-19.60%
vs Similar (12)74.278.8153.1-4.633%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)84.069.5153.5+14.591%
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.6-0.6Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +2.8+2.8Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -2.2-2.2Q4: +1.6+1.6
LeidenLeuven Bears
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Zwolle
#4
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H19/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
47-40
47
40
+7
A28/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H30/05
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
L
25-33
25
33
-8
A01/06
DBL
Den Bosch
#2
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H04/06
DBL
Oostende
#1
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A10/06
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
33-47
33
47
-14
H12/06
BNXT League
Den Bosch
#2
W
51-16
51
16
+35
H11/09
Supercup
Kortrijk
#1
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H14/09
BNXT League
Den Helder
#16
L
21-38
21
38
-17
A21/09
BNXT League
73.9Avg total
37.5Scored
36.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.537.675.1-0.147%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.435.875.2+3.669%-
Last 30 away (14)35.339.674.9-4.321%-
Last 10 (10)37.536.473.9+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)34.837.071.8-2.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)36.843.580.3-6.720%-
vs Similar (10)37.735.172.8+2.660%-
vs Weaker (9)36.636.172.7+0.456%-
This opponent (Leuven Bears) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leuven BearsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
QSTA Utd
#19
W
40-32
40
32
+8
H06/04
BNXT League
Mechelen
#8
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A10/04
BNXT League
Feyenoord
#18
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H12/04
BNXT League
Den Helder
#20
W
46-29
46
29
+17
A20/04
BNXT League
LWD Basket
#17
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H26/04
BNXT League
QSTA Utd
#19
W
43-30
43
30
+13
A01/05
BNXT League
Belfius Mons
#10
L
31-47
31
47
-16
A03/05
BNXT League
Oostende
#1
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A08/05
Pro Basketball League
Oostende
#1
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H10/05
Pro Basketball League
Okapi Aalst
#13
W
31-28
31
28
+3
A14/09
BNXT League
76.3Avg total
38.7Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.738.776.4-1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.337.777.0+1.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.239.675.9-3.438%-
Last 10 (10)38.737.676.3+1.160%-
Last 5 (5)35.440.075.4-4.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.743.477.1-9.714%-
vs Similar (12)34.939.774.6-4.833%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)43.234.777.9+8.591%-
This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leidentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leiden: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.4 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.918.2
50.7%
52.6%36.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.27.9
37.3%
34.1%23.7
🏀 Free throws13.110.2
77.9%
71.9%10.2
They take 57.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leuven Bearstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leuven Bears: 74.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.2 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.3 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.6
49.0%
52.6%39.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.77.6
30.8%
34.1%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.812.5
74.4%
71.9%12.5
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 28 Sep 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leiden
WLWLLWLWWW
Leuven Bears
WLLLWWWWLW
#12
League position
#7
-0.8
Net rating
+4.5
107.3
Offensive rating
102.3
108.1
Defensive rating
97.8
52.6%
Effective FG%
47.9%
56.3%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
18.4%
Turnover %
17.1%
31.2%
Off. rebound %
30.8%
0.23
Free-throw rate
0.26
37.3%
3-point %
30.8%
70.5%
Assist %
62.5%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence107.3 · 102.3Defence108.1 · 97.8Shooting52.6% · 47.9%3-point %37.3% · 30.8%Ball care18.4% · 17.1%Off. rebounds31.2% · 30.8%Free throws0.23 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Leiden   ■ Leuven Bears
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Leiden wins
2
Leuven Bears wins
DateGameScore
03/06/22Leiden v Leuven Bears81-59
01/06/22Leuven Bears v Leiden82-68
23/04/22Leuven Bears v Leiden86-57
19/03/22Leiden v Leuven Bears95-66
Leidenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/24ADen Helder80-79 OT
14/09/24HKortrijk84-86
11/09/24HDen Bosch87-58
12/06/24HOostende66-79
10/06/24AOostende58-85
04/06/24HDen Bosch92-81
01/06/24ADen Bosch65-79
30/05/24HDen Bosch83-65
28/05/24ADen Bosch96-89
19/05/24HZwolle79-71
Leuven Bearslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/09/24AOkapi Aalst64-51
10/05/24HOostende69-80
08/05/24AOostende64-83
03/05/24ABelfius Mons70-85
01/05/24AQSTA Utd81-60
26/04/24HLWD Basket81-60
20/04/24ADen Helder82-65
12/04/24HFeyenoord91-64
10/04/24AMechelen76-90
06/04/24HQSTA Utd79-76 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leiden
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLW50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game82.084.080.0
Allowed / game82.586.079.0
Point differential-0.5-2.0+1.0
Avg total164.5170.0159.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %50%0%100%
Leuven Bears
BNXT League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game64.0-64.0
Allowed / game51.0-51.0
Point differential+13.0-+13.0
Avg total115.0-115.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Kortrijk330100%100.076.3+23.7
2 Oostende330100%89.068.0+21.0
3 Limburg330100%80.362.3+18.0
4 Leuven Bears110100%64.051.0+13.0
5 Zwolle220100%89.581.0+8.5
6 Circus Brussels32167%73.374.3-1.0
7 Spirou Charleroi21150%88.571.5+17.0
8 Belfius Mons21150%85.081.0+4.0
9 Leiden21150%82.082.5-0.5
10 QSTA Utd21150%69.089.0-20.0
11 Den Helder31233%66.076.0-10.0
12 Donar Groningen31233%74.085.0-11.0
13 Den Bosch1010%76.081.0-5.0
14 Antwerp Giants2020%64.571.0-6.5
15 LWD Basket1010%64.073.0-9.0
16 Mechelen1010%65.074.0-9.0
17 Okapi Aalst2020%66.577.0-10.5
18 Feyenoord2020%68.091.5-23.5
19 BAL Weert2020%77.5102.0-24.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leiden1329162078
Leuven Bears1916182477
← all games of the day
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